Is there any one upset you want to predict, so we'll all know how brilliant

[Rowdyboy]

you are? Be just as radical as you wanna be.

Here's mine. I predict Davis narrowly beats Crist in the Florida governor's race.

[MnFats]

1. Patty Wetterling over Michell Bachmann in Minn.'s Sixth

child advocate who lost her son to kidnapper defeats religious fanatic -- "there can be no separation of church and state."
Also, "God told me to run for Congress."
please keep this nut out of office...

[Rowdyboy]

2. Great race! If the wave is the size I expect (30-35 seats) Wetterling will win

That would be soooo sweet!

[Coyote_Bandit]

42. Yesssss!!! - I hope so

Hard to read from afar though....

[solara]

3. John Laesch over Denny Hastert

by enough votes to be decisive...a real upset

:bounce: :bounce: :bounce:

[Rowdyboy]

4. "Hastert the basturt" certainly deserves to lose.....

[More Than A Feeling]

32. You mean "Denny the Dumpling?"

If he's going down, then we'll win 60-70 seats.

[Cronus Protagonist]

34. No, He means the Hasturbator

[rosesaylavee]

47. Yes. I think so too!

There was only one poll done here and that had Laesch only 10 points behind in mid-October. It could happen here - folks are very angry at Denny!

If it does happen, many of us will dancing in the street. Come join us!

[Norquist Nemesis]

59. Ohhh, that would be sweet! Add Shannon over Biggert to that one!

Even sweeter!

[jab105]

5. My Predictions:

Crist beats Davis - the Crist TV ads were just too much (I've been seeing them for months!)
Senate: We take Virginia, Missouri, Pennsylvania, Ohio...and we barely squeak by in Montana...
Unfortunately, Lieberman wins CT, Coker wins TN, and I **think** Chaffee might make it in RI...Kyl takes AZ...
Republicans keep control:(


Congress: 25 seat pickup for us = Speaker Pelosi:)
And, I sure hope that includes a Congressman Kleeb - my latest swoonworthy political crush!!

[Rowdyboy]

7. Realistic.....

Kleeb would be a nice bonus

[Ediacara]

6. Gray Trauner over Barbara Cubin in WY-AL

Cubin makes Mean Jean Schmitt look like Miss Congeniality.

[Rowdyboy]

8. "I ought to slap the shit of of you, punk"

She is a class act, isn't she.....

[nuxvomica]

9. NH-01: Carol Shea-Porter beats Jeb Bradley

Presumed-safe district but Shea-Porter has risen rather quickly in the polls and NH is getting bluer.

[Rowdyboy]

12. That one has been somewhat surprising......

I'm very hopeful

[progdonkey]

10. I'm calling Melançon vs. Hall in TX-04...

Hall is a truly reprehensible little fuck. He was a Dem from 1981-2004, when he changed to Republican, so right there we should want him gone. He's extremely corrupt--one of the big Abramoff guys; he even insulted a child sex worker in the Marianas, recorded in the Congressional Record, by saying she "wanted to do nude dancing."

In 2004, he beat his challenger by over 30 points. Now, his Dem challenger is a history professor (he teaches at some college just across the border in OK, but lives in Sherman, TX) and a poll a few weeks ago had him only 7 points behind.

Imagine if Melançon actually beat Hall: a Zell Miller who won by a 30-point margin lost to an under-funded Dem, even if by an incredibly slim margin.

Here's a link to a post on TPM Election Central about it: http://electioncentral.tpmcafe.com/blog/electioncentral/2006/oct/24/tx_04_new_dem_poll_suggests_goper_hall_not_completely_safe

(Even though I'm in VA, I also am very personally interested in this election since I lived in Sherman for three months earlier this year, and my best friend--who's a born and raised Sherman girl--is very Republican. Even though I love her to death, I would still love to gloat that she has a Dem congressman. O8) Though, her Marine Lt. older brother is a Dem, so maybe he'll convince her to vote Dem this time, which would ruin my gloating, but make me very proud of her. :patriot: )

[Rowdyboy]

13. Party switchers tend to piss me off......

Though Jim Jeffords didn't really bother me much.....

