WP political blog, "The Fix," by Chris Cillizza
11/8/2006
For Democrats, It's a Solid Northeast
Looking for an early read on how Democrats won the House? Look no further than the consolidation of the Northeast, where Democrats have won at least nine Republican-held seats.
Take New Hampshire. In the only state that switched its support to the Democratic presidential candidate in 2004 after supporting President George W. Bush in 2000, Democrats defeated Reps. Jeb Bradley (R-01) and Charlie Bass (R02).
Bass was on many watch lists as his numbers collapsed late in the campaign. But Bradley was on NO ONE's radar screen. Democrat Carol Shea-Porter (D) upset the national Democrats' pick in the primary thanks to a strong anti-war message but was not seen as a real threat to Bradley.
Pennsylvania proved similarly disastrous for Republicans....In New York, Democrat Michael Arcuri won the open 24th District seat, John Hall defeated Rep. Sue Kelly in the 19th District, and attorney Kirsten Gillibrand (D) defeated Rep. John Sweeney (R) in the 20th District....In Connecticut, Rep. Nancy Johnson, who has held the 5th District since 1982, lost her seat....
In many ways, the consolidation of the Northeast by Democrats mirrors similar gains made in the South by Republicans when they took the House in 1994....
http://blog.washingtonpost.com/thefix/