**************OFFICIAL HACKETT ELECTION RESULTS THREAD #4 ************

[ncrainbowgrrl]

Previous thread over here:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x1978458

[faithnotgreed]

1. go paul

[FreedomAngel82]

2. As of now in the second distrcit

Paul Hackett still up 52-48% and it's tightning according to Sam on the majority report. HACKETT IS WINNING!

[stepnw1f]

3. Wow...

He already won, in a way!

[neuvocat]

11. True.

Although I would still hope he gets the seat. It would be a real back-breaker to Bush.

[SW FL Dem]

12. Very true n/t

[faithnotgreed]

13. im all for that

what an inspiration

lets have all candidates learn/work with paul hackett so they can figure out to just tell it like it really is

[tishaLA]

15. True but I'd prefer

more than a moral victory. Just call me selfish!

[gasperc]

4. Sam saying it's a massive victory

it should have never gotten this close

[terrya]

As it's been pointed out before, this is a HEAVILY Red district.

This is huge. I'd love for Hackett to win. But no matter what...this is sensational! :-)

[NewJeffCT]

8. no clermont yet, though

big R district

[FreedomAngel82]

9. Sam says

it's already a massive victory. This race shouldn't have been nowhere this close. If Paul Hackett can get within fifteen percentage points of Schmidt it'd be an indication that the American people are sick of the republican party talking points. It's still way too close to call. Malloy will also probably be following this Sam says. Just a moment talking to Mark of the DailyKos. His site was the one that raised the awareness of this race.

[OilemFirchen]

5. 250 Precincts Reporting

Paul Hackett (D) 18,476 52%
Jean Schmidt (R) 17,064 48%

[David Zephyr]

14. Yes!!!

:thumbsup:

[fishwax]

18. woo hoo!

great news! Just keep it up!

[merbex]

19. Thanks for the updates; I just gave them to my husband who is watching

the Red Sox

Diehard Dems throughout the country are pulling for Paul!!!

[Guaranteed]

25. 1/3 of the way, up by 4%! nt

[Guaranteed]

33. WCPO saying with 305, 51%-49% Hackett! nt

[Elidor]

6. God, it's a nailbiter

I'm gonna lose it right now. :freak:

[personman]

250 reporting

250 of 753. Hackett 51.99-48.01 Schimdt. Hackett 18,476--17,046.

I'm not going to get my hopes up though. I dont need to be bummed out for months again.

Come on Paul! Show that son of a bitch!

[Cocoa]

17. 1/3 thru

we're now in the top of the 4th...

[personman]

28. 259 reporting

259 of 753. Hackett increases lead. 52.18--47.81. Hackett 19053--Schimdt 17457.

Oops, posted in the wrong place.

[yankeefanatic3]

7. Hackett now up by 1,430 250 out of 753 nt

[Jersey Devil]

10. MyDD - 250 of 753. Hackett 51.99-48.01 (nt)

m

[Zodiak]

16. Within ten points would be seriously bad for the Repukes

No matter what, this is a victory....a BIG victory.

Now if we actually get the seat, than that says a few things to me.

1. Fighters and liberals can win even in red disctricts as long as they act like themselves. The Repub media machine is no longer believed.

2. Ohioans are sick and tired of Republican corruption....'bout time.

3. They can't rig any and all elections...small elections can be watched much easier. OR Congressional seats aren't important enough to rig.

4. We have a media machine that is beginning to work (blogs, AAR).

5. War heroes the likes of Wes Clark may have tremendous appeal throughout the South and the Republicans have lost the flag they wrap themselves in.

(reposted from the end fo thread #3...didn't beat the buzzer)

[NewJeffCT]

21. flag wasn't lost

they outsourced it to china!

[Mr_Spock]

23. I think close is going to have to be good enough

The Repuke dominated precincts are still going heavy to the Nazi.

[Coexist]

24. this is so exciting -

I am on pins and needles.

[Jeff In Milwaukee]

35. Let's face it -- he's already won...

The Ohio 2nd CD hasn't seen an election this close in nearly twenty years. This campaign has been a referendum on the Bush Administration -- being held in one of the most Republican-friendly congressional districts in the country. The fact that Hackett hasn't been blown out of the water right now is great news. A victory will have Karl Rove crapping his pants -- it would mark the official beginning of Bush's status as a lame duck.

[UrbScotty]

Agreed on all five (nt)

[Mz Pip]

20. Close isn't good enough

I want a win!! I want someone who served and came out and called Bush on his bullshit to f*cking WIN. Sloppy seconds don't make it for me. I want a win. I want to smell blood in the water.

