BREAKING: obama surges to 4 point lead in texas

[dempartisan23]

this is the headline on drudge. rasmussen has obama 4 points ahead in texas now. GOBAMA

[jezebel]

1. Oh I hope that is correct. I'm worried about that Axelrod quote in WaPo about him being down in

internals in both Tx and Ohio. Go Obama in Texas.

[dempartisan23]

2. DONT WORRY

hillary has to win texas by 30% and that wont happen

[hogwyld]

41. But won't the wins, no matter how small

could restart her campaign? Halt the Omentum? I'm really nervous that if Hillary ekes out a win, we'll hear nothing but stories about the great Clinton comeback.

[Arkana]

48. And you will, too, if that happens.

Meanwhile, Hillary will continue to whine about the media being against her all the while.

Most delegate math shows that Hillary would have to win by large margins in every remaining state just to pull even.

[Nexus7]

52. No, she doesn't

If she wins OH and/or TX, Obama will then have won no big states except Illinois. Yes, this depends on an arbitrary definition of "big state." However, most of the southern states that Obama got many delegates in, have little change of going democratic in the general election. The "southern strategy" will take care of that.

[TwilightGardener]

3. Axelrod has to lower expectations--that's his job. He didn't have to say

a word about his internal polls, he volunteered that for a reason.

[thevoiceofreason]

4. A very good way to tell the workers GET OFF YOUR BUTTS!

[TexasObserver]

36. Shhhh! don't let on!!

:D

[MadHound]

5. This isn't good news for the Clinton camp

If she loses Texas, much less Ohio, you can stick a fork in her, she'll be done. Superdelegates will flee her camp for Obama, funding, already at a trickle, will disappear completely, and the numbers game will decisively turn against her.

[InAbLuEsTaTe]

46. No it's not. I think I'm ready to admit that maybe the surge IS working. The Obama surge that is!

[Renew Deal]

6. The more important aspect could be that it shows movement

We've seen some polling saying all kinds of things. Trends are almost more important than any one poll. And this is a positive trend.

[dempartisan23]

7. true

clinton need to win both texas and ohio in blowouts and that isnt going to happen. its time for her to drop out. i also think obama wil win vermont and rhode island.

[hogwyld]

20. Obama might win Vermont

But there's no way in hell he wins Rhode Island.

[ginnyinWI]

24. how many delegates does RI have, anyway? n/t

[cali]

27. 33, I believe n/t

[cali]

26. there's no might to his winning VT

He's ahead in the polls by nearly 30 pts and don't be surprised if he wins by more than that.

[hogwyld]

35. I sure hope that you're right

I'm just trying to keep working the phones like we're 20 pts. behind.

[arewenotdemo]

37. Question: How is it that VT and RI are (seemingly) so different?

Not a New Englander here so I've no clue.

[sniffa]

49. Bi-baby, myself, and a few of our friends will be in RI to help Obama

And are there polls for RI? I haven't seen any. :shrug:

[DemGa]

8. Freepers are having a party....nt

[skipos]

9. That's not what I read on FR.

Many of them are bummed that the Coulter/Beck/Limbaugh endorsed candidate, Hillary, isn't looking likely to get the nomination now.

[dempartisan23]

10. recraps want hillary to win

they think they can beat her.

[Arkana]

50. That's what I don't get.

Why, if Hillary is supposedly the "more electable", are Coulter/Beck/Limpballs/Other Assorted RW Sleazeballs "endorsing" her? Why would they want her to be our nominee if she was harder to beat?

[cottonseed]

39. I don't see how this helps your candidate.

Honestly, it's not positive. It's actually quite rude.

[Fluffdaddy]

11. Sen. Clinton will win Texas /Ohio/ Pennsylvania all by 4 or 5 points

Bank on it...................it aint over yet

[mckeown1128]

12. Well, too bad she will not be mathematically viable if she wins

by your prediction of 4 or 5 points in those three states. Hell, Obama will be the nominee even if Hillary wins by 8 or 10 points.

[mkultra]

14. im banking on Obama

As in really banking through intrade. she will not win. You should bank on that.

[scheming daemons]

15. 4 or 5 points isn't large enough.... Doesn't dent Obama's delegate lead....

....forget what anybody else is telling you... it's all about the delegates.

[yellowcanine]

18. So are you putting money on that? Or is it just others who should?

[Fluffdaddy]

31. My money..........Just made another contribution to senator Hillary Clinton

[bvar22]

38. More sound Economic Guidance from the DLC:

* like NAFTA (and ALL other "Free" Trade Treaties)

* Privatizing Social Security

* supporting Media Conglomeration

* Welfare "Reform"

* Increasing H1B (imported low wage servants)

* Increasing the Defense "Budget"

* deregulating Banking and Lending (Thanks for the current Housing Bankruptcy Crisis)

* deregulating Corporate Accounting (thanks for Enron et al)

* deregulating Energy (thanks for Enron & HIGH energy prices)

* Mandatory "For Profit" Health Insurance

* limiting Class Action liability for large corporations


Economic advice from the DLC ?..........
No thanks. I can't afford it.

