A once in a lifetime number (Good News ) Cook Poll >>>

[troublemaker]

Even if you live to be 120 you will probably NEVER see numbers like this again. Democrats always lag in likely voter models. To just pull even is a big deal for us.

What we see here is a NINE POINT ADVANTAGE toward Democrats between Cook's likely voter model versus registered voters. (26 point advantage total) This result defies every political rule of thumb. Six months ago no pollster or pundit would have believed this even possible. This is indeed an historic election.


Oct 26-29

Bush Job Approval (.Registered Voters) App 41 Disapp 53
Bush Job Approval (Most Likely Voters) App 38 Disapp 58


Cong. Generic Ballot (.Registered Voters) Dem 52 . Rep 39
Cong. Generic Ballot (Most Likely Voters) Dem 61 . Rep 35


Results from the October 26-29 Cook Political Report/RT Strategies Poll, with party breakdown (October 30, 2006)

http://www.cookpolitical.com/poll/default.php

[Totally Committed]

1. VERY good news!

Now, let's hope that is the actual outcome next Tuesday!

TC

[texpatriot2004]

2. K&R nt

[ItsTheMediaStupid]

3. Momentum for a 1994 sized landslide for Democrats

This poll is huge, the NYT/CBS poll showing an 18 point lead for Democrats is huge.

While some races are tightening, the overall picture is that we should pick up a lot of seats, both in the house and senate.

It also shows an electorate that is not likely to buy Kool-Aid - bad news for Rover and BushCo.

[grizmaster]

8. the difference in '94 was 7-8% if memory serves

this kind of differential is unprecedented. Gerrymandering will dampen the effect, but that's one big-ass wave coming on Tuesday.

[ItsTheMediaStupid]

10. In 1994, I wasn't afraid of the machines screwing us

In this election cycle, I'm optimistic because of the size of the lead, but I'm still nervous.

[peacetalksforall]

4. How did this Cook Political company register in 2000 and 2004?

Especially 2004?

Did they show Gore and/or Kerry in a good lead? If yes, we need to watch this company for reference in the event of theft.

(Ha Ha - in the even of theft - voter theft is a given wherever they think they can get away with it)

The most unethical, criminal, and un-American group of rulers this country has suffered under. Theft of votes - our most precious heritage and heritage and right means NOTHING to them.

[troublemaker]

9. I don't know how Cook had 2004 but it's a solid mainstream outfit

[LSK]

5. so the GOP base is likely to stay home

And the Dems are going to be out in force.

But we knew that all summer pretty much anyways.

[greeneyedboy]

6. we're almost at the finish line--keep up the GOTV work. callforchange.com!

[KKKarl is an idiot]

7. ..

This is exciting. I do not believe they will ignite the base to come out to vote. Even the big scandal they tried to make of Kerry joke will not help.

[troublemaker]

11. I forget to note this is also a 12-16 point surge since last month > > >

Likely voters:

Oct. 26-29- D 61 R 35
Oct. 19-22- D 57 R 35
Oct. 5-8- D 50 R 41
Sept. 27-30- D 51 R 35
Sept. 21-24- D 49 R 41

http://www.cookpolitical.com/poll/default.php

[Ignacio Upton]

12. That number was before this hysteria over Kerry

I would expect the Likely Voters numbers to look more like the Registered Voters numbers if this poll were taken today. However, that is still decent compared to 2004.