Jim Webb surges 8 points ahead of Allen

[ps1074]

Democrat Jim Webb has surged ahead of Republican George Allen in the last poll of the campaign, conducted for News-7 by SurveyUSA.

The survey shows Webb with 52% of the likely voters, with 44% going to Allen.

In five previous SurveyUSA tracking polls, the race was a virtual tie with Allen slightly ahead. Other late polls show the race much closer. A Mason-Dixon poll released over the weekend had Webb ahead by a point, and a Gallup poll released today has Allen up by three.

The SurveyUSA poll also shows 42% support for the Marriage Amendment, but with 22% still uncertain over how they'll vote. Thirty-six percent say they'll vote against it.

SurveyUSA interviewed 1,000 Virginia adults from November 3 through November 5. Of them, 840 were registered to vote. Of them, 741 were judged to be "likely" voters. Survey details reflect Likely Voters.

http://www.wdbj7.com/Global/story.asp?S=5639356

[cobaindrain]

1. and we've got the stronger ground game in virginia

[Sensitivity]

2. Turn out is usually 35% SO YOU CAN SEE CRITERIA FOR LIKELY

may be very different from other polls being reported.

But this is very exciting.

Back to GOTV!

[Zynx]

14. NoVA will have higher turnout than the rest of the state.

It is high income and high education. It's so well educated that it pulls the entire state's averages in educational standards into the top tier. High income + high education = high turnout.

[NoAmericanTaliban]

3. Who will Allen blame his loss on - Jews, Macaccas, media, Clinton?

[smoogatz]

6. Bloggers!

You know, those shrill, far left moonbats who want to give the terrorists therapy. How else could you explain their support for a soft-on-terror über-liberal like Jim Webb?

[Ken Burch]

29. The gays too. Don't forget the gays.

They went after Allen as part of their homosocialist plot to destroy the family, don't you know.

[On the Road]

4. Wow -- That is a Shocker

We'll see if those numbers hold up tomorrow. After so many years of frustration, this silent Democratic wave is amazing.

[Straight Shooter]

5. SurveyUSA is one of the more reliable polls, if I remember right.

I very much want Webb to win. Virginia doesn't deserve to be represented by a bully like Felix Allen.

[Renew Deal]

7. If anyone of the Dem candidates deserve to go to the senate it's Webb.

He's going to rock those bureaucrats out of their seats. Go Jim!

[gully]

8. Wow! MOMENTUM!

Yeah!

[ItsTheMediaStupid]

9. SurveyUSA showed a similiar late break for Tim Kane in 2005

I hope it turns out the same for Webb.

[ItsTheMediaStupid]

10. WHOOOOOOOOPEEEEEEEEE!!!!!!!

Now, if it proves to be true tomorrow...

[Sparkly]

11. I soooooo want to see "Mr. Macaca" go down...

Goooo Webb!!!! :woohoo:

[Janice325]

12. Oh, God I hope this is true and Webb's lead holds up tomorrow and he

wins BIGTIME!!!
k&r from someone living in Georgia,but born in Richmond, Virginia! :hi:
Good luck to Dems everywhere!!

[Hawaii Hiker]

13. I had heard Northern Virgina

is very strong Democrat & likely will go heavily for Webb..It's the other areas of VA. that make the race closer...

Also saw a recent poll taken by the Columbus News Dispatch for the Ohio Senate race & it had Sherrod Brown up in double digits!....This can all be found on www.electoral-vote.com

[Tiggeroshii]

15. It's bagged

WE're getting Virginia, no doubt about it.

[Va Lefty]

16. Allen going DOWN!!!!

[AtomicKitten]

17. BEST NEWS TODAY !!!

Sorry for yelling, but I think this news deserves some fanfare.

[wordpix]

18. Webb has a great anti-Iraq War ad that other Dems should use today & tomorrow

I swear it's this ad that has put Webb over the top. Go, Jim Webb! Sen. Macaca is history!

[featherman]

19. I'd love to believe this. Let's hope. We need this and MO

[Duppers]

20. that's great news!!!!

But more people are for this marriage amendment outlawing gay marriage! I knew this state is insane and still too southern! Please don't hop on my case for that comment -- I'm southern born and raised and my mother and I have stopped speaking for months over this issue.

At least Charlottesville's City Council is voting tonight to oppose the marriage amendment. There are some pockets of sanity in this state.

[durrrty libby]

21. This is very good news. Now we need the same for Tennessee

Getting these 2 states would be uber awesome

:bounce: :bounce:

[civildisoBDence]

22. What an ally in the fight to end the war--former Sec. of the Navy Webb!

The Hillbilly Bear, George Allen, so nice to see you GO DOWN!!

Newsprism

[thereismore]

23. wow, just wow. can't wait till tomorrow. nt

[Jackpine Radical]

24. WOOT!!

:bounce: :bounce: :toast: :bounce: :bounce: :toast: :bounce: :bounce:

:party: :party: :party: :party: :party: :party: :party: :party:

[NastyRiffraff]

25. Huzzah!!!

Man, I hope this is true! I want Felix outta there bad.

Now, going to send some more emails....and get ready to get up early tomorrow morning!

[Hippo_Tron]

26. SurveyUSA predicted Kaine would beat Kilgore

[IWantAChange]

27. If it's close and goes to a recount I hope the DNC is ready to

fight like our lives depend on it - because in my opinion they do.

[kwolf68]

28. Keep your heads on

I feel good about Webb here in Virginia too, but I also felt good about Kerry in 2004...don't under-estimate the power of the racist element in this state...I bet some people are saying they are voting Webb and then pulling the lever for Felix...

Don't underestimate...a friend of mine's father yesterday got on the phone after heading to the store and it appeared some black people were in the street as he was driving home...and here is his quote

-it's like a zoo here...I AM A TRUE CONSERVATIVE and the damn ni**ers are everywhere----He knows I am Liberal, but decided to make his case anyway. After he said that I replied, "Oh wow...I trust you'll be voting for George Allen tomorrow."

His response: "Damn Right".

This is what we're up against...at least this guy was honest enough to admidt he was a racist, but many in this state aren't and they'll vote that way.

[Muddy Waters Guitar]

30. I wonder if even that crypto-racist element could balance out the

aversion to voting for someone who so patently has his foot stuck in his mouth, almost all the time, and votes in concordance. Some of those crypto-R's might incline to pull the lever for Allen-- OTOH, to do so, they'd have to gaze at themselves in the mirror afterward and say, "I just voted for a certifiable idiot-- does that make an idiot, too?" Methinks basic self-esteem might balance out the crypto-R element somewhat.