21 Republicans and only 12 Dems at play in '08

[upi402]

{here's a little feel-good}

<<<Democrats>>>

Baucus, Max
Biden, Joseph
Durbin, Richard
Harkin, Tom
Johnson, Tim
Kerry, John
Landrieu, Mary
Lautenberg, Frank
Levin, Carl
Pryor, Mark
Reed, Jack
Rockefeller, John

____________________________

<<<Republicans>>>
Alexander, Lamar
Allard, Wayne
Chambliss, Saxby
Cochran, Thad
Coleman, Norm
Collins, Susan
Cornyn, John
Craig, Larry
Dole, Elizabeth
Domenici, Pete
Enzi, Michael
Graham, Lindsey
Hagel, Chuck
Inhofe, James
McConnell, Mitch
Roberts, Pat
Sessions, Jeff
Smith, Gordon
Stevens, Ted
Sununu, John
Warner, John

[Moloch]

1. They'll hammer hard at Landrieu....

she barely won re-election in 2002, plus the demographics in Louisiana have changed. The thugs probably have somebody lined up already (most likely Jindal) to try to take her out. We need to be prepared for this one.

[finecraft]

7. I think Jindal will run for Governor

I'm thinking Jim McCrery or Richard Baker will run against her.

[blitzen]

45. You're right...Unfortunately, I have long since vowed to never vote for her again

she has crossed the line one too many times

[femrap]

56. So who would be a GOOD Dem to run against

her in the primary???? I don't know LA politics.

[inthebrain]

50. Did Landrieu vote for the Bankruptsy bill?

If that's the case she's screwed.

That bill is hurting Katrina victims left and right.

[phiddle]

2. Who's vulnerable?

[abburdlen]

5. Dole

I doubt she will seek reelection. Even our local right-wing radio station here can't stand her and I don't imagine the GOP leaadership is impressed with her.

If our Democratic Governor Mike Easley wants the seat in 08 he could likely get it.

[spooky3]

14. John Warner (VA) is nearly 80 years old; may retire.

He is more widely liked and respected than Felix Jr., so if he runs again, he'll be hard to beat.

[meow2u3]

32. Maybe Rick Santorum will end up running in Virginia

If he does, at least he'll be running out of his home state :evilgrin:

What good moderate will we have to run against him? Kaine?

[phiddle]

35. Run in Va. while his kids are educated in Idaho! :-)

[spooky3]

51. hehe. Ricky's problem is that people actually know him in his

home state, and that means he has no chance of winning.

You're probably right about Kaine, but we'll have to see if he succeeds as governor first. An already Dem Senate may entice Mark Warner to run, but I doubt it. I'm sure some other good Dems will emerge.

[femrap]

57. Why wouldn't Warner want to be Senator?

Replace a Warner with a Warner??? He said he didn't want to run for Prez.

[spooky3]

75. he declined to run against Allen when people

were urging him to do so (and he would have won easily). He said something along the lines that he was an executive type of person and didn't think he would have the patience to do what is necessary in the Senate. But IMHO it's possible that he was also reacting to the knock your head against a brick wall position he would be in while the Dems were in the minority.

[femrap]

80. Oh....I had gotten the feeling that

he wanted to explore running for Prez and that's why he didn't run for Senate. But now that he's not running for Prez....????? Maybe he'll be sick of working in the private arena and return to Government in '08?

[damntexdem]

18. Well, Al Franken may take on Coleman.

It's good to dream.

[upi402]

22. Well I have a dream

and have finally found that they *DO* come true. I was about to drop off the edge of their flat earth!

[Kolesar]

53. At least Minnesota won't have to run Jerry Springer

Ahem...I have doubts about running media people instead of politicians. I would hope that Minnesota has been grooming and developing a crusading Attorney General or notable Congressmember who could run.

