First day without Edwards at Rasmussen. Hillary up 1; Obama up 3.

[Flabbergasted]

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/daily_presidential_tracking_polling_history

[Uben]

1. Wow

I noticed at the top of the page they say there is a 62.5% chance of Clinton becomming the nominee! Thats a 2 to 1 advantage!

She has been the odds on favorite from the start and there has been nothing revealed to stop the snowball from rolling on down the hill!

When she wins, it will be a glorious day here at Democratic Underground. We will all unite around our nominee and its on to the GE for another ASTOUNDING VICTORY!

[Big Blue Marble]

5. Many of us would not be feeling glorious.

The party would fracture and the Democrat"s chance of winning would be significantly reduced.
The down-ticket effect would be disastrous. Many would tune out and stay home
especially younger voters.

Most likely Bloomberg would come in and sweep of the independents and many of the
Obama voters who aren't in to crossing that bridge back to the 20th century.

Your dreams of an astounding victory are not grounded in reality.
If she wins, the country and the Democratic party are more likely to be in tatters.

[UALRBSofL]

10. I think the Clinton supporters

Feel the same way.

[Big Blue Marble]

13. They would feel the same way.

But the facts on the ground would be entirely different. If Obama wins the nomination.
Everything changes. The youth vote is energized. The independents and moderate Republicians
will join us in a transformation election the changes the political dynamic of this country going forward.

Oh and we will increase the size of our House and Senate majorities as well.

[nels25]

22. Oh I absolutly agree

You are spot on.

[Big Blue Marble]

23. Thanks for your affirmation.

And welcome to DU :hi:

[nels25]

24. Thank You

:P

[nels25]

21. I hate to concur but

If Hillary is nominated I am going to write my own name in for a vote.

I can in no way take another Clinton administration, and I am unsure if the nation can withstand the stresss another 4 to 8 years of Clinton would bring.

[slick8790]

6. Those aren't political odds.

They're financial. Conventional wisdom based on people buying "futures" stocks. They've been disastrously wrong before, especially this primary season. I wouldn't put too much sway in it.

[Abacus]

7. That is the value of the futures contract.

The same mechanism that predicted that Obama would win NH and that the Republicans would maintain control of congress in 2004. It actually had Obama up about the same around 4 weeks ago.

[cali]

8. don't hold your breath.

If she wins the nomination, it's unlikely we'll unite around her. We'll vote for her without enthusiams. That's the best you'll get. She's divisive.

And Obama beat the same odds to win Iowa.

[UALRBSofL]

11. I think the Hillary supporters

Feel the same way

[MonkeyFunk]

12. and what's different of Obama wins?

so Obama supporters won't rally around Clinton, but you just assume Clinton supporters will rally around Obama? Why is that?

[cali]

14. Did I say that? I don't recall mentioning I thought that.

But let me point out, as long as you're bringing it up, that they're are many more Obama supporters here than Clinton supporters. And at kos, there are even more.

[MonkeyFunk]

25. I'm trying to figure out

how a Clinton win will split the board/party/country, but not an Obama win. It seems people are threatening that a Clinton win would be worse than an Obama win as far as divisiveness.

I don't understand the logic.

[Uben]

15. Everyone is entitled an opinion

Yours is noted. Thank you. I am a numbers guy, and the numbers seldom lie.

I am not anti-Obama, I am pro-Clinton, and I am a democrat first and foremost!

[Occam Bandage]

9. Unite? Eh. I'll vote for her.

[oasis]

17. Obamaists have their own ideas about the meaning of unity. (eom)

[snooper2]

26. Yeah, that would be a really glorious day...

28 years of glory....


BUSH
BUSH
BUSH
BUSH
CLINTON
CLINTON
CLINTON
CLINTON
CLINTON
CLINTON
CLINTON
CLINTON
BUSH :puke:
BUSH :puke:
BUSH :puke:
BUSH :puke:
BUSH :puke:
BUSH :puke:
BUSH :puke:
BUSH :puke:
CLINTON :puke:
CLINTON :puke:
CLINTON :puke:
CLINTON :puke:
CLINTON :puke:
CLINTON :puke:
CLINTON :puke:
CLINTON :puke:

[rinsd]

2. It may take another day or two for Edwards folks to select another candidate.

[MadBadger]

3. Rasmussen said that they are essentially tied in the first day totals without Edwards.

though that sample is low.

[SammyWinstonJack]

16. Just a day or two?

[rinsd]

19. Not for all of course. I was referring to the purposes of polling.

[Barack_America]

18. Lol. I'll take him gaining on her regardless! n/t

[rinsd]

20. Why the laughter? My comment was on the large undecided block.

42 + 35 = 77

Leaving some 23% undecided.

[BenDavid]

4. Excuse me but when will folks take with a grain of salt

rasmussen's polling. Anytime one has dick (the toe sucker) Morris and Bob( outing a cia agent) kovack then one should question the sampling....