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Disclaimer #1: I can only speak for Arizona, which happens to be the state saracat is talking about anyway.
Disclaimer #2: I spent most of 2006 in the chaos of a cross-metro move and was unable to be active in either local district Dem activities or in the political campaign.
That said ----
1. I think it's unrealistic to expect the national party to be equally active in EVERY local campaign. There just isn't enough money or person-power to go around.
Therefore, it seems logical for the national party to select those races -- gubernatorial, statewide exec (AG, SOS, etc.), and congressional where they think there's a reasonable possibility of either winning or at least making a good show.
2. In my congressional district, the Dems didn't even mount a candidate. I won't put the blame for that on the national operation: that has to come from the district, and that's ESPECIALLY true in Arizona where we have public funding of campaigns. There's really no reason why a determined individual can't run, because anyone who raises enough "seed" money is guaranteed funding relatively equal to what the opposition spends.
3. There are always going to be some districts that one or the other party virtually can't win. Unless and until ALL districts --- either congressional or state legislative -- are drawn to be competitive, some are going to be "safe" Dem and some "safe" GOP. If previous election results and current polls show a district running 80% to one party, it doesn't make sense to pour good money into a losing effort. *IF* the local party can mount an effective campaign and put up a good competitive candidate and change the results so that item #1 above applies, then maybe next time the national party will pay attention and provide the boost to put that district into the Dem column.
4. Sometimes it's the fault of the candidates themselves. Sometimes they just aren't the best candidates and/or they aren't the best campaigners, for whatever reasons. But if NO ONE runs, whose fault is that? I didn't have a Dem to vote for in my CD; I had the choice of Jeff Flake or a Libertarian. The local Dems put out a voting guide and sent out several mailings about the election but couldn't find anyone to run against Flake. That's not the national organization's fault, is it?
I think there was a lot of emphasis in Arizona on the Pederson-Kyl race, and I suspect a LOT of money was poured into it, perhaps to the detriment of other races. But if there was a lack of national support for the Mitchell-Hayworth race, the success of Harry Mitchell seems to suggest that when there's a good candidate, lack of national support isn't going to prevent victory. (And another disclaimer: I don't know if there was national support for Mitchell or not, so the previous statement could be moot.)
I also think it's unrealistic to think the Dems are going to win in every district in every race in every election. But I don't think it's unrealistic to at least expect the Dems to make an effort to be competitive.
Tansy Gold
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