I have to WORK for a Living.

[workinclasszero]

33. LOL! Then she loses the nomination!

She needs big wins in Texas and Ohio, or she is toast!

[Occam Bandage]

13. If it appears on Drudge, that means it didn't happen. Don't you pay attention?

[mohc]

16. Poll is up on Rasmussen now

Rasmussen Texas

Obama 48
Clinton 44

[BeyondGeography]

17. Say goodbye to the "Latino firewall"

==Obama leads by sixteen points among men, but trails by nine among women. Clinton’s lead among Hispanic voters is down to seven percentage points.==

[psychopomp]

22. Check out this video

For Obama: "Si Se Puede Cambiar" by Andres Useche
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-ky8Hvq-F0U

[workinclasszero]

34. Love that video! Viva Obama!!

Have you seen Viva Obama 2008! http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0fd-MVU4vtU

There is an english translation on the right side, about this video, enjoy.:hi:

[psychopomp]

44. Thanks

I had not been able to understand the lyrics when I first saw it. Love the sentiment!

Mariachi bands bring back memories of growing up in California (and of drinking margaritas and eating delicious food).

[mohc]

23. Many of Clinton's supporters seemed to forget

That in a race, velocity can be just as important as position. We all knew Clinton started this race with a substantial lead and built in advantages, and quite frankly, those advantages were much deserved. But as the race has opened up, its equally clear that Obama has all the momentum. Along virtually every demographic group, within any state, Obama has been closing the gap or expanding his lead. When I saw Clinton supporters trumpeting leads in Ohio or Texas, or talking about the divide among Latino voters, there was never commentary on how the lead was shrinking, just that there was a lead. Its like a car broken down just short of the finish line with another racing at top speed nearly a lap behind. Sure the broken down car is closer to the finish line, but who is going to get there first?

[Fluffdaddy]

32. Do you guys really believe in these "Daily" polls?

[JackORoses]

42. do you really believe in the DLC??

[nickn777]

19. Obama also ahead in already voted...

From Rasmussen:

"Currently, Obama leads by six among those who have already voted or are absolutely certain they will vote."

[MadBadger]

21. Rasmussen also has PA down to a 4 point lead if it comes down to that.

[mohc]

25. Seeing as Obama has managed to close leads of nearly 20 in a couple of weeks

I'd take a 7½ weeks to close a 4% gap.

[Adelante]

28. He's only 9% behind among women and 7% among Hispanics

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey shows Obama attracting 48% of the vote while Clinton earns 44%. Eight percent (8%) remain undecided and another 12% say it’s possible they could change their mind. That latter figure includes 3% who say there’s a good chance they could change their mind.

Obama leads by sixteen points among men, but trails by nine among women. Clinton’s lead among Hispanic voters is down to seven percentage points.

Among those who are undecided, 73% have a favorable opinion of Clinton and 66% say the same about Obama.

Overall, 76% have a favorable opinion of Clinton and 75% view Obama in such a positive light.
Seventy-nine percent (79%) believe Clinton would be at least somewhat likely to win the White House if nominated. Seventy-eight percent (78%) say the same about Obama.

These latest results show a continuing trend in Obama’s favor. Last Sunday, Clinton led by a single point. Last week, Clinton was up by three. Two weeks ago, the former First Lady enjoyed a double digit lead. The Rasmussen Reports surveys in Texas include people who have already voted and those who are likely to vote. Currently, Obama leads by six among those who have already voted or are absolutely certain they will vote.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/texas/texas_democratic_presidential_primary

[Tropics_Dude83]

29. There's just no way this isn't over

Unless the skies really do open and the celestial choirs really do start singing BUT for Hillary.

John Edwards could change that. If he really does support her, he should endorse her NOW when she needs him the most and when she is down, not post 3/4 if she has a good night. That's the only thing that can change things.

[JimGinPA]

30. K&R

[Scurrilous]

40. Kick

:kick:

[JackORoses]

43. Obama pities the fool who messes with Texas!!!

[loveangelc]

45. I wonder how many of these pollsters are just making shit up..

[backscatter712]

47. SWEET!

Hope this is a sign of a victory in Texas.

Let's see if we can start beating Clinton in Ohio too! Let's put this primary season away!

[dempartisan23]

51. i agree

[Blondiegrrl]

53. Is that really a lead, though? Isn't that within the margin of error?

I don't mean to play devil's advocate; I'm just trying to prepare myself. :dilemma:

Regardless, unless Hillary wins by a landslide in every election from here on out, Obama will get the nom.

GObama!