A list of the final polls for Iowa (from RCP, includes their average)

[rinsd]

Poll	             Date	     Sample	Obama	Clinton	Edwards	Biden	Richardson	Spread
RCP Average	        12/26 - 01/02	-	30.8	29.2	26.0	5.4	5.2	Obama +1.6
InsiderAdvantage	01/02 - 01/02	415 LV	34	32	33	--	--	Obama +1.0
American Res. Group	12/31 - 01/02	600 LV	25	34	21	8	6	Clinton +9.0
Zogby Tracking	        12/30 - 01/02	905 LV	31	24	27	5	7	Obama +4.0
Strategic Vision (R)	12/28 - 12/30	600 LV	32	27	29	5	2	Obama +3.0
Des Moines Register	12/27 - 12/30	800 LV	32	25	24	4	6	Obama +7.0
CNN	                12/26 - 12/30	482 LV	31	33	22	5	5	Clinton +2.0

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/ia/iowa_democratic_caucus-208.html

[skipos]

1. A few weeks ago I thought Hillary would blow it out.

Glad to see I may be wrong.

[jenmito]

9. I thought the Bhutto assassination would change everything. Glad to see I was wrong

according to the polls.

[Renew Deal]

2. Thanks for taking the time to format that.

:thumbsup:

[rinsd]

3. A DUer taught me a neat trick for it.

Use this <pre> but in DU html then simply line everything up.

[Renew Deal]

4. Hillary is in third in half of those.

Obama must win tonight because that's where expectations are. Hillary must take second or it's catastrophe. Biden is DOA.

[suston96]

5. InsiderAdvantage numbers are after "second choices" are factored in.

The poll was conducted Jan. 2 among 415 likely participants in the Iowa Democratic caucuses. The poll measures the final results after second choice preferences were factored in. The margin of error is plus or minus 5%. The data have been weighted for age and gender.

http://www.southernpoliticalreport.com/storylink_13_107.aspx

[rinsd]

6. Thanks. I was wondering why Biden & Richardson had no numbers (nt)

[DemocratSinceBirth]

7. Interesting

“Until Wednesday night, our polling of this race has consistently shown John Edwards enjoying a majority of these second-preference choices.

“In my judgment, the Des Moines Register’s poll has changed the dynamics of the race. We saw a rapid spike in support for Barack Obama immediately after the Register’s poll was released to so much fanfare and acclaim. The second choice preferences in our final poll became an even split between Obama and Edwards.

“There’s no doubt in my mind that the Register’s poll is becoming a self-fulfilling prophecy,” said Towery.

“The big story tonight on the Democratic side will be Edwards’ strong performance, which isn’t reflected in the Register’s poll.

“Finally on the Democratic race, I’ll add that a sample of all voters in Iowa, which included the demographics of party affiliation – including independents – does not support the concept that the caucuses will be made up of 40% independents. The actual number is lower,” he said.

----

I had a suspicion that the release of the "vaunted" DMR poll would influence the race...I think they cost Edwards a victory... I also think if the results are as muddled as the RCP average suggests the impact of IA will be somewhat muted...

I wish I could start my own polling/research company...

[suston96]

8. "....the impact of Iowa will be somewhat muted...."?

You are too kind. I hope that Americans all over the country will wake up to a process driven by the media intent on controlling their elections.

There is nothing democratic in the Iowa caucuses - yes, even if Hillary were to win by 20 points.

One person, one vote - cast and counted.

"Viability" my ass!