[progdonkey]

23. There really is a huge difference between Dem-->Rep and vice versa...

and I'm not just saying that because I'm a Dem. Since the "Center" has been moving steadily right, to the point that Rockefeller Republicans are practically socialists now, when someone switches from Rep to Dem or Ind (as Jeffords did, though he's perhaps a de facto Dem nevertheless) it's much more reasonable when the person says, "I didn't change, the Party changed."

When someone goes from Dem to Rep, however, they're basically playing political catch-up: oh, it's more politically expedient for me to be a Rep, since the center is moving rightward, and I want to stay in power; if I stay a Dem, I might be labeled a liberal and I'll have a harder time staying in office.

Of course, if the center (hopefully) starts moving back leftward, the opposite dynamic will happen, conservative Dems will become Reps and some opportunistic Reps will become Dems. To be perfectly honest, though, I'll be happy to see the conservative Dems go to the other party then: not because I want to be rid of them (well, not necessarily ;-) ), but because it'll be a sign that the center really is moving leftward. Also, I'll be just as dismissive and spiteful towards the Reps who want to be Dems as I am to the current Reps who were formerly Dems. It's the difference between changing parties out of principal or out of political ambition.

[Rowdyboy]

25. Trust me, I won't bitch a second about any elected Republican who switches

to our party. However, as a southerner, I've been so hurt so many times by asshole Democrats who use my vote to get elected and then switch parties that I'm a bit gun-shy.

[provis99]

29. i don't mind the yellow-dog Democrats in the South switching,

everyone knew they were conservative when they got elected, but even in some parts of the South they still won't vote for the party of Lincoln. But asshat opportunists like Ben Nighthorse Campbell really piss me off when they switch.

[Chipper Chat]

30. My fantasy is that Republicans retain the Senate 51-49

and then Susan Collins and Olympia Snowe switch parties.
They would be the 'maine' reason for a glorious 2 years of anti-bush legislation and investigation. C'mon gals - DO IT!

[KalicoKitty]

68. I am happy Webb switched over to the Democratic party!

:bounce:

[longship]

11. KS-2: Nancy Boyda upsets Jim Ryun

Kathleen Sebelius is doing a wonderful job as governor and will sweep back into office with a Lieutenant Governor who is a former Kansas Republican chair running as a Democrat. There are also eight other former Republicans runing as Democrats for state offices. All nine of them have left their party because it's become so damned crazy--full of lunatic rapture rightist theocrats. They are sick and tire of the bullshit and there's a *huge* rift in the Republican party in Kansas.

Democrat Nancy Boyda is running in a mixed district, ideology-wize, but includes Topeka, Manhattan, and the Kansas K.C. suburbs, including Leavenworth. It is sufficiently strong in the Democrat column to turn the tide this time, with some help from moderates.

There's going to be fireworks tomorrow. Nancy Boyda is going to set some of her own tomorrow night.

[Rowdyboy]

15. I'm particularly interested in the Kanses attorney general's race

The Democrat is a recent party-switcher who is running against a horrendous Christian-right incumbent.

Best of luck to Nancy! Its gonna be a good night!

[Mabus]

28. Paul Morrison has pulled ahead

With 1% undecided, Morrison is polling at 56% and Klein at 43%. Two former AGs (both Republicans) came out and endorsed Morrison over Klein.

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReportPopup.aspx?g=22c5c341-3acc-4743-a515-22131c9243c1&q=31233

[Jacklyn75]

48. I'm glad he's pulled ahead of Klein! Klein is a nut!! n/t

[Mabus]

53. The second "L" in Phill is for "loony"

btw, one "L" Phil Klein, a former state rep, endorsed Morrison. It was pretty funny when the headlines were "Phil Klein endorses Paul Morrison." I'm sure it confused many of double "L" Phill's supporters.

