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I for one, put no stock in polls... I won't take them into consideration anymore

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Windy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-09-08 11:31 AM
Original message
I for one, put no stock in polls... I won't take them into consideration anymore
They have been so eratic and all over the map. They are not a good indicator of the electorate as the evidence provided by their inablility to get it right consistently has shown. There clearly is a cell phone/caller ID effect. I can think of no other explantation.

I for one, won't be monitoring them any longer. The only accurate poll is the actual votes cast.
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ursi Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-09-08 11:35 AM
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1. I agree with you ...besides, people have been known to change their minds!
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Adelante Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-09-08 11:36 AM
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2. I like to look at them
But I absolutely agree: The only accurate poll is the actual votes cast.
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PATRICK Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-09-08 11:41 AM
Response to Original message
3. Too dynamic and too fast
and the movement from the fixity of the public being set in its pre-conceptions(very many still are) to a pre-knowledge lunge for change. The limitations of PUBLIC polling are far worse for their utmost need to stay on top of the impossible and push their personal interpretation of the tea leaves they construct.

Common sense is a better aid to forecasting and bias is always, always a hindrance even when the facts coincidentally bear it out. A change takes TIME to show itself in voter movement unless it is as direct as a concession speech. Inertia carries forth into election day despite the breathless excitement and drama of "confused" polls. Inertia helped the Clintons and now it mostly cripples them. The movement, and slow and elephantine and seemly deniable as it is, is for the dynamic candidate, Obama. Party pros, were they ever guided solely by cynical common political sense, would see the Clinton inertial advantage as fatal and prone to backward slippage in the fall. THAT is set in stone whatever worries one might have about a well tested and successful Obama campaign headed by someone well worthy to head its smartness.

The only polls that count, and those imperfectly as well, are in the voting booth or caucus rooms.
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rocktivity Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-09-08 12:02 PM
Response to Original message
4. Immediately swore off them on Iowa primary night
Edited on Sat Feb-09-08 12:04 PM by rocknation
And I invoke this when I come across a thread on the subject:

GET THE BEYOND ME, POLLS!
UNCLEAN! UNCLEAN!!!!




x(
rocknation


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