Kos predictions

[ProSense]

Entrance poll:

Obama 29.5
Clinton 27
Edwards 26



Final results:

Obama 36
Edwards 31
Clinton 28

link

[Eurobabe]

1. So Kos continues the trend of the MSM with only top tier candidates?

Fuck you Kos.

[JuniorPlankton]

2. Well, that is his opinion

If he believes that the results will come out this way, let him say it.
I will let you know tomorrow whether or not KOS's predictions were correct :)

[Eurobabe]

5. KOS is just so full of himself

I really can't stand that guy. His predictions were so right on for 2004 :eyes:

[ProSense]

12. His interpretation of Obama's recent remarks were

equally full of s***!

Still, people put a lot of stock into his insertion of Kerry and Gore into Obama's comment. Go figure!

People will learn the Iowa caucus outcome soon enough.

[mod mom]

15. "I'm pulling these numbers out of you know where, just like anyone else venturing predictions."

says Kos

[stray cat]

4. Threshold of 15% is required to get into final round

who else is likely to get 15%?

[Eurobabe]

6. Wait and see...

Tomorrow I can eat crow if necessary, but for now I think Biden will surprise. And I will be watching for myself, live - online.

[jillan]

16. What - you don't trust the msm?

:rofl:

[Eurobabe]

21. main street morons? nah.

[jillan]

22. mega stupid mouthpieces?

[Redbear]

11. Its only 15% in a particular caucus. Kucinich, Biden, Richardson and Dodd

May all get 15% in particular caucuses

Uncommitted may as well

[Capn Sunshine]

8. If any other candidates polled in double digits

they'd be in the mix.

This is about the 1-2-3 finish, not who comes in sixth.

[rurallib]

3. did you read the next line

"I'm pulling these numbers out of you know where". 'NUff said.

[BringBigDogBack]

7. I'd be cool with an Obama-Edwards-Clinton finish.

Obama-Edwards-Biden-Clinton would be so much better though. :)

[David Dunham]

9. Kos is drinking the Obama Koolaid. It'll be Clinton-Edwards-Obama

[Eurobabe]

20. YEARAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAARGH!!

[BenDavid]

10. a kos poll? wow....when lott retired kos did a poll here in Ms.

and Kos reported republican roger wicker would defeat any democrat.....Now I knew that was wrong as wicker is not that widely known in the state and former gov. musgrove has ran three statewide campaigns. So, the leading newspaper The Clarion Ledger hired them a polling organization Greenberg Quinlan Rosner and here are their results: Musgrove a 48 to 34 percent lead over Wicker.....Now what does this say about the great polling organization at KOS? Nothing, cause their polling is as whack as the zogby interactive polling...

Ben David

[FrenchieCat]

13. ALthough I like the results....

I take no stock in this poll.

And Kos has become a big pain in the neck anyways.

[Peregrine Took]

14. I only hope he's wrong and we're not saddled with Obama. As Mondale said

"Where's the beef?" There's no "there" there. He's all cliche's and empty platitudes.

[JackORoses]

17. it's really funny that you use cliches to call someone cliched.

Where's the whining?

[pgh_dem]

19. You could up the irony quotient of your post if you included:

"All hat and no cattle"
"All talk and no action"
"All steak and no sizzle"
and so on.

[cali]

18. I posted mine this a.m.- Obama 34%, Edwards 28% and Clinton 24%

pretty close. we'll see.

[Stop Cornyn]

23. Entrance: Obama 31%, Edwards 29%, Hillary 27%; Final: Edwards 34%, Obama 33%, Hillary 25%

The last three reliable polls have been pretty consistent:

Obama 34%, Edwards 33%, Hillary 32% - InsiderAdvantage (1/2-1/2)
Obama 31%, Edwards 27%, Hillary 24% - Zogby (12/30-1/2)
Obama 32%, Edwards 29%, Hillary 27% - StrategicVision (12/28-12/30)

There is probably a slight over-sampling of Obama supporters because he is relying so heavily on first-time caucus participants and independents. The entrance poll will be about Obama 31%, Edwards 29%, Hillary 27%.

Based on the second choice support, I expect the final result will be about Edwards 34%, Obama 33%, Hillary 25%.