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Perception game. Hillary has not lost '11 straight contests'

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publicatlarge Donating Member (149 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 08:15 PM
Original message
Perception game. Hillary has not lost '11 straight contests'
From msnbc article: 'having lost the last 11 straight contests' referencing Hillary Clinton.

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/23437753/

She actually lost '4 contests' since Super Tuesday and the Americans Over Seas vote. Feb 9th, 10th, 12th and 19th - and Americans Over Seas. Not '11 straight contests'.

It is this kind of framing which I believe to be bullying and Rovian in nature. There is much of this kind perception put 'out there' by the MSM and Obama surrogates. It's not exactly 'dirty', but it sure isn't clean.

Oh, wait! Only HRC engages in dirty politics.



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adoraz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 08:16 PM
Response to Original message
1. ok?
Edited on Sun Mar-02-08 08:17 PM by adoraz
I don't really see your point, but whatever. She has lost 11 straight primaries/caucuses in a row. happy?
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slick8790 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 08:18 PM
Response to Original message
2. Are you kidding?
A contest is one primary/caucus.

And you talk about spin and perceptions.
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quantass Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 08:19 PM
Response to Original message
3. Lost 10 states in a row + 1 Abroad == Noone wants this itch
Edited on Sun Mar-02-08 08:21 PM by quantass
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yourguide Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 08:19 PM
Response to Original message
4. ROFL
Mark Penn, is that you?
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Window Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 08:19 PM
Response to Original message
5. Huh?
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nomorewhopper Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 08:20 PM
Response to Original message
6. very interesting analysis
your analysis of media bias and spin is incredibly detailed. i'm very impressed with your post, especially since you apparently haven't even learned how to count to eleven.

*sarcasm*
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adoraz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 08:36 PM
Response to Reply #6
23. ROFL!
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mohc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 08:22 PM
Response to Original message
7. Well in that case
Clinton has lost 6 or 7 straight contests. If a contest is just a date with primaries and/or caucuses, Clinton has yet to win anything as there has not been a single day where she received more delegates. At the very least Obama would have to be given 1/26 and 2/5, he won 1/19 on delegate count. 1/8 (NH) was a tie, otherwise he has won every "contest". But that simply is not what contest means. Primaries and caucuses are just types of contests, and she has lost the last 11 primaries or caucuses.
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WVRevy Donating Member (225 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 08:22 PM
Response to Original message
8. Seriously...we HAVE to fix Public Education!
If someone can get on the internet and post, yet can't even master the basic math skills to count to 11....we need a SERIOUS revolution in education in this country, people!
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babylonsister Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 08:24 PM
Response to Reply #8
10. HA! Good point! nt
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publicatlarge Donating Member (149 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 08:30 PM
Response to Reply #8
17. In re education - how about an actual response to the premise of perception and framing? n/t
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tekisui Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 08:33 PM
Response to Reply #17
20. I responded, and listed the 11 contests, you choose to ignore.
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publicatlarge Donating Member (149 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 08:49 PM
Original message
Agree she lost 11 contests....
...and I was not trying to ignore. Went to look at the user profile options, and get a cup of java.
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WVRevy Donating Member (225 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 08:35 PM
Response to Reply #17
22. Simple enough...
The OP is attempting to "frame" the argument that there have only been a very limited number of voting days since Super Tuesday, all of which Hillary lost. He/She is attempting to create the perception that her slide has not been as bad as it has been portrayed by stating that she hit a slump, but that Tuesday will turn that slump around. He/She is trying to tell undecideds - as if THAT were a big demographic here on DU - that they shouldn't jump on the Obama bandwagon or OFF the Clinton bandwagon because the momentum he has been credited with is not what it appears.

Frankly, it's a bullshit argument. She HAS lost 11 seperate contests since Super Tuesday, and they are listed further down in this thread. Each was a SEPERATE primary or caucus, thus a seperate CONTEST. It's spin...pure and simple.

Thus endeth the lesson.
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mohc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 08:41 PM
Response to Reply #17
28. You are the one misusing the word "contest"
A date is not a contest. Primaries and caucuses are types of contests. Obama has won 11 straight primaries and/or caucuses, or in other words Obama has won 11 straight contests.

And if we accept your definition of contest to mean a primary and/or caucus date, then as I stated in my previous post you have to extend his winning streak. Obama won 2/5 (he got 14 more delegates) and 1/26. There is no clear date that Clinton has won, as her best performance so far is her tie in New Hampshire. By this "framing" of contest, Obama is undefeated in contests!

