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Here are how the past two Iowa polls by American Research Group has stacked up.

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William769 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-26-07 01:20 PM
Original message
Here are how the past two Iowa polls by American Research Group has stacked up.
Hillary Clinton appears to be rolling in the Democratic race. Not only has she jumped 5% but it has been at the expense of Obama who has dropped 6%.

It looks like the "lacking experience" blitz against Obama is working... well either that or this is just a statistical blimp in the polling radar but no matter what you think or where your allegiance lies, Clinton is holding a 14% lead in this poll and that is very major.

Democratic Candidate IA
IA
12/20-12/23 12/16-12/19
Hillary Clinton 34% 29%
Barack Obama 19% 25%
John Edwards 20% 18%
Joe Biden 8% 8%
Bill Richardson 5% 7%
Chris Dodd 2% 3%
Dennis Kucinich 2% 2%
Other(vol.) 10% 8%
Details Link
Sources Link


http://www.usaelectionpolls.com/
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PresidentObama Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-26-07 01:23 PM
Response to Original message
1. ARG is the only poll showing her with such a lead.
Every other poll has it as a dead heat.

If you look previously in the year at a time when John Edwards lead almost all Iowa polls by a considerable margin, two ARG polls showed Clinton with double digit leads.

And someone posted yesterday that ARG was wrong by 20 points or something like that in the NH primary in 2000.

So I'm openly questioning this poll. If others are released showing the same thing, I'll clearly take that back. But I DOUBT Hillary has such a lead when Obama seemed to gain the small edge in Iowa and Edwards began to surge with positive press and energy for his campaign. Hillary leading by this margin? I seriously doubt it.
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Evergreen Emerald Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-26-07 01:23 PM
Response to Original message
2. Perhaps the "lack of experience thing" is working, or perhaps
people are starting to scrutinize Obama as Clinton has been. The jump in Obama's numbers came after the attacks leveled against Clinton by the media, Edwards and Obama. The media gave him a leg-up. But, under scrutiny, people can see that Obama, although a great orator, has little to offer the Presidency.

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William769 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-26-07 01:25 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. I think you are correct.
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PresidentObama Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-26-07 01:37 PM
Response to Reply #3
5. It's one poll. I think it's a little soon to be assuming.
ARG is the ONLY poll showing Clinton with this big of a lead.

Until we get further evidence of a trend, I'm not buying it just yet.
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William769 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-26-07 01:37 PM
Response to Reply #5
6. Self delete.
Edited on Wed Dec-26-07 01:40 PM by William769
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sk8rrobert2 Donating Member (97 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-26-07 01:34 PM
Response to Original message
4. anybody know what percentage is still undecided?
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