Rasmussen Reports: Obama within Five Points of Clinton

[flpoljunkie]

2008 Democratic Presidential Primary

Obama Within Five Points of Clinton
April 9, 2007

In the first Rasmussen Reports national polling about the Democratic Presidential nomination since the first quarter fundraising totals were released, Illinois Senator Barack Obama has closed to within five points of New York Senator Hillary Clinton. The new numbers are Clinton 34% Obama 29% with former North Carolina Senator John Edwards holding in third place at 15%. New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson has carved out a position atop the second tier of candidates, but currently attracts only 4% support.

Obama has exceeded his current level of support only once in the weekly Rasmussen Reports polls. That came three weeks ago when the Illinois Senator temporarily spiked to 30%. It will take another week’s polling to determine if the current result is a lasting improvement for Obama or merely statistical noise.

While Obama and Clinton are the frontrunners among Democrats, Edwards outperforms them when matched against leading GOP contenders. Polling data released today shows Edwards leading GOP frontrunner Rudy Giuliani. When matched against America’s Mayor, Clinton and Obama are essentially tied. Similar results are found when matching the leading Democrats against Arizona Senator John McCain (R). Clinton and Obama are even with the Republican hopeful while Edwards has an advantage. (Last month Edwards and McCain were essential tied with Edwards at 45% and McCain at 44%. As far as Edwards outperforming Giuliani, the link shows Giuliani leading Edwards 48% to 41%, but perhaps there is a newer poll and they've linked to the last poll.)

When former Tennessee Senator Fred Thompson is mentioned as the GOP nominee, Clinton is tied, Obama leads by eight, and Edwards has a fourteen point advantage.

more...

Rasmussen Reports releases national polling data on the Democratic nomination process every Monday and on the Republican race each Tuesday. The current survey of 774 Likely Democratic Primary Voters was conducted April 2-5, 2007. The margin of sampling error is +/-4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Political%20Tracking/Democratic%20Primaries/DemocraticPresidentialPrimary.htm

[flpoljunkie]

1. Link showing Edwards leading Giuliani is now working, shows Edwards leading Giuliani 49%-43%.

It looks like Giuliani's star is falling fast, and Edwards' rising.

It also shows Edwards leading Fred Thompson by a large margin--50%-36%.

April 9, 2007

Democrat John Edwards

Former North Carolina Senator John Edwards (D) now leads all Republican hopefuls in Election 2008 polls. The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds Edwards leading former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R) 49% to 43%. That’s the first time Edwards has ever had an advantage over Giuliani. During 2006, the man dubbed “America’s Mayor” led Edwards by an average of nine percentage points in Rasmussen Reports polling. In three previously monthly polls during 2006, Giuliani led Edwards by an average of four percentage points.

In the latest poll, both Giuliani and Edwards do well within their own party. However, Edwards has an eight-point lead among voters not affiliated with either major party.

The poll also found Edwards leading the newest face in the race, former Tennessee Senator Fred Thompson (R). In fact, the North Carolinian holds a fourteen percentage point advantage, 50% to 36%. This was the first time an Edwards-Thompson match has been polled. Earlier polls found Edwards leading Arizona Senator John McCain, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney, and former Arkansas Governor Mike Hucakbee.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Political%20Tracking/Presidential%20Match-Ups/April%202007/Edwardsvs.ThompsonGiuliani20070409.htm

[Deep13]

4. "John Edwards (D) now leads all Republican hopefuls in Election 2008 polls"

"Edwards has an eight-point lead among voters not affiliated with either major party."

I'm still rooting for Richardson, but at this rate Edwards seems to be pretty promising.

[Faryn Balyncd]

5. If Hillary would retire her "Stay in Iraq Forever" meme & withdraw, we would then find our winner.

http://www.nytimes.com/2007/03/15/washington/15clinton.html?ex=1176264000&en=54c6d6aab7e70c2f&ei=5070

[draft_mario_cuomo]

7. Edwards leads Giuliani by 6, Obama and Clinton lose by 1 point to him

Interesting...

[1932]

2. Even with all that money, I don't see Hillary going up in polling.

She is a very uninspiring speaker. The more you hear her talk, the less you feel inspired to vote for her.

She is much more appealing as an abstract idea ... as someone you think believes the same things as Bill.

[Nedsdag]

6. There's no passion to her campaign.

Plus she lacks a "vision thing."

What is her vision for the future of this country? Why is she running?

[Imagevision]

3. It would be nice to see Hillary go back to the end of the line... (Obama or Edwards)

[ripple]

8. This is very encouraging

and I think it's a sign of things to come, as people start taking a closer look at Obama.