Donald Ian Rankin
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Mon Sep-17-07 08:27 PM
Original message |
Do you think the candidate you support will win the primary? |
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If you support Clinton, do you think that Clinton will be the Democratic nominee?If you support Edwards, do you think that Edwards will be the Democratic nominee?If you support Gore, do you think that Gore will be the Democratic nominee? If you suppor Obtama, do you think that Obama will be the Democratic nominee?
The reason I'm posting this is to see if a certain statistical trend I'm expecting holds true among the replies, so please, even if you don't have anything much to say, give me an answer.
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LiberalVoice
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Mon Sep-17-07 08:30 PM
Response to Original message |
1. I support Dennis Kucinich... |
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Edited on Mon Sep-17-07 08:30 PM by LiberalVoice
...and unfortunately i seriously doubt he will be the democratic nominee for POTUS. :(
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Fearless
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Mon Sep-17-07 08:37 PM
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OnceUponTimeOnTheNet
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Mon Sep-17-07 08:48 PM
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cyclezealot
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Tue Sep-18-07 01:08 AM
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27. Don't care/ DK need be the soul of the party. |
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The others decide with their fingers to the wind. DK has a conscience, a soul worthy of Eleanor Roosevelt's vision of the party. I have no doubt what Eleanor Roosevelt would have to say about Hillary's close ties to Robert Murdock. Hillary would be in for a tongue lashing.
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vireo
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Mon Sep-17-07 08:30 PM
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2. Hasn't happened so far for me |
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Dating back to 1976, so I would have to say "No."
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Double T
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Mon Sep-17-07 08:34 PM
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3. If everyone awakens from their HRC kool-aid trance in time......... |
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Dennis Kucinich should win the WH.
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More Than A Feeling
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Mon Sep-17-07 08:34 PM
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4. Yes, I think John Edwards will win the nomination. |
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He'll stun the corporate media by winning Iowa after months of polls showing him tied or slightly behind Hillary Clinton, because those polls cast far too wide a net for voters. The voters who actually attend the caucus will likely be majority pro-Edwards. The winner of Iowa consistently gets about an 11 point bounce as a result, which will substantially improve Edward's chances of winning Nevada and/or New Hampshire. If he can win at least one while finishing second in the other, that should be good enough to sweep him to the nomination. Much depends on whether or not Hillary Clinton falls to third in Iowa. If she does, the media could spin it as a "fall from grace" and hurt her numbers elsewhere.
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JDPriestly
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Mon Sep-17-07 08:48 PM
Response to Reply #4 |
10. Are you UU? I am asking because you quote Fuller on your profile page. |
More Than A Feeling
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Mon Sep-17-07 08:52 PM
Response to Reply #10 |
13. Not officially, no, but I am fascinated by the Transcendentalists |
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Edited on Mon Sep-17-07 08:53 PM by Heaven and Earth
and I do attend the local UU society on occasion when I am away at school (someday, I might make it official, but I haven't yet). As you no doubt know from my avatar, my primary identification is as a Humanist (so I feel right at home in UU, to the extent that I feel at home in a church anywhere).
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JDPriestly
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Tue Sep-18-07 12:46 AM
Response to Reply #13 |
26. I became UU while in college. It was a decision I have never regretted. |
cyclezealot
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Tue Sep-18-07 01:12 AM
Response to Reply #26 |
28. We became UU's 20 years ago too. |
Colobo
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Mon Sep-17-07 08:39 PM
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6. Yes. Barack Obama will be our next President. |
LWolf
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Mon Sep-17-07 08:41 PM
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7. I support Dennis Kucinich. |
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While I don't think he will ever get the respect from his own party he deserves, I won't say "never," or "can't."
He probably won't win the nomination, and we'll probably be stuck again with a slightly less evil choice.
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More Than A Feeling
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Mon Sep-17-07 08:49 PM
Response to Reply #7 |
11. A slightly less evil choice than Dennis Kucinich? |
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We can't have that!:P
For maximum evil, vote Dennis Kucinich!:silly:
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LWolf
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Mon Sep-17-07 09:15 PM
Response to Reply #11 |
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I guess you like "the lesser of 2 evils" better?
