Moveable voters moving for Kerry in final ABC poll, he also leads in new

[jezebel]

and young voters.
http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/story?id=215911

Nov. 1, 2004 -- A single point in voter preferences separates President Bush and Sen. John Kerry, putting the keys to the 2004 election in the hands of last-minute moveable voters, get-out-the-vote drives on the ground and the vagaries of the electoral college.

Bush has 49 percent support from likely voters, Kerry 48 percent, with 2 percent undecided and one percent for Ralph Nader. Results are steady whether based on a three-, four- or five-day average of interviews; indeed they're within a point of the average, 49 percent to 47 percent, across a full month of daily tracking polls by ABC News.

Within this virtual dead heat are signs of hope and despair for both sides. Kerry's ahead, 51 percent to 44 percent, among independents, one of the two swing groups that have gone with the winner in the past six elections; and it's 49 percent to 47 percent among the other, white Catholics.

But Kerry's also relying heavily on young and first-time voters, two groups whose attention is less focused and whose turnout is less certain; if they don't show up, he's in trouble. Bush does better among repeat voters, and he's six points stronger in his base, winning 91 percent of Republicans compared with Kerry's 85 percent of Democrats.

Moveable voters, the 7 percent who're undecided or say they may yet change their minds, break 43 percent to 33 percent in Kerry's direction. The number of moveables has dropped by half, from 14 percent, since the start of tracking. People who are still moveable at this late stage are very much a wildcard — again, if they turn out.

[jefferson_dem]

1. Kerry's ahead, 51 percent to 44 percent, among independents

Done!

[cubsfan forever]

2. ABC: setting themselves up to get in line

with the reality of Nov 2: How they will explain the Kerry victory. Whores!

Professor 2

[DeepModem Mom]

3. kick