[Jacklyn75]

75. hahaha! I didn't hear that one! n/t

[Mabus]

27. Damn, beat me to it.

I believe it will happen.

edited for spelling

[ripple]

58. That's mine, too! Go Nancy!!!! n/t

[AntiWarPoster]

14. NY-26, Davis beats Tom Reynolds

And I am really happy afterward.

[Rowdyboy]

16. Oh, hell yeah, Reynolds is toast......

[AntiWarPoster]

17. I live in the district

I've seen a lot of Davis ads, but a lot of Reynolds ads as well.

Davis has pledged to not accept his Congressional salary or benefits and said that he will work for only 1 dollar per year. He is a multi-millionaire so he can afford to do this.

Reynolds has been linked to the Foley scandal because he knew about it and did nothing but tell Hastert. Then Hastert did nothing

Polls have varied widely and this one should come down to the wire. The district is very Republican(went for Bush by ~15 points twice) so it's all about Foley.

[Rowdyboy]

19. From what I've seen, it looks promising. I also like our chances in the district

where Michael Arcuri (spelling?) is running. The sleazy Republican ad trashing him for an aide dialing a sex-phone hotline accidentally is hopefully backfiring.

[AntiWarPoster]

21. Yes

NY-25 is a possibility as well. I also think we will unseat wife-beater Tom Sweeney in NY-20. The district you are talking about is the one to replace Boehlert I believe. I live around all of these Republican incumbent districts and they are all up for grabs.

[Earth_First]

39. Fellow NY26 voter here...

Very enthusiastically cast my ballot for Davis this morning!

[SaveElmer]

18. VA-10 Judy Feder takes out Frank Wolf....

Fingers crossed...

Election Eve is always nerve racking, particularly after the results of the last two elections!

[Rowdyboy]

20. Ain't it the truth.....

Considering 2000, 2002, and, especially 2004, its VERY nerve wracking.

[Zynx]

22. Idaho's open seat comes our way.

Total shocker, but possible.

[Rowdyboy]

24. That one keeps coming up......Isn't it Sali-v-Grant?

That would be such a great win. I remember when Idaho had a classy progressive senator, Frank Church, who would have made an excllent president. Sadly, he died very young, yet I understand his wife (Bethine?) is still campaigning for our side out there.

[TheBaldyMan]

26. Senate and Congress both change to Democratic control.

In spite of electoral fraud by Republicans and constant browbeating by the TV and radio. Too many people vote Democratic and swamp all attempts at a fix for the Velcro Cowboy.

[last_texas_dem]

31. I'd go with

either the Wyoming seat or the Idaho-1st district seat going Dem as a nice possible upset I'd like to predict. I think the Idaho one is more likely, and will actually predict that we will pick up that seat. (But maybe I've just been reading "DailyKos" too much...)

I'd be happy to say there will be an upset in the TX Gov's race and the Kinky and Strayhorn supporters will decide getting Perry out should be the top priority and push Bell over the top... but I don't really think that one will happen.

[More Than A Feeling]

33. John Courage in TX-21

An ultra-dark horse, but "Congressman Courage" has such a nice ring to it.

[Clark2008]

35. OK - since it's raining in Republican East Tennessee this morning

and it's sunny in Democratic West Tennessee and since there has already been record turnout in early voting in Memphis and, ehhh... not so much in Knoxville...

I'll predict a squeaker with Ford winning and lots of Republican challenges.

How's that?

[enigmatic]

36. Harry Mitchell beating JD Hayworth

The only other person I hated as much as Joe Arpaio when I lived in Arizona in the 90's was JD Hayworth; the guy is covered in slime is has the IQ of a canned ham. Harry Mitchell is a good guy and I'm hoping he can pull this victory out; this would be cherry on the top of a Democratic Congress.

[demzilla]

71. My choice also

I think it'll happen! Hayworth grates on people and Harry was endorsed by the Arizona Republic, which gives him a stamp of approval from the moderate-conservative side of things.