[blitzen]

44. Landrieu...she's in a permanently precarious position...

That's why she always votes with the Repukes...Problem is, the 'Pukes still and will always hate her, and people like me have vowed to never vote for her again

[sutz12]

3. Well, just counting the numbers, I like the odds of picking up a couple more seats nt

[Old and In the Way]

4. Tsunami, Part II

The Senate version....

[WCGreen]

6. Elizabeth Dole could be had...

Norm Coleman...

Lamar Alexander....

On Our side, Frank Lautenberg....

[I_Make_Mistakes]

13. Please Lautenberg is not a throw away. You should look into

his record and how he got here this time.

Wow! I rather be in our 12 than their 21, oh let's make them spend and spend trying to defend their seats. Oh, yeah, without K St. revenue this time!

[WCGreen]

49. he is percieved as an easy target becasue ofd hisa advanced age,,,

[Eric J in MN]

25. Why is Frank Lautenberg at risk? NT

NT

[fujiyama]

46. His approval ratings are very low - but his risk status is exagerrated

Remember, this is NJ. Menendez had shitty approval ratings as well...Hell, most NJ politicians do.

But he still won and quite comfortably.

Let republicans keep throwing money at NJ. It's getting amusing.

[Kber]

70. He was persuaded to come out of retirement to run

and he did so with the understanding that he planned to only serve one term.

If you could get Colby to run, I'll bet he'd win. (Colby was the head of the Senate who took over when McGreevy resigned.)

[sabbat hunter]

78. lautenberg

might retire. remember he already 'retired' once, but came back when Robert Torricelli withdrew due to corruption charges. he is 82 years old and probably wants to go back into retirement.

[skipos]

8. Here is a link to the 2002 senate election results, you can see who narrowly won

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2002/pages/senate/index.html

[upi402]

26. Max Cleland v. Saxby Chamblis

war!:nuke:


my opinion. i'm STILL furious over the Republican traitors spitting on the troops again. Republicans are scum when it comes to supporting our troops. They use them to grab power and loot the treasury (our taxes).

[meow2u3]

33. Are you saying Round Two?

Cleland will come out swinging this time. And this time, Diebold won't be able to get away with the e-fraud that put Chambliss into office in the first place.

Does rob-georgia ring a bell?

[upi402]

43. Diebold's uncertified patches on their voteboxes?

Has anybody found out if patches self-delete afterward?

Maybe now we can see how Republicans spit on war heroes to grab power.
Yes, they did rob Georgia. And a war hero, and America. This act seems a bit traitorous.

[Eric J in MN]

27. John E. Sununu of New Hampshire won by 4 points last time.

That could be a close race again in 2008.

[AllieB]

74. 4 Points aided by phonejamming and Republican dirty tricks

I was going to mention him. If The NH Dems can put up a good candidate, I'd love to see Sununu go down.

[gully]

9. Wow, that looks good. Most of the Dems are in very safe seats.

Thanks for the info.

[sandnsea]

10. Maybe 4

I only see Allard, Coleman, Smith and Sununu as even in the area of possible. Things would have to really shift left to pick up any of the rest.

[Bjorn Against]

31. Then again who thought we could take VA, OH, MO and MT

The way things are going for Republicans any one of those seats could be in play.

[sandnsea]

37. OH, MO, MT - me

Virginia was a surprise though. I don't believe the country is all that conservative, otherwise Republicans wouldn't have to learn to speak televangelist to peddle their 'moral values'. The reason I don't see any more than 4 is because of who those candidates are as much as where they are. I knew Burns was an idiot, Talent was a slim win the first time, and Ohio was corrupt. Same way, Sununu and Coleman were slim wins, Colorado is trending blue, and Smith is a disgrace to the state of Oregon that we will kick to the curb quite handily. Lots can happen between now and then and I really hope we expose these Republican asshats for what they are and the whole county turns blue. This is just how I see it right now.

[phiddle]

11. I'm wondering about Domenici.

He's old and tired, but the only NM politician with a chance to beat him (Bill Richardson) would probably prefer to run for president.

