I think there would have to be something like a perfect storm to stop Hillary from winning the nomination. I hope she doesn't win because I think she not as electable as Obama or Edwards and because I think she'll hurt the ticket down ballot here in Texas and other states, but with that said, it is becoming increasingly difficult for me to think that she has less than a 70% chance of winning the nomination.
If there is a perfect storm to upset the Hillary bandwagon, it would have to start with a lower-than-expected performance in Iowa.
So, with that said, do I see a cloud over Hillary's head in Iowa?
Clinton and Senior Iowa Operative Part WaysAngelique Pirozzi, the Iowa field director for Sen. Hillary Clinton (D-N.Y.), is no longer a part of the campaign -- the Clinton campaign's first senior staff departure since it reshuffled its Hawkeye State staff in June.
Clinton's campaign would not confirm whether Pirozzi had resigned or had been fired; "She is no longer with the campaign," was all spokesman Mo Elleithee would offer when contacted on the matter.
Pirozzi, often described as a protege of uber organizer Michael Whouley, has a long history in Iowa Democratic presidential politics, having served as caucus manager for Sen. John Kerry's 2004 victory and as deputy caucus manager for then-Vice President Al Gore in 2000. ... Clinton's campaign has had an on-again, off-again relationship with Iowa so far in the race. A leaked internal campaign memo from deputy campaign manager Mike Henry advised the candidate to skip Iowa, a suggestion that caused a national uproar. Clinton said she never seriously considered the possibility and moved to strengthen her Iowa staff in the early summer by placing highly-regarded operative Teresa Vilmain in charge of her Iowa operation.
While I'd like to see us nominate someone other than Hillary, please don't misinterpret that as raising any doubt that I'd support her fully in the general election.