IMO, the way this superdelegate issue will be decided will be ...

[Alhena]

based on a vote from the uncommitted superdelegates- the few hundred or so who haven't pledged to either candidate. I think they will have to take the role of the Supreme Court in Bush v. Gore and decide this issue. Hopefully they will reach a fairer result than the Supreme Court did. But regardless, someone will have to decide this thing, and the uncommitted superdelegates seems like the right body to decide this.

This is assuming the pledged delegate count is slightly in favor of Obama. Then you will still have Hillary complaining about the Florida and Michigan voters, and it appears that holding new primaries there isn't going to happen. Sorting that issue out will require some quasi-judicial body, and the unpledged superdelegates would appear to be it.

If Hillary has a slight lead in pledged delegates then the election is hers, IMO and I don't foresee any contest. Although there will likely be some hard feelings from Obama supporters if it's Puerto Rico (the last primary) which provides the margin of victory. A lot of voters won't like a non-state deciding our election, but we knew going in that Puerto Rico would be the last primary so I don't see any issue there.

[Ravy]

1. I think Hillary will have the superdelegate advantage.

She holds it now, and Hillary does better among Democrats than Obama does.

Superdelegates might take into account that Obama would likely draw more independents in the process, but that would be up to them.