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Exit Poll: Obama Winning Women!

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TAWS Donating Member (312 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 06:54 PM
Original message
Exit Poll: Obama Winning Women!
http://thepage.time.com/fox-preliminary-exits-for-wisconsin-democrats/

Women: Obama 51%, Clinton 49%

Families with income under 50,000: Obama 51%, Clinton 49%

Independents: Obama 63%, Clinton 34%

Seniors: Clinton 60%, Obama 39%

Top quality — experience: Clinton 95%, Obama 5%

Union households: Clinton 50%, Obama 49%
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Drunken Irishman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 06:58 PM
Response to Original message
1. If these numbers are true, the Obama blowout projected by NRO could be right.
The fact he's winning familes under $50,000 is bigger, in my mind, than support from women.
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 06:59 PM
Response to Original message
2. That margin with seniors correlates more closely to what she did in NJ than VA.
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grantcart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 06:59 PM
Response to Original message
3. ruh roh
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cali Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 07:00 PM
Response to Original message
4. We'll see.
I don't trust exit polling, but if this is any where near accurate, he should win handily.
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Drunken Irishman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 07:02 PM
Response to Reply #4
6. I trust these types of exit polling.
They seem to be far more accurate than projected totals.

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my3boyz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 07:09 PM
Response to Reply #4
16. I don't trust it either! I remember the Kerry landslide that never happened.
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Qutzupalotl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 07:01 PM
Response to Original message
5. Obama wins independents almost 2 to 1.
That's key.
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Kahuna Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 07:07 PM
Response to Reply #5
11. Just heard Whora O'Donnell say indies were 27% of the Dem vote. nt
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JorgeTheGood Donating Member (736 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 07:02 PM
Response to Original message
7. no one over 50K income was polled? n/t
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jefferson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 07:05 PM
Response to Reply #7
9. They were. It's just that this is the group (50k and less) that Hillary needed...
Edited on Tue Feb-19-08 07:06 PM by jefferson_dem
to have a chance.

According to this poll, she did not do that.
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Yael Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 07:07 PM
Response to Reply #7
12. These are just samples of the polling questions
note the "experience" one. They aren't reporting the flip question to that which is "change".
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K Gardner Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 07:03 PM
Response to Original message
8. ok, somebody interpret for me ! I'm on my 2nd glass of merlot and can't add. This is good, right?
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jefferson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 07:06 PM
Response to Reply #8
10. Probably very good for O and his peeps...
If true.
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Kahuna Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 07:08 PM
Response to Reply #8
14. Depends on how many of the voters are seniors. Hillary is getting 60%.
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loveangelc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 07:08 PM
Response to Original message
13. hope its true. we will see!
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mucifer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 07:08 PM
Response to Original message
15. what time does the voting stop?
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TAWS Donating Member (312 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 07:10 PM
Response to Reply #15
17. 9 pm
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usregimechange Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 07:12 PM
Response to Reply #17
22. central time?
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MzShellG Donating Member (835 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 07:47 PM
Response to Reply #22
28. Naw. That's 9pm eastern time....
At 7pm est, cnn said the WI polls close in 2 hours.
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usregimechange Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 07:11 PM
Response to Reply #15
20. I have been looking for that myself...
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JorgeTheGood Donating Member (736 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 07:10 PM
Response to Original message
18. Are republicans allowed to be dems for a day in this one? n/t
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Thepricebreaker Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 07:11 PM
Response to Reply #18
19. Yes its open...
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 07:11 PM
Response to Original message
21. These results with the seniors make zero sense at all.
There is no way she is getting pasted that bad in everything else and winning seniors by that margin. The ages don't vote THAT differently. The 18-25 voters might, but the rest of this doesn't make sense.
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cali Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 07:15 PM
Response to Reply #21
23. Actually, they do make sense
she's consistently won the 65+ demographic big with the exception, I believe, of MD, VA and D.C.
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 07:21 PM
Response to Reply #23
25. The state I found that best correlates with that number is Missouri.
The blow-out states don't correlate with this.
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GarbagemanLB Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 07:16 PM
Response to Reply #21
24. I'll say again, they think they are still in the nineties.
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LadyVT Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 07:40 PM
Response to Original message
26. looks close to me
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FlyingSquirrel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 07:41 PM
Response to Original message
27. Seniors really like HRC. That's one point in her favor
if she makes it to the GE (which I'm doubting). Kerry's youth vote never materialized at the polls.
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VolcanoJen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 07:47 PM
Response to Original message
29. Sing, fat lady!
Screw exit polls. They are dangerous!

Waiting for Tweety to call it. :-)
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