You take your pick, either Obama has won 11 straight contests, or he is undefeated in contests.
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quantass Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 08:23 PM
Response to Original message
9. Whew! And i thought Hillary was done for -- i mean 11 straight losses would have been a disaster
oh wait...that state, plus that state, plus ... hey..

:hurts:
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tekisui Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 08:24 PM
Response to Original message
11. Learn to count.
LA, NE, WA, DC, MY, VA, HI, WI, ME, Virgin Islands, and Dems Abroad.

That's 11 straight. Soon to be 14 or maybe even 15.
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grantcart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 08:47 PM
Response to Reply #11
37. you may like my spin # 32
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tekisui Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 08:56 PM
Response to Reply #37
46. Yep.
I also said, 11 of the last 11 contests. How's that?
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grantcart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 09:00 PM
Response to Reply #46
49. yeah but since CA its really 12 for 12 lol
hint: its a little sneaky
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City Lights Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 08:25 PM
Response to Original message
12. You can't be series!!1111!!!
:rofl:

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theboss Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 08:25 PM
Response to Original message
13. I'm lost...
Are you suggesting that caucuses (cauci?) do not count?
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quantass Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 08:27 PM
Response to Original message
14. So this means she's lost 100% of contests since Super Tuesday -- I smell comeback!! (roll eyes)
Edited on Sun Mar-02-08 08:28 PM by quantass
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publicatlarge Donating Member (149 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 08:28 PM
Response to Original message
15. Usual predictable reponses. n/t
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quantass Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 08:29 PM
Response to Reply #15
16. Ask a silly question...n/t
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tekisui Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 08:32 PM
Response to Reply #15
19. Because you are so fucking wrong. Seriously, learn to count.
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VolcanoJen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 08:32 PM
Response to Original message
18. Really?!???!???
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tekisui Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 08:35 PM
Response to Original message
21. You are intentionally ignoring facts. Where's your profile, anyway>?
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publicatlarge Donating Member (149 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 08:36 PM
Response to Reply #21
24. Wondering the same thing myself! How* does one make it 'visible'?
Edited on Sun Mar-02-08 08:37 PM by publicatlarge
Edited it to add info one day, and it disappeared. Must be a sign of some kind, eh?

:)

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tekisui Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 08:40 PM
Response to Reply #24
25. Go to Options.
Go to "Edit your Preferences".

Chose "NO" on "Hide Your Profile"

But, Seriously. Count the 11. I posted them. You may be wanting to count days, but multiple contests occurred on each day. Look up thread.
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publicatlarge Donating Member (149 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 08:45 PM
Response to Reply #25
36. Got it! Thanks!
Not trying to be trollish in the observation regarding perceptions - btw. Just like to micro-analyze anything having to do with communications, especially in politics. Not denying the reality that Obama is ahead and has momentum.

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Sir Jeffrey Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 08:40 PM
Response to Original message
26. Wow...
On Feb 9th, Obama won WA, LA, NB, and the Virgin Islands. That is 4 contests.

On Feb 10th, Obama won ME. That is 1 contest.

On Feb 12th, Obama won VA, MD, DC, and the Democrats Abroad contest. That is 4 contests.

So far, we have 9 contests.

Then, on Feb 19th, Obama won HI and WI. That is 2 contests.

So, in total, 4+1+4+2=11. Obama won 11 contests.

During the time that Obama was winning those 11 contests, Clinton won zero contests. She was *attempting* to win those contests, but she lost all of them. So we take the zero contests that Clinton won, and compare that number to the contests Obama won, 11, and we get 11-0 in favor of Obama.

So in conclusion, when you read about Clinton having lost the last 11 straight contests, it is not "dirty politics." It is 100% factually accurate.

To state otherwise is to deny reality.
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publicatlarge Donating Member (149 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 08:40 PM
Response to Original message
27. Definitions....
'Straight' may be construed as to be 'consecutive'. : following one after the other in order : SUCCESSIVE.

Of the eleven 'contests', many were grouped together, at the same time - hence not 'straight' or consecutive. Etc....

It is a point, especially if you are dealing in perceptions.



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tekisui Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 08:43 PM
Response to Reply #27
30. No dice. They are consecutive.
They happened in different places in the country, different timezones. It is ridiculous to claim that they are not consecutive wins.

