Joplin Missouri Headquarters Packed Full for Claire McCaskill!

[usregimechange]

Claire McCaskill Rally,
Joplin Democratic Headquarters,
Nov. 1st 2006.

Joplin is in the heart of the Republican stronghold in Missouri, in Jasper County. Jasper County (population 110,624) went for Bush in 2004 by 71%.



A brief report from a local paper:

A crowd estimated at approximately 250 people stood shoulder-to-shoulder and waited about an hour for McCaskill to arrive. They applauded frequently when she said she, if elected, would work for tax policies that would be fair for the middle class, increased veterans’ benefits and changing course in Iraq.

She thanked local workers making telephone calls and canvassing neighborhoods, and noted her Republican opponent, incumbent Sen. Jim Talent, is bringing in campaign help from Washington, noting Missouri appearances for Talent by Vice President Dick Cheney, Senate majority leader Bill Frist and plans for a visit by President Bush later this week.

“I have my mom and my sisters, and you," she said. "Their campaign is about Washington, and ours is about Missouri.”
http://www.joplinglobe.com/local/local_story_305210643.html

Most recent polls:

Registered Voters
Claire McCaskill (D) 51%
Jim Talent (R) 43%

Likely Voters
Claire McCaskill (D) 49%
Jim Talent (R) 49%

http://i.a.cnn.net/cnn/2006/images/10/31/TOPSTATE.pdf
http://www.cnn.com/2006/POLITICS/10/31/poll.state.races/index.html

McCaskill 47%, Talent 46%
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/2006/State%20Polls/October%202006/MissouriSenate1030.htm

[KingFlorez]

1. C'mon Claire!

I really want to see her win! Looks like she might by the look of that packed room.

[AlCzervik]

2. can someone explain the technical difference between like and registered voters?

please and thank you. :hi:

[usregimechange]

3. How do pollsters decide who qualifies as a likely voter?

The exact methods differ from company to company and are often proprietary, but pollsters generally ask respondents about their past voting habits, their level of interest in the race, and the intensity of their allegiance to one candidate or another. The longer and more elaborate the questionnaire, the fewer likely voters the sampling is prone to yield.

Some pollsters, for example, will ask only whether the voter showed up for the last election and whether they plan on doing so again. Since many people feel slightly guilty about not voting, or want to appear more politically engaged than they really are, such polls tend to dramatically overstate the number of likely voters. Pollsters refer to this approach as a "soft screen."
http://www.slate.com/id/2104727/

[usregimechange]

4. Another photo

Credit: Joplin Globe

[Jacklyn75]

5. Boy that's a great photo! Go Claire!!!!!!!! n/t