:D
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cyclezealot
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Tue Sep-18-07 01:14 AM
Response to Reply #17 |
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Edited on Tue Sep-18-07 01:15 AM by cyclezealot
sounds pretty Republican to me. Dennis Kucinich is definitely a Democrat. Biggest thorn to the Republicans in the US Congress. Even if his opposition to them is committed with charity for all.
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JDPriestly
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Mon Sep-17-07 08:46 PM
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8. I support Edwards, and I think he will win the nomination. |
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The Democrats who vote in primaries will vote for Edwards.
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ElizabethDC
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Mon Sep-17-07 08:50 PM
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12. I support Clinton, and I think she will be the nominee. :) n/t |
Buck Laser
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Mon Sep-17-07 08:56 PM
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14. I've been with Obama since he came to Austin in February, |
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and I think he's actually gaining some momentum. He shows an amazing ability to recoup from mistakes and misquotes. I think he'll go all the way.
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Midwestern Democrat
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Mon Sep-17-07 08:57 PM
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I'm an Edwards supporter, but as it stands now I think Hillary is unstoppable. I can live with that - Hillary's acceptable to me.
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durrrty libby
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Mon Sep-17-07 09:11 PM
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16. I support Hillary and everything based in reality points to her nomination |
InvisibleTouch
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Mon Sep-17-07 09:21 PM
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18. Realistically, no, but I'm going to vote for him anyway. |
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Who knows, maybe I'll be pleasantly surprised! The world may be a very different place in a few months, and Kucinich will then fit the role perfectly to lead us out of the dark ages.
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AndyTiedye
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Mon Sep-17-07 09:50 PM
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mruddy
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Mon Sep-17-07 10:02 PM
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20. I'm supporting Edwards. |
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I'm sure Edwards will win Iowa which will give him the momentum to win the nomination. Why he wins Iowa? At Harkin's steak fry (yes, sore subject with many) most of the Hillary & Obama supporters were young campaign staffers who were bused in from surrounding states. Edwards' supporters were Iowa folks, mostly the 35-60 age bracket, and far out numbered Hillary or Obama supporters.
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saltpoint
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Mon Sep-17-07 11:35 PM
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21. Yes. I think there are persuasive victory narratives for at least 6 of our announced |
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candidates.
If this Gore fellow -- what's his name -- Al? -- decides to jump in this October or November, the top 6 in our field will have a very changed landscape on their hands.
Absent a Gore announcement for the White House, I could see a minimum 6 winning the nomination in the caucuses and primaries, yes.
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avrdream
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Mon Sep-17-07 11:39 PM
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CaliforniaPeggy
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Mon Sep-17-07 11:41 PM
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23. I support Dennis Kucinich... |
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I'm afraid he will not win the primary...
*sigh*
But I'm still going to vote for him!
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cyclezealot
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Tue Sep-18-07 01:19 AM
Response to Reply #23 |
30. We Michigan Democrats don't have a vote. |
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The Democratic party ostracized us. we'd vote for Kucinich if we could. Michigan being outsourced to China/Mexico; maybe the state should secede. Apprears the national Democrats have no more respect for Michigan /Florida Democrats than does Wall Street for Michigan jobs.
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emilyg
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Mon Sep-17-07 11:54 PM
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24. I support Clinton - and yes. |
Adenoid_Hynkel
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Tue Sep-18-07 12:10 AM
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25. no, unfortunately, we're stuck with the corporate coronation of Hillary |
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I prefer every candidate to her, except maybe Biden
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Donald Ian Rankin
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Tue Sep-18-07 06:17 AM
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31. As I thought, most people think their candidate will win. |
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The point I wanted to illustrate was the power of wishful thinking - with the exception of Kucinich, and at most one other candidate, people *must* be overestimating their chances of victory.
People believe what they want to believe.
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