Are there atleast 15 House that are almost guaranteed pick ups?

[fujiyama]

I'm talking about atleast 15 races with major leads of around 10%. This is assuming Dems don't lose any seats. I ask this because it seems like especially in the NE (MA and NY come to mind), there are several republican congressmen in bad shape. NY alone looks like it will be an entire near Dem takeover with Hillary and Spitzer leading the way.

The House seems so likely. But the senate really is giving me doubts.

But I don't want that to dissuade anyone from voting for Ford or Tester, or any of the other Dems in close races.

[bluestateguy]

1. There are 12 by my count

Meaning that in the other 40 competitive races, Republicans would have to win nearly all of them.

The only Democratic seat I am little worried about is the Barrow-Burns race in Georgia.

[LynneSin]

2. There are two definitely in PA

Sestak in PA-07 and Carney in PA-10 are pretty much a shoo-in for their seats. Lois Murphy in PA-06 has been ahead of Jim Gerlach in a much tighter race and we have close races in PA-08 and PA-04.

So I think we'll get a +3 out of Pennsylvania

[still_one]

3. Yes

http://www.pollster.com/house.php

The Senate is a toss up

[fujiyama]

5. Great map

What disturbs me is how some states simply have no competitive races at all like my own here in MI. Damn those republicans have done quite a job with their gerrymandering. Funny even that couldn't keep them the House.

[still_one]

6. that is why the rove machine believes it will win

the one factor they didn't consider is the independents, and the republicans who have been disenfranchised by these clowns

[WCGreen]

4. Two for sure here in Ohio...

Could easily be three or four by the time the dust settles...

Pryce and Ney seat go Dem...

Chabot and possibly Mean Jean....