[Ken Burch]

16. Could Tony Anaya make a comeback?

nt

[phiddle]

28. Nah, he's got a sleezy reputation.

As his nickname (Tiny Annoy-ya) indicates, he has no respect.

[TygrBright]

42. Sorry to say it, but I think Domenici has that seat...

...for as long as he wants it. He funnels huge amounts of pork and military spending to New Mexico, and given how poor our state is, that's a Very Big Deal. He has the seniority on various committees to get what he wants in the horsetradin' stage, and the experience to screw the best deal out of any negotiation.

He's an old-school GOPpie pol without the slightest vestige of a conscience, as far as I can tell, but smart enough not to cross the line and to always keep his options open, his constituent services office busy, and his nose in the right funders' buttcracks.

We're pretty much stuck with him until he decides to pack it in.

regretfully,
Bright

[femrap]

58. Bill doesn't have a chance at Prez.....

but he does at Senate. When is his Governor's term up?

[phiddle]

60. He was just re-elected this week.

His term is through 2010, but that won't stop him. But i just read on another thread that Domenici has stated that he'll retire in '08. So that means Wilson vs. who?

[bluerum]

12. And I think I heard that 08 is a re-districting year. nt.

[bookman]

39. Thanks to Texas...

...every year can be a redistricting year.

Usually it is after the census.

[bluerum]

62. Yes - but this gives dems congressional power to determine redistricting

before the '08 elections. It's a good thing and they should be planning to capitalize on it.

[spooky3]

15. self-deleted stupid mistake--sorry

[Ken Burch]

17. self-deleted as well

never mind.

[flying_monkeys]

19. I don't think Dole will be easy to shove off....

She's a favorite daughter of most of the state (even though she hasn't *done* anything while in DC).


She'd need to face Some Kinda Special Dem Candidate for much of (rural) NC to toss her away, I think...

[Erika]

24. Dole performed poorly in her party role

Plus her loud mouth and shrillness on Cable news didn't play well to audiences.

[Ken Burch]

76. I wonder if Dole WANTS to stay on, now that her presidential hopes are clearly toast.

The Senate was meant to just be a stepping stone in her case, wasn't it?

[In Truth We Trust]

77. Dole is a shrill face lifted phony pos that has accomplished NOTHING for NC. Fuck her and the horse

she rode in on.

[Ken Burch]

79. I hope you don't think I'd DISAGREE with you on any of that...

...so, you're sort of on the fence about ol' Liddy?
:sarcasm:

[Zynx]

20. I predict Warner and Domenici retire, making those seats vulnerable.

Also, Allard and Coleman are in deep shit.

[phiddle]

29. If Domenici retires, I expect

that his girl Heather Wilson will be the Repub candidate. My sincere hope is that Richardson will forego a presidential run to try for the Senate.

[w4rma]

55. If Warner retires, maybe Gov. Mark Warner could run for his seat. (nt)

[upi402]

21. Let's see what the real experts have to say... LOL!

from the land o' the freep;


"Help me out, please, but I simply cannot think of even one (1) "superb " potential candidate. I just cannot.

Nancee"

<<<:hi: See you at DU very soon Nancee. You're welcome anytime.>>>

____________________________________________________________

"To: Parmenio
I totally disagree with Hugh.

For one thing, we have 22 seats to defend in '08. The RATs only have 12.

My big fear is we have a lot of GOP retirements and have a number of open seats to defend. We are also going to have a tougher time recruiting top quality candidates now that we are in the Minority.

I'm not giving up hope by any stretch, but we might as well acknowledge what a tough road we have ahead of us."

<<<:toast: Old dudes! Thanks for brightening my evening! Yay for old dudes!!! Here's to Speaker Pelosi speeding their aging process:toast:>>>

[Erika]

23. Larry Craig is an outed gay

But Idahoans stick their fingers in their ears and vote R anyways. You know, dems don't have moral values.