Mz Pip
:dem:

[Pepperbelly]

26. ARRRRR Mz Pip ...

I'm with you on that.

[Mz Pip]

47. Kickin' butt and taking names

Because in this game the only thing that counts is winning.


Mz Pip
:dem:

[Darknyte7]

30. Here here!!!

I smell blood already!

:dem:

[TexasProgressive]

41. That's right

Can you imagine? Hackett knows Bush is an SOB. I want him THERE, asking why the soldiers don't have body armor, when the richest get huge tax cuts.

[wiley]

49. Go Paul!

Election Results
Last Updated: 8/02/2005 9:13pm
US HOUSE Ohio 2nd Dist
305 precincts of 753 reporting
PAUL HACKETT 23,957 51%
JEAN SCHMIDT 22,846 49%

[fishwax]

22. I'm getting excited in spite of myself

Every time I get my hopes up ... oh but what the hell--This is great news so far!

[Jersey Devil]

27. MyDD update - (259 precincts in) -- Hackett 52.18% to 47.81%. (nt)

x

[DougieZero]

29. 305 REPORTING!!

305 precincts of 753 reporting
PAUL HACKETT 23,957 51%
JEAN SCHMIDT 22,846 49%

[GeorgeBushytail]

40. We are going to WIN!/nt

[yankeefanatic3]

43. Hacket now ahead by 1,111 Hacket is #1!!!!!!!

[tocqueville]

46. that's 40%

[last_texas_dem]

55. Awesome

I'm so glad we're still holding on to the lead so far!

This is truly a nailbiter...

[democrank]

31. This is gut-wrenching.

Hope someone is keeping Dubya posted. It`s like a well-deserved slap in his face.

[Justitia]

45. Shrub is already in bed. But I bet Traitor Rove is watching! -eom

[Lauri]

64. Could be why the official hamilton county boe website is down...

From Blackwell's official website:

2005 Special Congressional Election

Special Election Results (reported by the Hamilton County Board of Elections - by clicking here you will be taken to their Web site)

http://www.hamilton-co.org/boe/

Unfortunately that official website is down... I wonder if they will be sending a technician to fix it.

[Zodiak]

51. gut-wrenching 50 point shift?

This is a Democratic avalanche in the land that spawned Rush Limbaugh.

The win is a squeaker, though.....I can't even believe it is a possibility!! So much for my pessimism and my "never underestimate your enemy" strategy.

We really have a chance in this country to change it all. If Paul wins, I'll be proud to be an American for the first time in nearly ten years.

[SeveneightyWhoa]

32. 305 reporting.

US HOUSE Ohio 2nd Dist
305 precincts of 753 reporting
PAUL HACKETT 23,957 51%
JEAN SCHMIDT 22,846 49%

[Mr_Spock]

34. 305 reporting - still 51-49 Hackett

US HOUSE Ohio 2nd Dist
305 precincts of 753 reporting PAUL HACKETT 23,957 51%
JEAN SCHMIDT 22,846 49%

[SW FL Dem]

42. The difference is 1111 now - n/t

[C_eh_N_eh_D_eh]

36. This is a huge victory, no matter what happens.

As has been mentioned earlier, no Democrat has broken 35% in this district since the Reagan administration.

This is a very red part of the country we're talking about here. The fact that someone like Hackett, who is not only pro-choice, pro-gay-rights, and pro-environment, but has the audacity to call George W. Bush a chickenhawk and an SOB on national news, can hold his own against any Republican, is an enormous upset whether he goes over 50% or not.

Not only is this evidence of America's distaste for *, but it's proof that our ideal for Democratic politics - commitment to progressive values, reasoned arguments, and good ol' fashioned guts - can get results. And that's the message we have to get out, even if he doesn't win.

[Zodiak]

68. If Hackett wins...

I will never listen to anyone telling that a liberal can't win ever again. It is time to put that "political knowledge according to CNN" to rest for good.

The worst thing the Republicans could have done is what they have done for the last 5 years with the corruption and the power grabs. They had won by putting us to sleep for so long, and if they kept their corruption at a low level, they would continue to succeed. They woke the sleeping liberal giant and conditioned him for the battle by making him endure ridicule and self-doubt for over 20 years. Now he is pissed, has a club, and is ready to stomp some GOP ass with hardened resolve.

[OilemFirchen]

37. 305 Precincts

PAUL HACKETT 23,957 51%
JEAN SCHMIDT 22,846 49%

[ChiciB1]

38. Okay... A Bit Ditsy and Have To

visit the bathroom. Pop-A Top!!

