The spin on polling!

[ProSense]

First, the polls have been trending slightly downward for Democrats, but still with a good margin, so nothing that happened this week impacted that trend:

ABC/Washington Post LV
..................................R.............D
11/1-4/06...................45.............51
10/19-22/06................41.............54
10/5-8/06................... 41.............54

Pew LV
11/1-4/06...................43.............47
10/17-22/06................38.............49
9/21 - 10/4/06.............38.............51


Newsweek LV
11/2-3/06...................38.............54
10/26-27/06...............39.............53
10/19-20/06...............37.............55

Time LV
11/1-3/06...................40.............55
10/3-4/06...................39.............54
8/22-24/06...................40.............51


USA Today/Gallup LV
10/20-22/06.................41.............54
10/6-8/06....................36.............59

http://www.pollingreport.com/2006.htm

Kerry's joke had no discernible impact:





Raised serious doubts:

19% All
36% Repub.
5% Dem.
18% Ind.

These are voters who would be voting Republican anyway.

CBS News/New York Times Poll. Oct. 27-31, 2006. N=598 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 4 (for all likely voters).

"If the 2006 election for U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate in your district?"

ALL likely voters
34% Republican
52% Democrat

Republicans
84% Republicans
6% Democrats

Democrats
3% Republicans
90% Democrats

Independents
23% Republicans
50% Democrats

http://www.pollingreport.com/2006a.htm

[ProSense]

1. In fact, Newsweek and Time polls edged up!

None of this is significant!

[maine_raptor]

2. There's only one poll that counts

and in 48 or so hours, we'll know the results.

GO Dem's...............GOTV!!!!!!!!!!!!

[flpoljunkie]

3. CNN reports today Dems are ahead an astounding 58% to 38% in Congressional polling. Take that, Pew!