Polls will start breaking today

[sampsonblk]

We've heard that undecideds usually break for the challenger. I hope and pray things go our way. In any event, we should get a good idea today, because the undecideds should start to break one way or the other.

Pray pray pray!

[babylonsister]

1. But no one votes today. Might have to wait til tomorrow.

:)

[John Q. Citizen]

2. And that's the truth, babylonsister! n/t

[Sensitivity]

3. THE BALLOT BOX IS THE ONLY POLL THAT COUNTS NOW

[longship]

4. Do not trust the opinion polls since last week.

Pew Research, and many other pollsters are predicting a Republican surge solely on historic data, ignoring all current data and global indicators to the contrary. There is absolutely no indication that their assumption, "Republicans finish strong," is correct. To the contrary, this year, turnout could be completely the opposite of what their adjusted models suggest.

We just don't know. And neither do the pollsters.

Do not trust any polls now

Vote!

[Igel]

5. That's the thing about polls.

They always have assumptions. Always. Even if they poll everybody, there's the assumption "everybody tells the truth."

The polls from three weeks ago or the polls from today are only flawed if the assumptions are wrong. I haven't trusted a poll whose assumptions I couldn't independently evaluate since I learned a bit o' statistics and some basic polling methodology.