[madrchsod]

30. do`t know about the repubs but

i don`t think any dem will be voted out in 2008

[poverlay]

34. Who's in charge? Oh? Howard Dean you say? Well then, I trust someone has our back.. n/t

[begin_within]

36. Duncan Hunter announced last week that he is running for Prez. in 08. (R)

[BluegrassDem]

38. What about Bredesen in TN?

He's popular and could beat Alexander. I think Mark Warner goes for the VA seat even if Warner doesn't retire. Mark Warner is super popular and barely lost to Warner last time.

If Domenici retires, Udall will likely get that seat easily if Richardson doesn't want it.

I think the Dems will gain seats big time in 2008.

[upi402]

40. As the truth come out about Republicans, Dems win big in '08

I agree.

Did you see the post above about Max Cleland v. Saxby Chamblis?
There's the 'good fight' in my mind.

[TygrBright]

41. Minnesotans have about had it with Norm the Weasel...

...haven't they?

Oh, man, I cannot wait to see his slimy ass oozing out the door for the last time.

hopefully,
Bright

[fujiyama]

47. The only two vulnerable seats I see on our side

are Johnson and Landreiu.

On their side, I see a bunch of potential retirements. They will be stuck in the minority party, have a tough time recruiting quality candidates, and some are in states trending purplish-blue with popular rising Dem politicians.

[Arugula Latte]

48. I want our former governor, Kitzhaber, to challenge Gordon Smith in Oregon.

There's no reason Oregon should be wasting a seat on that ass Smith. If Kitzhaber got in the race, he could pick up the seat for us.

[spooky3]

52. this thread needs one more recommendation!

[moc]

54. Please tell me we can take out Cornyn!

Oh please oh please oh please. I'm begging you! I hate that fuck.

[NoPasaran]

63. We'll be coming after him, that's for sure

Our state party is a mess, but we do have some strong county parties in urban areas. In 2004, after three decades of losing seats in the legislature, we had a net gain of one... this year we won six (one in a special election in the spring and five more on Tuesday. And we lost several other races by narrow margins. If the planets line up just right, Senator Box Turtle could be brought down.

[Jack Rabbit]

59. Chambliss looks like a good target

Graham, maybe.

Cornyn -- I don't know. You never how Texans are going to vote.

Inhoffe and McConnell are a couple I'd really, really like to bring down. Anybody have any ideas of the possibilities.

[Cameron27]

61. I worry about Robert Byrd

and how long his health can last.

[Ignacio Upton]

67. He is not up for re-election in 2008

He just won re-election this year, and West Virginia's Governor, Joe Manchin, could appoint a good replacement (he's a Democrat) or he could appoint himself.

[Tiggeroshii]

64. It will be wonderful to see Coleman kicked out.

I think that 02 gave many Republicans an unlikely chance of winning, given Bush's poluarity, etc... But 08 will be another year that won't be good for Repugs.

[Doctor_J]

65. Coleman's, Allard's, Smith's, Sununu's, and Domenici's states are all

turning blue. St. Pete probably won't be dislodged as long as SNL and LANL stay open though. But the others are ripe for picking.

[knowledgeispwr]

66. The Dems are all easy-reelect contests, but...

the Rep list isn't. *At least* these are vulnerable: Coleman, Craig, Dole, Stevens, Warner.

[onenote]

69. not all

Landrieu definitely won't have a cakewalk and while Tim Johnson is pretty popular now, he only won in 2002 by the narrowest of margins.

[klook]

68. Here's hoping Ted Stevens goes down the "tubes"

of the Internets!

[GOPS Worst Fear]

71. What about McCain's seat in Arizona?

just wondering..

[Divine Discontent]

72. maybe 1-2 DEM losses, and 4-6 Repub losses

woohoo hopefully MORE gains!!!

I'd love a 9 seat gain (wouldn't you all?) but we may have a 55-45 commanding lead after the election.

It's so nice we can talk like this, because a week ago, this woulda been mocked as pipe dreams... lol.

[struggle4progress]

73. Gotta put a good un at the toppa the ticket, then