Sorry to be a pain, but aren't there ANY polls on the Hackett race?

[senseandsensibility]

Didn't ANY newspaper or organization do a poll last weekend? I know I'm not the only one wondering this.

[Old and In the Way]

1. Odd, isn't it?

No one interested in the first and only federal election since the '04 scam?....and in Ohio of all places. With so much riding on this, in terms of a sense of the electorate's sentiments in advance of 2006, there is no opinion polls being done?

I can understand why the Republicans wouldn't be releasing polls...it'd be bad form to steal it if the evidence points to a Hackett win. But why wouldn't the Democrats be polling to make sure we get an honest election in Ohio?

[kiraboo]

2. Well, we all know that poll results can turn out to be a problem

when the results defy the outcome of the election. Messy.

[senseandsensibility]

4. The repukes have no incentive to poll , I suppose,, but I think

the national Dem Party or the state party should have sponsored some kind of polling or exit polling if the media wasn't going to do it. We have no baseline this way. We have nothing to compare the results to.

[senseandsensibility]

3. Exactly

I heard Hackett on Shultz explaining why he wasn't doing polls, but I'm more interested in a poll done by a "neutral" party, anyway. I can't believe the local newspapers/television stations haven't pollled. And it seems as though no one is doing exit polling either. Please correct me if I'm wrong about that.

[Journeyman]

5. I understand a poll is in the process of being taken today. . .

the results may be available later tonight, maybe tomorrow.

[kansasblue]

6. you "understand", can you explain that? Thanks!

[InternalDialogue]

7. I think Journeyman is referring to the poll

that will actually decide the race.

[Clark2008]

8. Journeyman's talking about the vote.

That's the poll.

[kansasblue]

10. ohhhhhh I see

[safi0]

9. He's talking

About the actual election.

I think the reason there haven't been any polls is because in an election like this its impossible to know what the turnout will be, so polls could be very wrong.

[senseandsensibility]

11. kick to ask about exit polls

Are there any?:scared: A totally polless election? Is this normal?

[flpoljunkie]

12. MyDD reports latest Rethug polling showing Hackett within MOE

http://www.mydd.com/story/2005/7/29/124455/730

Hackett Campaign Already a Success

by Chris Bowers

As you probably already know, a Republican poll currently shows Paul Hackett with the margin of error in the special election in OH-02. Rest assured, this poll is real. I have sources high up inside both the Democratic and Republican parties who have seen it. Considering that Schmidt claims an old poll showed her winning by 17%, the momentum is undeniably in favor of Paul Hackett. It is now a real possibility that he could actually win.

However, while it is a possibility that he could win, keep in mind that Schmidt remains the favorite. The poll showed Hackett within the MoE--it didn't show him ahead. Republicans will also be dumping huge sums of cash into the district this weekend, in an ad buy, direct mailing and robo-call frenzy that will easily surpass Hackett's final efforts, despite the $350K+ we have raised for him (here and here). Also, in the special election last month, even though he was the top Democratic finisher, Hackett only finished fourth overall (though he did defeat Pat DeWine-haha). In other words, Schmidt is probably still a touch ahead in the polls, has a lot more money being spent on her behalf, and in a low turnout election will have the support of many die-hard Republican voters. While the mo' is clearly in Hackett's favor and he has made up a lot of ground, Schmidt remains the favorite. The real change is that she is no longer a lock.

However, even if Hackett loses, keep in mind that this campaign was already a success. It is going to be a lot closer than anyone thought it was going to be, and it has made real inroads into a deep red corner of Ohio. In the extended entry, I explain why. We should be proud of what we have accomplished here, and keep in mind that there are some people in our own party who believe that we have been wasting our time. Most importantly, we should hold Paul Hackett, a regular guy with a lot of guts who stands for what you and I stand for, in very high regard. Quite frankly, the whole things reminds me of the Dean campaign, and of working with Ginny Schrader last year, and not just because of Blogosphere Day. They have been my own inspiration to run for office. We need more people like them.

Democrats :: Fri Jul 29th, 2005 at 12:44:55 PM EDT

[senseandsensibility]

14. Thanks

Do you know anyting about exit polls?

[quaoar]

13. There was a poll that was reported last week.

It was a Republican poll that was leaked. It supposedly showed Hackett behind but within the margin of error.