Current Status of the Primary Polls, State-by-State (12-14-07)

[Yukari Yakumo]

Dems-
Winner Take All-
Current


Trends


15% Threshold-
Current


Trends


Reps-
Winner Take All-
Current


Trends


15% Threshold-
Current


Trends


- - - - -

Changes:
Dem-
NH from Clinton to Too Close to Call
Rep-
TX from Ghoul to Huckabee, FL from Ghoul to Too Close to Call, GA from Thompson to Too Close to Call, SC from Too Close to Call to Huckabee

(++) Huckabee - Big Mo'. Especially in the South.

(+) Obama - Is making IA and NH competitive, but can he maintain his momentum?

(-) Clinton - A slow down in momentum couldn't have come at a worse time.

(-) Edwards - As Obama climbs, his numbers has stagnated. Or worse, it seems he may be losing supporters to Obama.

(--) Ghoul - Momentum go bye-bye. Leads none of the lead off states.

(---) Thompson - The South has dumped him in favor of Huckabee. His campaign is essentially done.

- - -

Post DMR endorsement thoughts:

I would say there is a high chance Obama's surge in momentum will come to an abrupt stop. The DMR endorsement couldn't have come at a more timely moment for Clinton.

McCain, OTOH, may have a small chance to make Iowa competitive with the endorsement. But, at best, I'd suspect he may climb to the low 20's for a third place finish... maybe.