60 repuke senators in 2006?

[Mend]

How likely is it? I know our Senator Nelson is vulnerable, especially with our Florida "voting system". Does anyone have a list of who is up and who is likely to have trouble? If this happens, my guess is that this country is completely finished and it is time to move on.

[BurgherHoldtheLies]

1. Santorum in PA is soooooo toast. n/t

[mrgorth]

4. I hope you're right

but kinda doubt it. Every knuckledragger in the country is going to be sending him cash.

[BurgherHoldtheLies]

5. PA has been blue for Pres since 92...his extremism is clear

Since 2000, he has made some extreme statements and is also involved in a recent residency scandal involving bilking Penn Hills taxpayers for his kids cyberschooling while he actually resides in Virginia. The counties around Phila, Pittsburgh (Allegheny county) and Erie went big for Kerry and easily smother the Pennsyl-tucky red middle of our state. We just need a Chris Heinz with immediate name recognition and money to take him out.

[Nicholas D Wolfwood]

6. I think Santorum is toast too.

But it had best scare every Democrat in a big way if he wins. Religious extremist from a blue state? Smells like a Presidential candidate to me if he wins re-election.

[WI_DEM]

8. I think he will probably win

I think in a mid term election the base turns out. The fundie base will turn out for Santorum. I honestly think he will pull it out.

[BurgherHoldtheLies]

9. Don't ruin my day, please. n/t

[WI_DEM]

10. but we never know

certainly he should be at the top of our hit list. Second, we need a strong candidate. What about Hoefel? he came closer than expected against Arlen. But then I'm skeptical of candidates running again--it didn't do Erskine Bowles alot of good.

[Lenape85]

12. I think Hoeffel could be better funded in 2006

Arlen was a shoo-in in 2004, so there was not much expectation that Hoeffel could win.

At any rate, there will be both sides coming in to help if it turns out to be Hoeffel vs. Santorum

[liberalpragmatist]

14. Hoeffel was a good candidate, but I think he expected Toomey

My guess is that Hoeffel ran gambling that Toomey would win the primary. Had 1% of Pennsylvania Republican primary voters gone the other way, we'd be greeting Sen.-elect Hoeffel.

[tsuki]

22. As one Refundie learned in Florida, a local election, you don't steal from

the school district. Santorum is toast, mid-term or not.

[ThorsHammer]

13. Agreed, and the school scandal can't help him either (nt)

[Pirate Smile]

2. Here is a thread in Campaign 2006 and 2008 on this topic.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=108x117992

[DemocratSinceBirth]

3. At First Glance I Would Say Unlikely...

I would make Bill Nelson a prohibitive favorite....


Nelson has done as good as job as can be expected in staying in tune with Florida voters....

The last incumbent senator to lose in FL was a Paula Hawkins...

[tsuki]

23. It is going to be a fight. I am starting early.

[tk2kewl]

7. i'd say unlikely, but

i am concerned that vote fraud could accomplish it if the country isn't absolutely outraged by then

[GOPBasher]

11. Nelson will not lose, but he can "lose" if we don't fix the problem

of the black-box voting machines.

[quaoar]

15. We could win some seats in red states

if some incumbent Republicans retire:

Trent Lott in Mississippi, Orrin Hatch in Utah and Craig Thomas in Wyoming. If those seats come open there are name Democrats in those states who could run competitive races.

[NewJeffCT]

16. who is up on our side?

Lieberman in Connecticut, I know. He's safe if he decides to run again, and indications are that he will.

[quaoar]

17. I saw a poll on mydd.com

Asking whether Lieberman should be opposed in the Democratic primary.

Any chance of that happening?

[NewJeffCT]

18. slim to none

The Democrats in CT are too nice. Most even refrained from criticizing John Rowland during his scandal-a-day ordeal this year. They left it up to Republicans to criticize.

[quaoar]

19. How about Rose DeLauro?

I was born in CT but we moved south in 66. Still have a slew of relatives there -- DeLauro is a cousin on my mother's side a few times removed, I think, though I've never met her.

Does she have any chance statewide?

[NewJeffCT]

21. If Lieberman retired

If Lieberman retired or ran for governor in 2006, I think she'd have a good shot at his seat, though I think John Larson would as well.

[Doctor_J]

28. I say let 'em have it

right now, as *, Delay, Frist, Fat Tony, and Ailes take the country down, they still have the "obstructionist Senate Dems" to blame for the carnage. Let them enact the entire RW agenda for a couple years so that the increasingly small sane portion of the electorate can get a big look at the path we're headed down.

[Edgewater_Joe]

20. Springer in Ohio?

I know Mike DeWine -- who is a Wingnut Extraordinaire -- is up for re-election, and with Springer flirting with a run this year and now getting a talk show in Cincinnati, I wonder if he'll make the leap and have a chance.

It would be fun with a guy whose audience is in Red States getting attacked for being "degrading" to the culture, wouldn't it?

(As another aside, who's gonna run against that bastard Blackwell for Governor in Ohio? Can former Cleveland Mayor Michael White make a credible run?)

[cire4]

24. We're going to take down Talent in Missouri as well

There's some quality candidates that could beat him. Him, Santorum, and the open Tennesse seat will be our main targets.

[against all enemies]

26. We couldn't beat Jim Bunting in Kentucky this year and he was nuts. How

in the world do you plan to win in any of these red states? Bush and God will campaign with every GOP asshole running in a red state and win. Better target some blue state GOP-ers, they own the red states. If the GOP won every Senate seat in the red states in 2006 and kept their blue state ones, (like Santorum) what would their number be?

[cire4]

29. It all comes down to the quality of the challenger

A red state will vote for a Democrat if they like him/her. Thats not to say all red states will (ala Bunning in Kentucky). But moderate red states like Missouri and even Tennesse could definitely swing to a Democrat that they like. Colorado proved it with the election of Salazar. So it is possible. Its just a matter of finding the most popular potential challenger and getting him/her to run.

[Yupster]

25. Not too likely

I look at the list of who's up and I just don't see much turnover.

It will be changed by retirements though.

My opinions of the most likely to lose if they run are Santorum and Dayton.

Likely retirements that could lead to party changes are

Frist
Byrd
Kohl

[KitchenWitch]

27. How about Senators in trouble that we need to keep in office?

Senator Mark Dayton D-MN for one...the GOP wants this seat badly!