CNN LA Exit polls show fairly close race

[mohc]

Obama leading men 52-45 and women 54-45 link

[Pirate Smile]

1. MSNBC says Obama leads Clinton by substantial margin in LA exit polls.

They said it was "too early to call" as opposed to the GOP they listed as "too close to call".

[Exultant Democracy]

3. Yeah I just saw that too. I wonder why the different news.

[nolabels]

32. "too early to call" is code for they haven't figured out the phrasing for the up coming spin

The only thing hard thing to figure out about the cadre of corporate media is why they think we don't know what their next move will be :shrug:

[mohc]

7. Looks to be an 8% lead

For an exit poll, that is nowhere near enough to be certain of, especially after what we saw this past Tuesday.

[K Gardner]

8. Ah, OK.. I misread then. Fox is hinting its going to Obama. I had to watch cuz

Hannity was eviscerating Lanny Davis over being in denial about Hillary's campaign and chances.

[high density]

13. At the same time they're saying "too close to call"

So, I'm confused, to say the least.

[mohc]

2. And while we are at it

The republican exit poll shows Huckabee AHEAD!

[K Gardner]

9. OMG !! Upset for McLame !

[mohc]

15. I just checked their delegate selection plan

If Huckabee cracks 50%, he gets all the delegates. If neither cracks 50%, neither gets either delegates, they are assigned as uncommitted. Poll seems to show them both under 50%

[jackson_dem]

4. She got 77% of the white vote but Obama got 85% of the black vote

That is why she lost. Obama did better with folks of his color then she did with folks of her color. It is disconcerting but there is no way to pretend racial voting isn't occurring in the South. In every southern state so far big majorities have voted for someone of their color. How can this be so when they are the same on policy? Race is the only explanation.

[Sir Jeffrey]

5. No they don't...

Obama is shown winning men 52-45 and women 54-45.

[mohc]

10. That's what I said

but 8% is too close based purely on exit polls.

[Sir Jeffrey]

20. That's not close at all...that's a blowout nt

[mohc]

24. If you see it that way.

But then CA and AZ were blowouts. With proportional delegate allocation, 8% is not going to translate into a large delegate lead. If this were a blowout, they would have called it already.

[Sir Jeffrey]

27. Do you know how to read polling data?

You mentioned California for some reason. Go take a look at California's exit polling and compare it to LA. Then come back and tell me that LA is going to be close.

The reason they haven't called it yet is because less than 1% of the polling precincts are reporting. It is "too early to call", not "too close to call" and "Obama has a substantial lead according to exit polls" per Nora O'Donnell just as a I typed this.

[Thrill]

6. Clinton News Network

[11 Bravo]

16. Wow! Pithy! And so RNC circa 1996.

[VolcanoJen]

11. Obama 59, Clinton 28,

Very early!

[MadBadger]

12. Looks like a big racial divide down there

[Adelante]

18. Yeah, it really is stark nt

[jackson_dem]

22. Just like Georgia, Alabama, and South Carolina

Obama the "uniter" keeps winning the states with racial divides. The swiftboating of the Clintons on race has worked wonders.

[MadBadger]

25. You may want to check your facts about Georgia Again.

[jackson_dem]

26. I did. He won 88% of the black vote but 43% of the white vote

That is a difference of 45 points. It isn't due to policy because neither offers special race-based policies. They are the same on the issues that affect blacks and whites.

[MadBadger]

28. I see, we arent arguing that Obama doesnt get white voters. are we?

[jackson_dem]

30. He doesn't in some southern states (GA was his best. He got 25% in AL, 23% in SC, and 23% in LA)

But the larger truth is in the states with a huge racial divide it is Obama who wins...

[book_worm]

14. we will have to see what the actual vote shows.

[Unsane]

17. If he's leading women by that margn, then it isn't competitive at all.

[DiamondJay]

19. its a primary. Hillary will win

she wins actual elections, round table serenades

[MadBadger]

21. You wanna put your money where your mouth is.

[Colobo]

23. Really? See you at 10pm, once Obama is announced the winner.

[jefferson_dem]

31. Obama now up 49-37, with 2% in.

:hi: Katz!

[Perky]

29. Let's see what happend in the Potomac Primaries where he cleans her clock three times more

[NOLALady]

33. 49-37 Obama with 2% reporting.

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/state/#LA