Sebato Predictions: GOP May Not Win Single House Seat From Dems ("Shut-out")

[Hissyspit]

http://www.talkingpointsmemo.com/archives/010738.php

(November 02, 2006 -- 10:32 AM EDT)
Election watcher Larry Sabato's predictions are in...

23-30 House and 5-6 Senate pickups for Dems -- but more impressively, he thinks it's possible that the GOP might not win a single House seat, Senate seat, or governorship from Dems this election. Details here.

-- Paul Kiel

http://electioncentral.tpmcafe.com/blog/electioncentral/2006/nov/01/larry_sabato_dems_likely_to_win_23_30_house_seats_gop_facing_possible_shutout

Larry Sabato: Dems May Win 23-30 House Seats; GOP Facing Possible "Shutout"
By Greg Sargent | bio
Larry Sabato's latest predictions are in, and they're extraordinary. He's predicting a Dem pickup of 23-30 House seats, and five or six in the Senate. But here's what may be the most interesting part: Sabato thinks it's possible that the GOP may not take a single House seat, Senate seat, or governorship from Dems. In other words, he thinks a complete shutout of the GOP may be in the offing. More from Sabato after the jump.

Sabato:

Five days out, let's rephrase the question this way: when's the last time a major political party has failed to capture a single House seat, Senate seat, or governorship of the opposing party in a federal election year?

We bet it's never happened before, and it certainly hasn't happened in the post-World War II era. After all, even when a party suffers miserable net losses, it usually picks up at least several consolation prizes in the form of open seat pickups or an against-the-tide incumbent defeat.

MORE

[Virginia Dare]

1. Larry usually leans a little to the right...

so I'm cautiously optimistic that he's correct.

[BootinUp]

2. Shut outs are cool.

ok that was an understatement. :)

[BrotherBuzz]

4. Shutouts are boring events....

unless, of course, your team is doing the shutting. Is it Tuesday, yet? :)

[Fovea]

3. Pinch me.

Really, I thought I was dreaming there for a second.

[peacetalksforall]

5. Everyone save this and use it. We are hours away from the biggest

attempt to steal votes that anyone can imagine. Sabato is not exactly a friend of Dems, but he doesn't seem to be a liar. On Saturday - watch all the reports from right wing tv start showing all these gains for all the Republicans - even Harris and DeWine.

It's called planning, plotting, preparing , and intense obfuscation.

Just as a gang of criminals prepares for the biggest bank heist in all hisitory - that is what is going on. Call me negative. Call me a realist. Call me someone who has no expectations of old fashioned sportsman like fair play fro these nuts who are killing your kids and ruining their future. The list of destruction isunending and they are not going to give it up. It's not just two more years - it's forever with these people. They have made this country a disgrace and they want to keep it that way and go further.

This is not the US I grew up in. This is the worst to have ever been thought up and incarnated.

Slam me for being negative.

No more euphoria for me when I was convinced Gore would win. No more euphoria for me when I was convinced Kerry would win.

Reality of knowledge about the enemy and their revealed purpose and stealth is what we're facing and we didn't do enough about sanctifying our vote

[longship]

6. This has been shaping up for some months now.

All the momentum is in one direction--for us Democrats.

Because of several races becoming competitive in these last days, including AZ-5, KS-2, and a few others I have been watching, and because Dem held seats have increasingly become more secure, including NJ-Sen, IL-8, and the very few other truly contested Dem seats, I have decided that the predictions in my journal are right on the target.

Senate: 7-8 seats, all depending on what happens in AZ.
House: With the surprises we're going to see on election night, I am still *very* comfortable with my earlier bold prediction that more than 50 seats is possible.

My speculation that the Dems will lose zero Senate seats can now be appended with one that the Dems will not lose a single House seat either.

It's called a sweep, folks. Hang on tight!!