11 of the last 11 contests, how's that?
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publicatlarge Donating Member (149 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 08:47 PM
Response to Reply #30
38. That's a fair assessment. n/t
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Spider Jerusalem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 08:43 PM
Response to Reply #27
31. Parse words all you want. She's still lost eleven primaries since her last victory.
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mohc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 08:45 PM
Response to Reply #27
35. So if a baseball team wins a doubleheader
They can not count that as winning two straight contests because they occurred on the same day?
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publicatlarge Donating Member (149 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 08:53 PM
Response to Reply #35
43. In politics, the concept of development of strategies and momentum ...
...is an important part of the process. So, yes - it matters to state HRC lost 'eleven straight' contests. It implies she may have had time to make adjustments in campaign strategy, etc...when in fact that is not the case. My thoughts here regarding perceptions, I freely admit are a micro analysis. But these perceptions do have an impact.

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chascarrillo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 08:42 PM
Response to Original message
29. Apparently, knowing how to count to 11 is "Rovian".
Wow.
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grantcart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 08:43 PM
Response to Original message
32. How about this instead?
Edited on Sun Mar-02-08 08:44 PM by grantcart
From the time that California primary closed Hillary Rodham Clinton has lost every single primary election held. These include 11 primaries and/or caucses plus Dem Abroad, all by landslide majorities. In addition to these 12 contests she has also seen her lead in super delegates cut almost in half.




Yeah your right that is much better.
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dansolo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 08:43 PM
Response to Original message
33. But she lost Super Tuesday
By your logic, she lost super Tuesday because Obama got more delegates than her. As a matter of fact, she hasn't won a single contest.
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slinkerwink Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 08:44 PM
Response to Original message
34. Wow at the awesome stupidity in the post.
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Mass Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 08:48 PM
Response to Original message
39. In this case, she lost SuperTuesday, as he got more delegates than she did.
Edited on Sun Mar-02-08 08:49 PM by Mass
+ South Carolina

It is a nice string of losses.

6 straight losses, by your standards. Is that better?
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JeffR Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 08:49 PM
Response to Original message
40. Fuzzy math.
As someone once said.

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f the letter Donating Member (402 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 08:49 PM
Response to Original message
41. Math is not Rovian.. i'm not big on Obama or Clinton, but
you really are spinning these numbers by saying Clinton lost only 4 'contests' . If states had primaries two each day for 25 days, is that 25 contests or 50?
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Adelante Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 08:50 PM
Response to Original message
42. Oh, this is pitiful nt
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publicatlarge Donating Member (149 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 08:54 PM
Response to Reply #42
45. How is this pitiful, WesDem? n/t
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stillcool Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 08:53 PM
Response to Original message
44. It depends on which states count..
Edited on Sun Mar-02-08 08:54 PM by stillcool47
and you're right..it's not exactly 'dirty' but it sure ain't clean. That's some kind of Democracy they're pushing, eh?
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publicatlarge Donating Member (149 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 08:56 PM
Response to Reply #44
47. Well, yes. You are correct...
It is neither dirty or clean. Just that politics is a game of perceptions.

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high density Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 09:00 PM
Response to Original message
48. Is this a sarcastic post or are we supposed to take it seriously?
Because I am laughing my ass off!

It's bullying and Rovian to recite the fact that Clinton has been losing a lot of states!

You should get a carbon monoxide detector for your home. I fear your brain may be deprived of oxygen.
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publicatlarge Donating Member (149 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 09:08 PM
Response to Reply #48
50. Well, I used the term 'bullying' because...
Edited on Sun Mar-02-08 09:09 PM by publicatlarge
..there has been a lot of piling on HRC by the MSM over the last couple of weeks. And the brilliance by which this 'lost 11 straight contests' has resonated as it has, seems to give it the magic Rovian touch.

In* retrospect, I deserved many of the negative comments when I referred to the 'dirty/clean' politics, etc. Have been infected by the ambiance of GD-P/DU style, I guess. I accept responsibility for that.

Whatever - it is a small point. I just delivered it badly.

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high density Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 09:18 PM
Response to Reply #50
52. I still fail to see how using facts gives something a Rovian touch
This reminds me of the Republicans who are constantly moaning that no good news is being reported in Iraq.

Team Clinton has to generate good news for it to get reported. Losing "11 straight contests" is what has happened, and I think she's getting a HUGE benefit of the doubt from everybody.
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VolcanoJen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 09:28 PM
Response to Reply #52
54. I mean, really
It is what it is, but it certainly isn't Rovian.
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VolcanoJen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 09:13 PM
Response to Original message
51. It's all in the way you look at it.
:-) Spin this...

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publicatlarge Donating Member (149 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 09:22 PM
Response to Reply #51
53. It's spinning furiously on it's own. :) n/t
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VolcanoJen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-02-08 09:30 PM
Response to Reply #53
55. Well, seriously, though.
Do you see anything "Rovian" in that graphic?

I'm totally confused here.
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