[Pepperbelly]

39. new numbers ,,,

with 305 precincts

Hackett --51%

Schmidt-- 49 %

More than a tousand vote lead at this point.

[eyepaddle]

44. From a closely related thread

From Swing State Project
http://www.swingstateproject.com /

UPDATE (Bob) 9:06 from Tim
259 precincts reporting of 753 -- Paul Hackett 52.18% to 47.81%

I saw it and wanted to get it here as fast as possible--sorry to whichever DUer I copied this from.

[rrrevolution]

48. Where are results being reported for counties w/o websites?

Just wondering if they have an outlet, and what percentage of overall vote is likely not to be reported on the web.

[rstlne]

50. Last thread locked right after I posted this

Just so you know, here's what district 2 is like...

Part of Hamilton co. & part of Warren co. are urban sprawl from Cincinnati and you might as well add a chunk of Clermont co. too, lots of republican voters.

Brown, Adams and Pike are more rural, more likely to vote for hackett but fewer voters.

On the bright side, I heard today that a lot of urban republicans decided to stay away from the polls today simply because they couldn't bring themselves to vote for either canidate.

BTW if you're wondering about turnout because of other issues on the ballots, the school levies are not necessarily in district 2, my school district had a levy vote today and I am not in district 2.

[faithnotgreed]

58. once those non voting republicans get a gander at his

policies and his energy for walking the talk then they will change their tune

(you thought might say something else didnt you)


but the fact that they arent showing up just to vote against him is a good sign i think for such a conservative area

ideally all voters should vote but sometimes it doesnt work out that way

thanks for the information

[TheFarseer]

52. is Claremont reporting other than early voting?

I don't think so. That is very bad. We're going to lose our ass in Claremont.

[Jersey Devil]

56. Early voting may be different than today's voting

A lot has happened over the past few days. Let's hope the live voting bucked the early voting trend.

[Jeff In Milwaukee]

70. Early voting favors them...

It's a measure of the party's organization that it can distribute requests for absentee ballots and get them back in time. The Democratic Party has very little infrastructure in the rural areas -- the Republicans are far more organized. Let's see who shows up today.

[neuvocat]

53. kick

[Memekiller]

54. Did this thread need to be kicked?

Who's eyes aren't glued to this thread? :)

[mzmolly]

59. Yes,

yes it did. ;)

[AndreaCG]

62. I don't understand why people think they can kick threads

When it says explicitly at the bottom of the page that it won't work. Maybe it used to but not now.

[Miss Chybil]

Where does it say "No Kicking?" Just curious. nt

[dweller]

78. where does it say that?

:kick:

dp

[blondeatlast]

91. You "kicked" the thread when you posted.

:wtf: are you talking about?

Where does it say that?

[JimmyJazz]

67. Yes, because then the poster has a link in his/her posts.

It makes it much easier to find.

kick :P

[gasperc]

57. it looks like Hackett won Brown county 55% to 44%

Sanders didn't win in any county in 2004

RUN DATE:08/02/05 09:04 PM REPORT-EL45 PAGE 001

VOTES PERCENT

PRECINCTS COUNTED (OF 35) . . . . . 35 100.00
REGISTERED VOTERS - TOTAL . . . . . 29,220
BALLOTS CAST - TOTAL. . . . . . . 7,076
VOTER TURNOUT - TOTAL . . . . . . 24.22

Representative to Congress
(Vote For Not More Than ) 1
PAUL HACKETT (DEM) . . . . . . . 3,950 55.92
JEAN SCHMIDT (REP) . . . . . . . 3,100 43.88
WRITE-IN. . . . . . . . . . . 14 .20
Total . . . . . . . . . 7,064
E

[yankeefanatic3]

60. Claremont and Hamilton - Time to pray

Both represent 68% of the district voters -- these are supposedly Schmidt's strongest. We need to hope for a LOW Schmidt turnout and a VERY HIGH Hackett turn out.

Pray and cross your fingers. This is it!!

