11/04-11/05 Mason Dixon&Ras Polling MD, MN, MO, MT, NJ, TN, VA

[cnlst8]

MD Cardin (D) 47% - Steele(R) 44% Mason Dixon
MN Klobuchar(D) 54% - Kennedy(R) 40% Rasmussen
MO McCaskill(D) 46% - Talent(R) 45% Mason Dixon
MT Tester(D) 50% - Burns(R) 48% Rasmussen
MT Tester(D) 47% - Burns(R) 47% Mason Dixon
NJ Menendez(D) 48% - Kean(R) 41% Mason Dixon
TN Corker(R) 50% - Ford(D) 38% Mason Dixon
TN Corker(R) 51% - Ford(D) 47% Rasmussen
VA Webb(D) 46% - Allen(R) 45% Mason Dixon

MT, MO, VA are gonna be close. Some mixed results like TN. Ford only down by 4% in this one compare to 8% in the last one. There still hope there. NJ is pretty much gonna go Dem, but MD had tightened a lot.

[rockymountaindem]

1. Still nobody has told me what the hell is happening in Montana!

We were way, way ahead there. I've been counting on it as a sure thing. Could it really be tied?

[OregonBlue]

2. Tradesport is still betting on Tester by almost 2 to 1.

[Zynx]

3. It will be close. Two-three points there.

I think we still win though.

[Ediacara]

6. Mason-Dixon is a garbage poll for one thing

Despite having a contract with a major newspaper publisher and having polled in Montana for decades, they mysteriously always show the GOP about 5-10% higher than they ever actually are. Tuesday's reality will be more like 54/46 for Tester.

ON EDIT: they're not much better in Tennessee where they show Ford down by 12 despite everyone and they're mother showing the race very close.

[INdemo]

17. It appears that this(TN)l was an online poll and there were 8% undecided

and they conducted these polls thru a local newspaer..read the fine print or google Mason Dixon poll TN senate race
These polls at this pont are strictly for media pruposes and I believe a Republican tactic to get their voters to the polls by showing them its worthwhile..
What really counts now is getting our voters to the polls..

[cnlst8]

7. In MT there are a number of factors attributed to the tightening.

In MT there are a number of factors attributed to the tightening.

1. MT is a red state still and replacing a well known name is hard. If you look at the polling 1 month ago undecided voters are breaking for Burns instead of Tester. The fact is some voters in MT would rather vote for a red crook than Dem.
2. Burns has a big advantage. Burns has spend a lot of his crooked money on a barrage of ads in MT, claiming he will raise taxes and so on. Tester doesn't have the funds to keep up. Reports stated months ago that Burns had about $2 million left, while Tester had $.5 million.
3. Dem were too overconfident, too early that MT will go their way that they deverted funds and energy away from MT and moved them to other races.
4. There are other little factors in the national media that sway undecided voters to Burns. Most of those undecided voters were Rep or Ind. Although some people here don't want to believe this, some incidents like the Kerry gaffee and the gay marriage stuff effect rural areas in "certain" states more than others.

[KingFlorez]

4. Glad to see Ford narrowed it in Rasmussen

[cnlst8]

5. self-delete

[bleedinglib]

8. Missour-a voters

I'v just spent three weeks on the phone in Missour-a working for Claire McCaskill and the Democratic Party and I can confidently report that the Republicans are in trouble!! I have never seen the Dem's this fired up.
If you think about it? the r's have lost support among their base and Indpendents so how could they possibly think this is goimg to be close???
Our Questions consisted of, do you plan on voting? do you know where your polling place is located? do you have transportation?
Will you be supporting Talent or McCaskill? Approx. results from about 2500 calls I made?
Talent had about 80% support from R's
McCaskill about 95% from Dems.
Independents were going 90% for dems.
The stem cell issue in missour-a is very polarizing and we had lots of opinion expressed about this issue? It seems that conservatives are telling people that this bill will allow human cloning? which is not true,
so, I kept a copy of the bill next to my work station and read it to several people and they seemed to be satisfied with that. I even (at my own expense mailed it to some voters)
I spoke with a wide variety of people of all ages and cultures and I'm very confident that people are demanding a change!!!!
Blib
:party:

[DCal]

9. Thanks for the detailed update. nt

[ChiciB1]

12. You Just Made Me Feel A Little Better... I've Been Making Calls

here in FL and have had good response, but polls don't reflect ANY of it!!

[ChiciB1]

10. Chaffee Pulls Ahead Too!

I actually like Chaffee, but I don't want him to win. Is this stuff just HYPE right now?? Here in FL polls show Crist still ahead even though most newspapers endorse Davis, I don't know what to think anymore!!

From what I'm seeing and hearing on MSM, looks like Dems might ONLY get 3 Senate seats!! Stating Allen might pull it out, Corker to win, Burns coming on strong, McCaskill may lose after all... not happy with these reports. What I hear from fellow Floridians is NOT what the polls show, but then I'm only in one spot down here, but it's a RED one!

It's Cruella's District right now, but Jennings could pull it out! Things are getting dicey all over, or is this some sort of last minute strategy here??? The only silver lining I see with all this new polling is that it might get Dems to be very aggressive and actually push harder to GOTV!!!

Steele is getting a lot of support from national black figures and Cardin isn't ahead much either!

[cobaindrain]

13. you're preaching the worst case scenario

DeWine and Santorum are definitely gone, both parties gave up on that a while ago, the results are pretty much set in stone

Cardin has stabilized his race, all the latest polls show him up anywhere from 3 to 6 points. Steele has pretty much NEVER led that race.

Same with McCaskill, she's ahead by razor thin margins but always ahead. She's pulled into a lead 10/26 and hasn't looked back since.

Latest polls show Tester + 2 and Ford making a late run at Corker

Allen/Webb is back and forth but we have late momentum.

[ChiciB1]

14. Okay... You've Got My Back, Correct???

I think I need to stay AWAY from the TUBE, my anxiety level can't take it!

[cobaindrain]

15. heh, we ALL need to stay away from the tube

But I can't resist!

Things look like they're going our way though, ignore the gloom and doomers. Things will break right for us this year, we've been working too damn hard...

[ChiciB1]

16. Yeah, I've Actually Lost A Several Pounds Myself!

And after almost 2 years of chaos with a son addicted to meth, I need to make a run to Goodwill for some new threads! Gave a lot of money away and my financial resources have taken a hit!

One good thing I guess, I don't have to worry about over-eating this Holiday season! Nice to know I can actually put on a few pounds!

[cobaindrain]

11. looks like Tester halted Burns momentum

good news