Harold Ford Jr on Imus states he's winning early voting

[durrrty libby]

He said more than 900,000 people have voted early
and 15% more dems than pugs

Big Dog was down there yesterday campaigning for him


I really...really want him to win....Go Harold!

:dem: :dem: :dem:

[Greeby]

1. Just for context

The Green Papers has these for TN
Estimated Voting age population (November 2000): 4,221,000
Registered Voters (November 2000): 3,181,108

:bounce:

[ps1074]

2. So, if turnout is 50%

So, if turnout is 50% (which is high for midterm elections) it means 1,5 to 1,6 million votes total will be casted. With 900,000 people already voted, only 600,000 to 700,000 will vote on election day. And if Ford is corerct, Corker will need to win 60% on election day which is unlikely...

[Jai4WKC08]

3. Harold should STFU

If TN Repubs, especially the racists and bible thumpers, think Ford is ahead, they'll be all the more certain to make sure they vote tomorrow.

On the other hand, those folks don't listen to Imus anyway. Their preachers are probably telling 'em Corker has it in the bag, and that anyone who says otherwise is part of the damned lib'rul media.

[nickinSTL]

4. I agree...does Ford have any idea when to shut up?

not only might it energize his opponents, but it could suppress Dem turnout if they think he's going to win without their vote.

[Jai4WKC08]

5. Good point!

Contrary to what the Repubs say (and corporate media parrots), I have always thought that it was the media calling FL for Gore early that caused Democrats to say, well, he doesn't need my vote afterall.