[yankeefanatic3]

65. People are finding Claremont County's non-reporting very ominous nt

[yankeefanatic3]

74. Warren needs to kick up for Hackett...come on Warren nt

[yankeefanatic3]

75. Warren needs to kick up for Hackett...come on Warren nt

[yankeefanatic3]

MyDD has just offered a promising analysis

laddy says: "Adams- 64-36 - 50 (7 points over)
Brown- 64-36 - 50 (7 points over)
Clermont- 71-29 - 43 (4 points short)*
Hamilton- 70-30 - 52 (3 points short)*
Pike-52-48 - 62 (1 point short)*
Scioto- 52-48 - 62 (4 Points over)
Warren- 72-28 - 42 (3 points over)

***I'm assuming when they are saying "Short" it means with Kerry's numbers, it's promsiing at this point if we are shorter than Kerry because all precincts have not even come CLOSE to reporting yet......And if Democratic/sane turnout was high, this might be good.

[yankeefanatic3]

90. MyDD Analysis: Schmidt SLIGHTLY favored

[yankeefanatic3]

92. MyDD Analysis: Schmidt SLIGHTLY favored nt

[ChiciB1]

84. No... No... No...

No More, Not Now! I think I will zap the first PUKE I see tomorrow if he loses!

And that won't be hard to do. I live in the land Cruella... Katherine F--kFace Harris!!

[Jersey Devil]

72. Hacket leading Hamilton 50.45% - 49.54%

http://www.hamilton-co.org/boe/inputdata/Electionsresults/Realtime/RealTime.pdf

[Guaranteed]

79. Right...Hamilton was the best of these four for us in Nov. nt

[mzmolly]

77. Here's Clermont County

100 of 191 reporting as of 8:25 CST.

http://www.clermontelections.org/default.php?section=results&topic=current

56.24 % S*h*i*t Total 7869

43.59 % Hacket Total 6099

[Guaranteed]

83. That's 100 out of 191 precinct's...Clermont more than 1/2 done. nt

[mzmolly]

94. Just noticed they updated FAST. When I originally checked it was

1% reporting.

:hi:

[mconvente]

63. yeah, but warren needs some help...

BALLOTS CAST - TOTAL 18,320 24.80

REPRESENTATIVE TO CONGRESS 2ND DISTRICT
UNEXPIRED TERM
ONE TO BE ELECTED
PAUL HACKETT DEM 5,420 41.77
JEAN SCHMIDT REP 7,556 58.23

But, as long as we keep a lead!

[Jane Eyre]

61. Anyone have info about the makeup of the precincts reporting?

Are we waiting for more Democratic precincts to come in or more Republican precincts?

My experience has been that the Democratic precincts tend to come in later, but maybe that's a Southern thing.

[DougieZero]

well... the truth...

Heavy republican areas...

[Jeff In Milwaukee]

81. There are no "Democratic" areas out there...

It is by far the reddest part of a red state.

[roseBudd]

80. Hamilton has some very African American wards Madisonville,

Kennedy Heights, Silverton

The rest of the counties are very white but have some very poor people.

[Jeff In Milwaukee]

89. Hamilton is on Boehner's District -- Butler County

nt

[LynneSin]

87. Are there any urban areas in this district - they always come in late

But the breakdown on this site looks good:
http://news.cincinnati.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20050802/NEWS01/308020015/0/CINCI

Hamilton is going to be the deciding factor and that looks like part of Cincinnati. If it's the suburbs it's going to be tough but if they have part of the city included in that district I think he can win this

[Bumblebee]

66. Couldn't take it; went for a walk. Feels like 2004 all over again

[Greeby]

76. Good call

I'm gonna go take the Jack Russell round the block

[Bumblebee]

Hope you get good news upon return :)

[LynneSin]

69. Great interactive from Cincinnati.com for Vote breakdown

http://news.cincinnati.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20050802/NEWS01/308020015/0/CINCI

[jillan]

85. excellent site! You should start a thread!

looking good -
YEE HAW!!!!!!!!

[proud patriot]

86. Thanks LynnSin that link is great

:hi:

[tameszu]

71. Stay on Target!

I want to say we've already won, by keeping it this close, but I think we really have a shot! Yeehaw!!!

[OilemFirchen]

73. And now for this important message:

Edgewood Schools Levy Passes.

Very cool.

[mconvente]

82. lol

kick for some calming humor!

[Bumblebee]

93. actually school levies pass when the voters are more liberal

but I don't know about that one

[Old Vet]

95. Look at all the fun Iam getting for 20.01 Go Paul

[Cocoa]

88. Go ES Levy!

I knew you could do it! :bounce:

[Emops]

96. A school levy passing in "screw the kids" suburban Cincinnati

is a good sign.

[David Zephyr]

97. So are they cooking the votes in Clermont County?

Why in the hell are their counts taking so long?!

[ncrainbowgrrl]

98. Locking- Thread #5 is ready

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x1978833