jezebel
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Sat Jan-05-08 05:12 PM
Original message |
CNN/WMUR poll Clinton 33, Obama 33, Edwards 20 |
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Edited on Sat Jan-05-08 05:18 PM by jezebel
1 point down for Clinton, 3 up for Obama. Clinton leads Dems, Obama leads Independents. Taken 1/4 and 1/5 Numbers per Ben Smith (politico) and Marc Ambinder sites http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/0108/CNNWMUR_No_bounce.html#commentshttp://marcambinder.theatlantic.com/
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RL3AO
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Sat Jan-05-08 05:15 PM
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1. Where did you get this? |
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CNN says the poll is released in 35 minutes.
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The Ghost
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Sat Jan-05-08 05:16 PM
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do you see this? CNN said poll not released til 550pm
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skipos
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Sat Jan-05-08 05:16 PM
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3. Obama needs to win NH, or the "Clinton Comeback" theme will start. |
Joe the Revelator
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Sat Jan-05-08 05:17 PM
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4. This must be a prediction thread. |
K Gardner
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Sat Jan-05-08 05:19 PM
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5. I'm sorry.. I just don't see any way Obama loses NH. Those are fiercely |
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independent people in a state with above-average income and above-average education. I just don't see how they don't break for him in a rather major way.
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The Ghost
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Sat Jan-05-08 05:21 PM
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Jan 1, 2008 :
Hillary 33 Obama 31 Edwards 22
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earthlover
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Sat Jan-05-08 05:30 PM
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7. Jan 1 was BEFORE IOWA....good baseline I guess, we will see how it changes |
Joe the Revelator
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Sat Jan-05-08 05:31 PM
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8. No he's saying that was the Iowa poll |
The Ghost
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Sat Jan-05-08 05:32 PM
Response to Reply #7 |
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I was just pointing out CNN's polls are rubbish. As they were with their Iowa polls .
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Critters2
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Sun Jan-06-08 12:35 AM
Response to Reply #6 |
16. The Iowa Poll is a different thing--and the Iowa Poll called it right. nt |
papau
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Sat Jan-05-08 05:31 PM
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9. Hillary wins Dems - but I suspect indies and GOPers afraid of Hillary in general are under counted - |
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and in that group - which in NH are allowed to vote in Dem primary - O must be 20 points ahead of Hill in the CNN poll
It comes down to how many indies chose Obama over stopping Mitt.
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Tesha
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Sat Jan-05-08 06:20 PM
Response to Reply #9 |
12. Polls suggest that 60% of "undeclareds" (closet Republicans) will take a Democratic ballot... |
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Polls suggest that 60% of "undeclareds" (closet Republicans) will take a Democratic ballot on Tuesday.
This huge proportion of non-Democrats "helping" to pick the Democratic nominee is *EXACTLY* why Iowa and New Hampshire should be cut out of their catbird positions in the Democratic nominating process.
Tesha
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earthlover
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Sun Jan-06-08 12:33 AM
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14. I would think it would be a good thing that majority of undeclareds are going to participate with us |
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...Would you rather most undeclareds vote in the republican primary?
There seems to be a some irrational fear of growing our party into a strong majority or something. Iowa was tremendously good news for Democrats. So can NH
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Tesha
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Sun Jan-06-08 03:45 PM
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17. Most of those "undeclareds" are *DEFINITELY* Republican voters. |
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When a guy comes in in full camo and NRA regalia and asks for a Democratic ballot, you can be pretty certain that he's not voting in our primary to help us, and that when the General Election rolls around, he'll be voting for the Republican.
I think the NH primary might have an excuse for existing if its primary were restricted to enrolled Democrats, but given that about half the vote comes from Republican-leaning undeclared voters, I think the NH Primary is worse than useless for us.
Tesha
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Infinite Hope
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Sat Jan-05-08 06:16 PM
Response to Original message |
11. You forgot to mention that it's also a 3 point gain for Edwards. |
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As mentioned on CNN. Sheesh, even CNN can report in a more equitable manner.
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MadBadger
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Sat Jan-05-08 06:27 PM
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13. This poll has a very low sample size in 359 LV |
Thrill
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Sun Jan-06-08 12:34 AM
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Mon May 06th 2024, 01:24 PM
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