Greenfield: What to watch for -- hour by hour
November 7, 2006
By Jeff Greenfield
CNN Senior Analyst
OK, so maybe we did have to wait 37 days to find out who won in 2000; and maybe it took until dawn two years ago to know that Bush had won a second term. But that doesn't mean you early-to-bed types won't have important clues to the big stories tonight. Here's an hour-by-hour guide to some of the key questions we'll be asking:
7 p.m.
1. A flood or a trickle?
There are five endangered Republicans in Indiana and Kentucky, and one in New Hampshire; and two Democrats in Georgia (just about the only two vulnerable Democrats anywhere). If Democrats net three or more from these contests, a takeover of the House is highly likely.
2. An Ohio disaster? (Ohio closes at 7:30 p.m.)
The Republican Party here has been mired in scandal -- the economy is underperforming; expectations are that they will lose every statewide office by huge margins, and a Senate seat as well. There are four or five GOP House seats that could fall as well. Here is where the vaunted GOP turnout machine won Bush a second term in 2004. Can the GOP machine do it again?
3. As Virginia goes, so goes the Senate?
Democratic hopes for six Senate seats are rooted in Virginia, thanks to George Allen's missteps and a more Democratic tinge to the state up North. If Allen holds on, it makes a Democratic takeover just about impossible.
4. Presidential coattails?
Bush campaigned in both Georgia districts where Democratic incumbents are vulnerable, and in Mike Sodrel's Indiana district. If these three races go GOP, it may tell us that the president still has political clout where it matters....
http://www.cnn.com/2006/POLITICS/11/07/greenfield.key.questions/index.html