New CNN Gallup * 51% Kerry 46% Likely Voters

[rjbny62]

Bush has five point lead with likely voters

http://www.cnn.com/2004/ALLPOLITICS/10/25/national.poll/index.html

[Birthmark]

1. Bwah.

They must mean among likely *Republican* voters. :)

[seraph]

2. BULLSHIT!

DO NOT WATCH CNN!

[wtmusic]

7. whoa

I'm still in shock after going to your post...I thought CNN had my number for a minute :)

[seraph]

8. I know, it's scary.

I created that for moments like this.

[wtmusic]

3. Correction: Bush "commands" a five-point lead

Does that tell you something?

F*cking whores.

[David__77]

4. 49-47 among all registered voters.

That's doable. We need better mobilization. We can win this, even if this poll is accurate.

[MidwestTransplant]

48% of respondents called * a uniter

That's a dead giveaway as to the internals of this one.

[XNASA]

5. Not Bloody Likely.

[The Magistrate]

6. Gallup's Idea Of A Likely Voter, Sir, Is An Exercise In Comedy Nowadays

"LET'S GO GET THOSE BUSH BASTARDS!"

[TimeToGo]

9. Don't believe it

[tridim]

10. How?

That's my only question. Nothing has happened since the debates that would cause a rise in *'s popularity, quite the contrary. So.. How is Bush up in the polls? The only answer I can come up with is, Gallop is complete BS.

[TaleWgnDg]

11. the term "likely voters" is like somebody who picks snots and only

eats certain ones . . . uuuummmmmmmm, sorry about those *visuals* . . . but it's so damn highly subjective!




. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .



.

[Killarney]

12. Well, let's do the math.

At this point in 2000, Gallup said Bush had a 13 pt lead and he really didn't have a lead at all. So if now Gallup says Bush has a 5 pt lead, that really means Kerry has an 8 pt lead. ;)

[Hamlette]

21. Gallup had Bush up by 13% 2 weeks before the election, what was it 1 week

before?

[Radical Activist]

13. "Likely" voters is still meaningless

A lot of new people will be voting and the pollsters can't predict who is going to show up this time.

[rjbny62]

17. yup, its the UN-Likely Voters Stupid

I personally know hundreds of people who haven't voted in the past who are going to vote this year.

[dennis4868]

26. wow.....

I dont even know hundreds of people....I have to get out more :-)

[VOX]

14. 51% approve of *'s "handling of his role," with 46% disapproval...

Why even bother to submit the results of this right-wing popularity contest?

[seraph]

18. That is such bullshit

bush is well below 50%.


I hate CNN.


Question: When do we get serious and start an assault on CNN?

We smacked Sinclair, why not CNN?

[Generator]

15. Again with registered voters it's a stastical tie

factor in the extra percentage to Repukes,and Kerry is leading.

Also, question I'm asking again "likely" voter-if you aren't a registered voter NOW isn't it to late to actually vote in almost every state??? My state's last day was October 12th.

[Generator]

20. I'm answering my own question in case anybody cares

http://www.michaelmoore.com/takeaction/vote/register.php

If you aren't registed by today(most were two or more weeks ago) you can't vote except for these States allow same day registering and voting:

Maine
Minnosta
New Hampshire
North Dakota

Wyoming-(says 30 days or same day?)

So you need to be registered or your likely status is worthless.

[pabloseb]

16. Two basic flaws of Gallup's polls

Flaw 1: They don't consider anyone over 22 years of age who didn't vote in the last election to be a "likely voter". So they're missing the avalanche of new voters who will break overwhelmingly for Kerry.

Flaw 2: They assume that republican turnout will be heavier than democratic turnout. This is contradicted by both history and present. Early voting shows an impressive democratic turnout, when it's usually republicans who tend to vote early.

[tritsofme]

25. Flaws with your flaws

Their likely voter model is more complicated than that, they take into account whether or not you voted in the last election, but it is not the only determination made.

And they do not assume any partisian turnout in their polls. Their claim is that a truly random sample is representative of the electorate as a whole.

[WI_DEM]

19. well that is better than the 12-point lead Gallup gave to Bush

around this time in 2000.

[Sideways]

22. Yucky And Nasty These Fucks Will Be Eating Their Own Vomit Soon

Like 8 days from now.

[geek tragedy]

23. Zzzzzzzzzz.

Gallup is a joke. Guests on CNN are now openly saying it.

[Davis_X_Machina]

24. Gallup has the Yankees up by 5, too.

And Justice Kennedy is huddling with his Federalist Society clerks, working on the decision giving the Series to Houston.

[Kadie]

27. pure crap. nt

[Gut Check]

28. I'm getting pretty nervous now...

I cannot understand what these people see in the current administration that would lead them to even consider voting for them.