Is the cell phone vote going to be a big factor?

[KKKarl is an idiot]

This has been on my mind for a while. I even heard a segment on it on Fox News a couple of days ago. People who do not have a home phone are not polled. These people generally are under 30 years of age & believe in a progressive society. They are angry the direction the country is taking. A large number of households that own home phones tend to be the conservative-republican in their thinking. Hopefully the cell phone crowd will turn out in full force & blow the repubs out the water. Is their any information out their as to how much of an effect they can have on the outcome?

[skipos]

1. People talked about that 2004

But PRE election polls (no cell phones) were in general very consistent with the official 2004 results. The EXIT polls showed Kerry with bigger leads than the official results. However, exit polls weren't accurate in some elections in the 90s. Sooooo... you will have to look at the data and come to your own conclusion about the lack of cell phone users being polled.

[Greyhound]

2. I was one of those for many years (no land-line to my house), but I don't

think there are enough to be significant. 2% - 3% tops.

[Infinite Hope]

3. Maybe...

in races virtually tied. The real factor will be those who err on the side of their frustration after they go to the polls still undecided. "Oh, what the hell, the Republican is f*ck*ng everything up and the Democrat can't be any worse."