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How much has the "poll" influenced these upcoming primaries ?

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kentuck Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-03-04 06:12 PM
Original message
How much has the "poll" influenced these upcoming primaries ?
You know, the "poll" that showed Kerry beating Bush heads up 53% to 46%? Now, how long do you think that poll will hold up? Do you think it has helped Kerry with his "electability" issue? Kerry was my first choice and I still like him but I get the feeling Democrats are being toyed with by the media and their polls. Just my opinion. But who doesn't want to vote for a WINNER ? :)
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bigwillq Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-03-04 06:16 PM
Response to Original message
1. Hasn't helped me I'm still voting for
Dean in my primary
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killbotfactory Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-03-04 06:23 PM
Response to Original message
2. Polls effect public opinion way too much...
It's like people don't do their own research, just look at polls to see who's doing the best, and then join the bandwagon and assume they are the best candidate. I don't get it.
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Foswia Donating Member (215 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-03-04 06:24 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. Not just Polls! Google: Ash conformity study[nt]
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krkaufman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-03-04 06:57 PM
Response to Reply #3
10. Same as advertising
It's no different than the advertising business. Does anyone think that advertising doesn't affect consumer product selection?

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THUNDER HANDS Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-03-04 06:25 PM
Response to Original message
4. anybody who can be fooled by a poll
would be fooled by something equally dumb. So I don't see the point in fighting about poll numbers and how it affects votes.
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loyalsister Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-03-04 06:36 PM
Response to Original message
5. Probably a lot
Edited on Tue Feb-03-04 06:36 PM by loyalsister
I know more than one person here in MO who voted for Kerry because of that poll- AFTER sending money to a different candidate.
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rucky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-03-04 06:45 PM
Response to Original message
6. Self-Fufilling Prophecy
whatever it takes to beat *

of course, those numbers will change after the convention
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dolstein Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-03-04 06:47 PM
Response to Original message
7. Of course, the Iowa results affected the "Poll"
and than the Poll affected the New Hampshire results, which affected the next "Poll", and so on.

But yeah, if the poll had shown Kerry trailing Bush, that would probably have slowed him down.
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kentuck Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-03-04 06:50 PM
Response to Reply #7
8. But you do believe it is legitimate..??
At least, at this moment in time?
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krkaufman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-03-04 06:55 PM
Response to Reply #8
9. I think it's ridiculous
This "follow the poll leader" mentality may well produce a highly vulnerable candidate.

And media glossing over the "electability" phrase without getting into voter opinion of the components of electability and how each candidate matches up is poor, lazy, cost-effective infotainment reporting.
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MrSlayer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-03-04 07:01 PM
Response to Original message
11. A lot.
People tend to follow the leader on things like this. "The press says so-and-so is the guy so that's who I have to vote for because no one else has a chance." It's pathetic but true.
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BruinAlum Donating Member (565 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-03-04 07:31 PM
Response to Original message
12. You're forgetting one thing
The fact that most people chose Kerry over Bush in that poll to begin with. Nobody influenced them.

And the fact is that primary voters usually take the time to look over the candidates and the issues and are better informed than the general population that votes only in the general elections.

Kerry has an impressive liberal record and career and has the credentials to make and excellent president. He's doing well because people are voting for him. He's getting media attention because he is the front runner.

And who doesn't want to pick a winner? Do you think the consensus of the American public is to go to all this trouble of selecting a candidate in the primary process that doesn't stand a chance in hell of beating Bush in November? What a stupid idea and waste of time.
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