I've been leaning Kerry for months, but just can't seem to fall. I like his war record and his Senate record. He's strong on the environment, and despite his vote on Iraq, his liberal bona fides are impeccable. So what's the problem? The problem is that he ain't got no Elvis. Molly Ivins sumarrizes it here.
http://www.workingforchange.com/article.cfm?itemid=15070 Josh Marshall approaches it differently in a column he wrote for The Hill. I don't have a link, but you can find one in his current Talking points blog. Marshall compares Kerry to Al Gore. When he was pushed to the wall Gore was able to slough off his wooden persona and produce a burst of populist fervor that energized his campaign. Unfortunately he lapsed back into being the old Al Gore as soon as the crisis subsided. Marshall suggests Kerry may be exhibiting the same pattern. Crisis generates a spark, but when it passes he becomes the same aloof, ponderous campaigner he was before. He's not a natural campaigner. He doesn't build a fire under people as Clinton did, or even as Dean sometimes does. No Elvis.
So I'm still leaning, hoping to see something to make me a believer, because I'd like to believe. I really want to believe that one of these guys can take down George Bush.