Proud2BAmurkin
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Mon Jan-07-08 05:56 PM
Original message |
Clinton is experiencing the double edge sword of the INEVITABILITY strategy |
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If Edwards was polling at her numbers now (even nationally but behind in early primaries) everyone would be talking about a two man horse race through at least super Tuesday and no one would be speculating about dropping out or babbling about what Edwards needs to do to recover from a "disaster."
This is the double edge of an inevitability strategy Clinton has used up until now. It works to get money early on but it makes any loss be perceived as bigger than it is.
What I see is two front runners and a third place finisher who can't be counted out yet on our side. Notice the PUKES aren't writing anyone in the top 4 on their side off yet because there was no inevitability factor working for anyone.
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Yael
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Mon Jan-07-08 06:06 PM
Response to Original message |
1. There is no question. The higher you are, the harder people try to knock you down |
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and the farther you fall.
One of the problems with having a ~3+ year campaign, IMO.
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suston96
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Mon Jan-07-08 06:29 PM
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2. Inevitable? Oh, I guess now Obama is inevitable....eh? |
Proud2BAmurkin
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Mon Jan-07-08 06:38 PM
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3. I'm saying it's an artificial thing that exists that can interfere with objective reasoning |
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We don't WANT a nominee to soar to the nomination by momentum or "inevitability" so it's better now than it was 6 mos ago when Clinton was up 50 points for no real reason. They need to be under the microscope for a while and examined for their positions and electability without letting someone be selected through "momentum" or "inevitability." I hadn't thought about Obama as having the inevitaiblilty factor yet but if he does he shouldn't --it's artificial.
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suston96
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Mon Jan-07-08 06:54 PM
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4. There is no way to avoid inevitablity with this system of scattered primaries. |
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Look how only one primary in Iowa has set off the Obama explosion. The national polls weren't moving much until Obama won Iowa.
More explosions after NH. Then, more and more until some kind of resolution with 20 primaries happening in one day.
Hillary was up 50 points? I don't think so.
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Mon Apr 29th 2024, 09:41 PM
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