How reliable are the various pollsters polling in Iowa?

[Adelante]

The polling companies themselves judged their competition.



Politico has this up today, but it's from Pollster.com

http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/1207/Two_polls_and_a_poll_of_pollsters.html

[DemocratSinceBirth]

1. Ha

From following your links Zogby is not respected by other pollsters but he came closest to predicting IA right not DMR as rumored:



http://www.pollster.com/blogs/how_accurate_were_the_iowa_pol.php

[earthlover]

2. I don't think ANY polling done during this last week is reliable...

too many people are not at home due to traveling, and travelers tend to be younger and more educated. This demographic's relative absense skews the results more toward older, less educated.

Polling companies rarely even bother with the week between the holidays, they know it is unreliable.

So we basically are in a waiting game. Everything we know points to the idea that we simply will not be able to predict the outcome at all!
Most of us think it will be close, but we don't even know that!!!!

[Adelante]

4. I absolutely agree

We'll know when we know.

[annie1]

3. thanks.

[Didereaux]

5. pollers are only as reliable as the pollees ..and they LIE! heh

[papau]

6. reliable polls say Obama blowout - kids away says bigger blowout than current numbers - only Hillary

in the lead polls are deemed in the chart to be unreliable.

Looks like Obama takes Iowa, NH, and SC. This may be over before the first vote is counted. :-)

We will see soon, won't we?

Guess I was wrong to predict last Spring an Edwards/Obama/Clinton order of finish in Iowa.