4 new MO polls. 11/05-11/06

[cnlst8]

11/06
SUSA
McCaskill(D) 51% - Talent(R) 42% - Gilmour(L) 4% - undecided/other 3%
http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=270d1bcf-18e3-40f2-895e-cba8c78e7088

Polimetrix
McCaskill 50 - Talent 50%
http://www.pollster.com/Polimetrix%20CCES%20Press%20Release%20110606.pdf

VA
Webb 50% - Allen 50%
http://www.pollster.com/Polimetrix%20CCES%20Press%20Release%20110606.pdf


11/05
Talent 49 - McCaskill 48 Rasmussen (premium members)

McCaskill 49 - Talent 45 Gallop
http://www.usatoday.com//news/polls/tables/live/2006-11-05-state-polls.htm


Only poll that matters is on election day. GOTV. Call friends/family members if you know any from that area.

[Infinite Hope]

1. I'd throw out SurveyUSA for starters...

She's probably ahead by something like 3%.

[Hav]

2. .

I'd do the same. Too often they had some really strange results and we can't just pick out those that we like.
But whatever, the turnout matters and nothing else.

[fujiyama]

3. It probably is an outlier

MO is a tough state. Kerry did terrible there, but did write it off really early. Gore was quite a bit closer. And Talent won by a close margin in '02.

To their credit they did vote for a dead man over Ashcroft. It looks like McCaskill has a slight edge in the state. But the state also has issues with voter suppression, etc. So it depends on how fair that will be as well as turnout of course.

[featherman]

5. MO voted for Clinton/Gore twice...it's a true toss-up state in national

elections although trending red in the last 3 cycles. Enormous presence of fundies and wingnuts in the SE. We need Claire to pull this one off here folks. Let's do it.

[Bucky]

4. SurveyUSA uses robocalls (figure that!!) to do its surveys. The methodology sucks.

They can get more done cheaper, but obviously the methodology is going to skew the results to those with more free time on their hands (retirees, unemployed).