mzmolly
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Tue Jan-08-08 07:18 PM
Original message |
Edwards is the only candidate who beats McCain in a national show down. |
TwilightZone
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Tue Jan-08-08 07:23 PM
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1. The most recent poll (Zogby) had him down 4% to McCain. |
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Edited on Tue Jan-08-08 07:23 PM by TwilightZone
That was nearly a month ago, though.
In fact, all of the Dem vs. McCain polls listed are a few weeks old. I wouldn't be surprised if Obama would be ahead of McCain now. Heck, all of the Dems might be ahead of him now.
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BlueStater
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Tue Jan-08-08 07:25 PM
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2. Who the hell are they polling? |
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Good grief. Why would on Earth would anyone possibly want John "I would invade Iraq even if I knew they had no WMDs" McCain as their president!?
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TwilightZone
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Tue Jan-08-08 07:27 PM
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3. I've been wondering that myself. |
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His high polling in NH is similarly inexplicable. I honestly don't know what independents see in the guy.
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mzmolly
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Tue Jan-08-08 07:29 PM
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5. Rasmussen was done a day before showing John E up 7%. |
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:shrug:
RCP averages major polls and was accurate in 04.
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TwilightZone
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Tue Jan-08-08 07:30 PM
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6. It might have been accurate in '04, but probably not... |
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ten months before the election. ;)
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mzmolly
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Tue Jan-08-08 07:32 PM
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8. It does give us a picture of where we are today and what R's must do to win. |
TwilightZone
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Tue Jan-08-08 07:35 PM
Response to Reply #8 |
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Personally, I can't see McCain getting the nomination, but stranger things have happened. I think Edwards would be a formidable candidate against any of the Republicans.
What I don't get is why any of these polls are even close. I would think that any of our top candidates should be way ahead of the Republicans at this stage, considering the anti-Republican sentiment shown in the '06 races.
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mzmolly
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Tue Jan-08-08 07:38 PM
Response to Reply #10 |
Thrill
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Tue Jan-08-08 07:29 PM
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4. Those Polls mean nothing |
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Kerry was suppose to beat Bush by 12 points around this time in 04
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mzmolly
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Tue Jan-08-08 07:32 PM
Response to Reply #4 |
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They were actually quite accurate.
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blue neen
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Tue Jan-08-08 07:35 PM
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9. What is even more amazing are his numbers against Huckabee. |
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I believe JRE is our most viable candidate...and I just plain like him. :)
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saracat
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Tue Jan-08-08 07:38 PM
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12. Which is why the powers that be aren't supporting him! |
bvar22
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Tue Jan-08-08 09:23 PM
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13. Other factors to consider: |
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None of these polls are factoring in the influence of a 3rd Party Challenge from an AntiWAR/ProLABOR Populist candidate. A Hillary or Obama nomination will catalyse such a challenge that will peel off a good number of AntiWar/ProLABOR Democrats, and a good percentage of Independents.
An Edwards nomination would not lose so many votes to a Populist challenge.
Hillary and Obama are counting millions of votes they will NOT get in the GE.
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mzmolly
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Tue Jan-08-08 09:39 PM
Response to Reply #13 |
bvar22
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Tue Jan-08-08 09:27 PM
Response to Original message |
14. Other factors to consider: |
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None of these polls are factoring in the influence of a 3rd Party Challenge from an AntiWAR/ProLABOR Populist candidate. A Hillary or Obama nomination will catalyse such a challenge that will peel off a good number of AntiWar/ProLABOR Democrats, and a good percentage of Independents.
An Edwards nomination would not lose so many votes to a Populist challenge.
Hillary and Obama are counting millions of votes they will NOT get in the GE.
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Sat May 04th 2024, 08:55 AM
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