Obama erases Clinton's lead in Democratic presidential race

[ProSense]

Obama, Clinton tied in 2008 Democratic race

By John Whitesides, Political Correspondent
Wed Jan 16, 8:14 AM ET

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Barack Obama has erased a once substantial deficit to climb into a virtual tie with Hillary Clinton in the Democratic presidential race, according to a Reuters/Zogby poll released on Wednesday.

<...>

Clinton, a former first lady who would be the first woman U.S. president, held a 21-point edge over Obama in October. He cut that to 8 points by last month, and the new survey gave her a 39 percent to 38 percent edge.

Her 1-point lead was well within the poll's margin of error of 4.7 percentage points.

Obama, who would be the first black U.S. president, and Clinton were essentially deadlocked among a variety of groups, including men, women, Democrats and independents. Obama led substantially, 65 percent to 15 percent, among black voters.

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[HughMoran]

1. dupe

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x4083923

[rinsd]

2. Last 6 national heats....Zomby looks like the outlier.

Poll	         Date       Sample    Clinton   Obama   Edwards   Spread
RCP Average	01/09 - 01/13	-	42.3	33.3	12.0	Clinton +9.0
USAT/Gallup	01/11 - 01/13	1021 LV	45	33	13	Clinton +12.0
Reuters/Zogby	01/11 - 01/13	459 LV	39	38	9	Clinton +1.0
CBS News/NYT    01/09 - 01/12	508 LV	42	27	11	Clinton +15.0
ABC/Wash Post	01/09 - 01/12	423 LV	42	37	11	Clinton +5.0
CNN	        01/09 - 01/10	443 RV	49	36	12	Clinton +13.0
Rasmussen (Wed)	4 Day Tracking	750 LV	37	29	16	Clinton +8.0

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/democratic_presidential_nomination-191.html

[Joe the Revelator]

9. Zogby's numbers are within the MOE on most of those polls

Don't speak if you don't know about the subject.

[rinsd]

10. Zomby's numbers are within the MOE of two of those polls (ones I listed).

Poll Date Sample Clinton Obama Edwards Spread
RCP Average 01/09 - 01/13 - 42.3 33.3 12.0 Clinton +9.0
USAT/Gallup 01/11 - 01/13 1021 LV 45 33 13 Clinton +12.0
Reuters/Zogby 01/11 - 01/13 459 LV 39 38 9 Clinton +1.0
CBS News/NYT 01/09 - 01/12 508 LV 42 27 11 Clinton +15.0
ABC/Wash Post 01/09 - 01/12 423 LV 42 37 11 Clinton +5.0
CNN 01/09 - 01/10 443 RV 49 36 12 Clinton +13.0
Rasmussen (Wed) 4 Day Tracking 750 LV 37 29 16 Clinton +8.0

Zomby's MOE combined with ABC & Ras's MOE makes them even.

FD just also put out a poll that has Clinton up 3 so that makes 3 polls within the MOE of Zomby.

Last I checked 3 out of 6 is not "most"

"Don't speak if you don't know about the subject."

I had no idea simple math was a struggle for you.

[papau]

3. RAS: Clinton 37%, Obama 29% and John Edwards 16% - about the same as on 12/15

[William769]

4. USAT/Gallup Poll: McCain jumps to lead; Clinton regains advantage

Democrats
Clinton: 45%; up from 33%.
Obama: 33%, unchanged.
John Edwards: 13%; down from 20%.
Rep. Dennis Kucinich: 1%; down from 3%.
Mike Gravel: 1%; vs. 0.

http://blogs.usatoday.com/onpolitics/2008/01/usatgallup-poll.html

And that was before last nights debate. :rofl:

[AX10]

5. Hillary has some type of meaningful lead.

That is a fact.
She can win this thing.

[jackson_dem]

8. So Edwards' support went to Hillary

More evidence against the Obamite myth that if Edwards disappears his support will migrate to Obama and rescue him.

[Radical Activist]

6. national polls are still a waste of time.

Meaningless. But there's a lesson in the trend that Obama does better in the early primary states and nationally as people get to know who he is better. Hillary has done nothing but go down.

[Maribelle]

7. The latest poll from Florida: Clinton 52% Obama 31%, which was posted Monday night

http://www.firstcoastnews.com/news/florida/news-article.aspx?storyid=99937&ref=rss

Zogby must still be polling those undeclared republicans from New Hampshire to come up with his numbers. lol