[gr8dane_daddy]

37. Ciro Rodriguez over "Que Chulo" Henry "I'm Bush's Bitch" Bonilla

redistricted....

[Vinca]

38. Kyl goes down. nt

[blondeatlast]

43. Please, God/Goddess/ any available spiritual power who may be

available!

Your lips to their ears.

[Vinca]

46. It occurred to me that when speaking of Republicans I probably

shouldn't use the phrase "goes down.":rofl:

[AZBlue]

56. Yup - that was mine too. Pederson Prevails! will be tomorrow's headline

[TheFarseer]

40. Scott Kleeb over Adrian Smith NE-3 n/t

[Zynx]

52. That would be amazing. It would also snub Bush big time.

[elizm]

41. SC ONE...Maatta over Republican Brown

[blondeatlast]

44. JD Hayworth defeated by Harry Mitchell--AZ.

[Cameron27]

69. yes yes yes

[Infinite Hope]

45. Wetterling, Rowley, Walz....and Pederson, Lamont all possible n/t

[Tippy]

49. Ford over Corker in TN........n/t

[THUNDER HANDS]

50. David Mejias beats Peter King

51-49%

[Solitaire]

51. Tester takes Burns....

Please God, make it so.

Sol :)

[distantearlywarning]

54. Lamont over Lieberman. n/t

[Comicstripper]

55. Pederson in Arizona?

I don't necessarily think it really will happen, but it's fun to say!

[Lurking Dem]

57. Ford Beats Corker!

I don't know if that is prescient or wishful thinking.

[Mr Rabble]

60. Busby over Bilbray in CA-50.

[windbreeze]

61. Lamont over Lieberman..

I hope by a wide margin...so there is no more crap from that guy...
wb

[Turn CO Blue]

62. Paccione over Musgrave in CO - 04

I'm just writing it so this good thought gets out into the universe. It's more of a wish than a prediction...

[momophile]

73. I second this good thought! nt

[HeeBGBz]

63. Trent Lott loses

Hey, it's a longshot, but I sure had fun voting against him.

[LeftishBrit]

64. That would make me soooo happy all the way here!

Also Arnold!

[Blue_In_AK]

67. Hey, HeeB, I hope you're right. :-)

[HeeBGBz]

72. Wouldn't THAT be cool?

How are you, Blue? I wish you lived closer.

[Blue_In_AK]

74. Move to Alaska, sweetie

No hurricanes up here, and earthquakes only happen once in a long while. :)

[dethl]

65. NM-02 going to Kissling would kick ass.

I hate Pearce with a passion. He's a bonafide * ass kisser.

Then again, seeing Heather Wilson (NM-01) gone (a done deal basically) will be just as pleasant of a sight.

[Blue_In_AK]

66. Diane Benson over Don Young in Alaska by 2.5%

That's been her campaign manager's prediction all along, and I'm agreeeing with him.

[BurgherHoldtheLies]

70. PA-04 Jason Altmire (Democrat) beats bushbot incumbent Melissa Hart

If Rendell and Casey have long coat-tails and PA wants to cleanse itself of the theo-neo-con Repugs, Hart should lose.

[BurgherHoldtheLies]

79. I PREDICTED THIS "UPSET" in PA-04: Jason Altmire defeats Hart

I got my trifecta: Rendell wins easily, Casey hands Santorum his a** and my bushbot congresswoman, Melissa Hart gets defeated by newcomer Jason Altmire.

:woohoo::bounce::toast:

[Psst_Im_Not_Here]

76. CO-05 Fawcett over Lamborn

Hey...it could happen! REALLY it could!

[TedsGarage]

77. IL-10

Dan Seals over Mark Kirk. It's one of those old Rockefeller Republican districts, but it voted for Gore and Kerry.

[Iris]

78. Mark Taylor, Governor of GA

Ok. Not gonna happen, but just thought I'd say it anyway!

(Maybe a run-off? Thanks to the libertarian candidate)