Who do you think will win the Democratic nomination?

[Onlooker]

This is not a who do you support question, it's a who do you think will win question.

[mike_c]

1. I'm leaning toward thinking Clinton will win it....

I won't vote for her, but I think she's most likely to be the nominee. I'll be very disappointed, but not at all surprised.

edit-- I certainly hope to be proven wrong!

[onehandle]

2. Sorry but you won't get many honest answers while were still in primary mode. nt

[smoogatz]

3. Obama's a charismatic and a galvanizing speaker,

and he's played the media like a pro so far. Clinton's negatives are too high; an awful lot of voters have made up their minds not to like her. Edwards is likable enough (heh), but will have to win in either NV or SC to stand even a remote chance. Plus, Edwards does seem to be fighting an uphill battle for media attention; I suspect that this has less to do with his message than the fact that he's ultimately less interesting than either of the two front-runners. If he wins one, though, that will change.

[Zynx]

4. Among Democrats Obama and Hillary have identical favorables.

[smoogatz]

6. Not the same thing, and you know it.

[Zynx]

7. No, I don't know. Tell me.

I see candidates with extremely broad support among Democrats and not large, committed oppositions in the party. Both's strong opponents within the party are a loud and isolated fringe that have an unusually strong voice on the DU.

[smoogatz]

9. Okay, I can't find a national, Democrats-only poll that supports

my assertion. I can't find one that contradicts it, either. So I'll concede your point. Grudgingly.

[THUNDER HANDS]

5. whoever wins Super Tuesday

[Perky]

11. most pundits are now saying it might be a month later with Texas and Ohio,

I don't think it will be settled there either.

[gateley]

8. Question: What would have to happen in order to have a brokered convention?

Why would the powers that be decide one was needed?

I'm still trying to understand it.

Thanks! :)

[Perky]

10. Obama in a brokerd convention after Edwards releases his Delgates

No one will have a majoprity going into the first ballot.

It will effectively be the political obituary for the Clintons.

Not because they were undeserving of the nomination.... but becuse of tactics and the sense by the delegates that the Torch needs to be passed to a new generation.

[Kucinich4America]

12. All the way to Denver

brokered convention ending in the re-nomination of.....

[Drunken Irishman]

13. I think this is how it'll go down.

Obama will win Nevada & South Carolina. That will give him some serious momentum heading into Super Tuesday. And while Hillary has proven she can comeback, it will be much harder doing it at the national level. Once it comes down to Super Tuesday, Obama will win the following states:

Alabama
Alaska
Arizona
Colorado
Georgia
Idaho
Illinois
Kansas
Massachusetts
Minnesota
Missouri
New Mexico
North Dakota
Tennessee
Utah

Clinton will win:

Connecticut
Delaware
New Jersey
New York
Oklahoma

California will be too close to call and go to either candidate.

California will be the decider and since I think Obama will have cut into Clinton's lead after winning two big states, I'll give the slight edge to him.

After Super Tuesday, with clear momentum on his side, Obama will do far better in most every other state left in the primary season.

[FrenchieCat]

14. Clinton will not win MA......

Duval Patrick, John Kerry, Ethel Kennedy and Harvard (Obama and his wife's alta matta) will help him win the state.

I doubt very highly that Ted Kennedy will be endorsing Mrs. Clinton anytime soon. In fact, I daresay, I wouldn't be surprised if he ended up endorsing Obama....like the rest of MA highest office holders.

[Drunken Irishman]

15. You're right...I'll take that off.

I'm also not sure she wins Delaware, either. I have a feeling if it's close, Biden comes out in favor of Obama.

[featherman]

16. Early times yet... let's see the delegate count on Feb 6