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MY predicton. obama by 20% in south carolina

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dempartisan23 Donating Member (687 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 05:23 PM
Original message
MY predicton. obama by 20% in south carolina
will be a blowout win as he will go on to win the nomination.
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jlake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 05:23 PM
Response to Original message
1. Anything less will be a severe disappointment for Obama.
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Joe the Revelator Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 05:25 PM
Response to Reply #1
5. You're kidding yourself. As long as he gets the most delegates, he wins.
Has Hillary done that yet?
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jlake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 05:26 PM
Response to Reply #5
8. I think he'll win by
But I have been told for weeks from Obama supporters that he would beat her by 20%+, so in that measure, it will be a severe disappointment.
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Radical Activist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 05:25 PM
Response to Reply #1
6. lol
I know that's what you want the media to say, but rational people don't buy it.
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jlake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 05:27 PM
Response to Reply #6
9. Don't worry. The media will use this as a chance to bash Hillary...even if she wins.
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Radical Activist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 05:32 PM
Response to Reply #9
13. If there's anything Clinton's campaign has done well
its playing the expectations game. Carville was saying a loss for Hillary in Iowa wouldn't be a big deal on Meet the Press over 6 months ago. She should have won Nevada by at least 15 points but managed to play it off as a victory instead of the poor showing it was. You're doing a good job of repeating the campaign message.
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jlake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 05:33 PM
Response to Reply #13
14. Okay. I guess Hillary has a better campaign than Obama.
I'll add that to my list of why it is so important she be our nominee against the RW machine.

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TriMetFan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 05:31 PM
Response to Reply #1
12. I agree...
Edited on Sat Jan-26-08 05:31 PM by TriMetFan
If Obama doesn't have a blow out win, then it will be a disappointment. But I think he has to win by more then 10% to 12% anything less is bad. I mean the man is suppose to have all the African American vote in SC.
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cali Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 05:34 PM
Response to Reply #1
15. that's silly.
was Nevada a severe disappointment for Hill? How about NH? And what did she win those by? Try 5.5% and 3%, respectively. Anything over 7 or 8 pts is good for Obama. 10 is great and 15+ would be fantastic.
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jlake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 05:37 PM
Response to Reply #15
17. Obama doesn't know how to play the expectations game.
I have a feeling the difference in our opinion won't even matter.
It will either be MUCH closer or a victory for Hillary tonight.
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KennedyGuy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 05:24 PM
Response to Original message
2. Now THAT's funny
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eleny Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 05:24 PM
Response to Original message
3. Double digits would blow the doors off
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jackson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 05:29 PM
Response to Reply #3
11. Romney won by 40% in Nevada and no one cared
Why? ;)
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eleny Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 05:37 PM
Response to Reply #11
18. I wouldn't compare what's happening to the R's to the Dems
Frankly, when I think of the Republican Party right now I think of The Stooges. Are you sure you're running for president? Soitenly!

That bunch is a mess. I think their electorate is still waiting for someone from above to tell them how to vote.
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dempartisan23 Donating Member (687 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 08:40 PM
Response to Reply #3
20. 27%
double digits times 3!!
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HughMoran Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 05:25 PM
Response to Original message
4. I'm into the Power of Positive Thinking too
:D
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MH1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 05:26 PM
Response to Original message
7. I wish, but don't expect it.
I'm sure Team Clinton is using every dirty trick in the book, and probably inventing some new ones, so expect it to be closer than the latest polls suggest.
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dempartisan23 Donating Member (687 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 05:27 PM
Response to Reply #7
10. i wont criticise hillary
i expect a big turnout for obama today
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karlrschneider Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 05:35 PM
Response to Original message
16. If he gets the nomination, you should practice saying "President McCain"
...
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dempartisan23 Donating Member (687 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 08:35 PM
Response to Original message
19. i was wrong lol
27%!!!
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eleny Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 08:42 PM
Response to Reply #19
21. .
:pals:
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dempartisan23 Donating Member (687 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 08:46 PM
Response to Reply #21
22. great win tonight
i think the race is over
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eleny Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 09:00 PM
Response to Reply #22
23. one thing i know...
welcome to du!
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Tulkas Donating Member (592 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 09:01 PM
Response to Original message
24. Lead holding steady at 27% a 2-1 margin
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