berni_mccoy
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Tue Mar-04-08 07:25 PM
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BWAHAHAHAAH: MSNBC Is predicting -1 to +5 delegate gain for Clinton if she takes OH 51 to 49 |
berni_mccoy
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Tue Mar-04-08 07:27 PM
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1. Chuck Todd is the Analyst. He's done remarkably well so far this primary season. |
NightWatcher
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Tue Mar-04-08 07:27 PM
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2. if she wins the less populated counties obama can come out ahead |
jefferson_dem
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Tue Mar-04-08 07:28 PM
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3. WOW! That would be HUGH!!!! |
grantcart
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Tue Mar-04-08 07:28 PM
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4. and the swing in TX is a max +/- 5 |
LaurenG
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Tue Mar-04-08 07:28 PM
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5. That is not funny could that go both ways. I watched that. |
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Edited on Tue Mar-04-08 07:35 PM by OhioBlues
If you win Ohio you could end up losing a delegate?!?! :shrug:
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grantcart
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Tue Mar-04-08 07:30 PM
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10. no it only works for clinton that way the reasons is that the districts that |
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have the most delegates also have the highest AA demographics. If Obama wins he can only increase his delegate count more
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LaurenG
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Tue Mar-04-08 07:33 PM
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that, as Olbermann said is going to be hard to take if you're a Clinton supporter. :wow: I know wouldn't like it if it happened to my candidate.
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babylonsister
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Tue Mar-04-08 07:28 PM
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6. berni baby, relax! It's gonna be a long night. |
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I'm trying to, and you're not helping! :P
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berni_mccoy
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Tue Mar-04-08 08:38 PM
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25. babylon, I just can't, and you KNOW I can't. Love ya! |
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:toast: :beer: :hug:
Time for a drink!
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meow mix
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Tue Mar-04-08 07:28 PM
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7. yeah, lol. MSNBC coverage is vastly superior to CNN. all the hillary supporters need to |
NightWatcher
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Tue Mar-04-08 07:29 PM
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9. paul begala is pissing me off on cnn. is he still getting paid by the clintons? |
writes3000
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Tue Mar-04-08 07:29 PM
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8. Let's not laugh at each other in mean ways. |
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I did just see that. I like that Chuck Todd. Even when he's telling me news I don't like.
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TheDeathadder
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Tue Mar-04-08 07:31 PM
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11. You won't be laughing in Denver |
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when Clinton takes the nomination
but please don't cry either. OK?
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Mojambo
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Tue Mar-04-08 07:34 PM
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13. Would you mind detailing for us exactly how that scenario plays out? |
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Because I've been trying to figure it out for a while now and I don't see it.
No snark. I'm genuinely interested in your take on how she becomes the nominee at this point.
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TheDeathadder
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Tue Mar-04-08 07:43 PM
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17. the race is going to continue |
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Obama wasn't able to seal the deal. Neither will get enough points. There's going to be a battle at the convention and Clinton will win and then go on to beat McCain.
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earthlover
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Tue Mar-04-08 08:39 PM
Response to Reply #17 |
26. If the convention gives Hillary the nod in spite of the pledged delegates she will lose to McCain |
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And convincingly. Of course...she would lose anyway, but adding a split party and a bunch of turned off voters by the smoked filled rooms would make it a rout for McCain. Probably of historic proportions.
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Yael
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Tue Mar-04-08 07:38 PM
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high density
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Tue Mar-04-08 07:39 PM
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16. Clinton + 0 = Winner!! |
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That seems to be the math
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TheDeathadder
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Tue Mar-04-08 07:46 PM
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18. the math is Obama didn't seal the deal |
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he can get enough points to win. The race will continue until the convention. At the Convention Clinton and Obama will have one hell of a throw down. Clinton will win and go on to beat McCain. Do the math - Obama also does not have enough delegates. It's going to be a real primary where every vote gets to vote for real and it's going to be a real convention where the candidate is decided and the usual convention of smoke and mirrors and balloons missing their Que to fall.
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earthlover
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Tue Mar-04-08 08:42 PM
Response to Reply #18 |
27. Hillary has far from sealed the deal |
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The super delegates are not going to be likely to go against the consensus of the pledged delegates unless they want to ensure McCain's election by a landslide. They are smart enough to see this, unlike the Hillary Herd who just move in masses.
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johnnydrama
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Tue Mar-04-08 07:38 PM
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I guessed that today would be a total wash delegate wise. That it would be basically 0 change, and it looks right.
I can't see Clinton being more than +5 tonight, and with the way Texas is, she could be a -10 or so.
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berni_mccoy
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Tue Mar-04-08 08:29 PM
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19. Chuck Todd now analyzing TEXAS! |
berni_mccoy
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Tue Mar-04-08 08:32 PM
Response to Reply #19 |
21. Assuming Clinton wins 51 to 49: Obama takes 64 to Clintons 62 Primary delegates |
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with 67 caucus delegates up for grabs.
If Obama takes 55 to 45 in the Caucus Obama takes a total 100 delegates, Clinton gets 93.
Obama could LOSE BY 2 points and win up to 7 more Delegates!
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Medusa
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Tue Mar-04-08 08:30 PM
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20. Which is what some of us have been trying to explain all damned day |
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to the Clintonistas. They still don't get it.
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Hawkeye-X
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Tue Mar-04-08 08:33 PM
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22. You can explain till you're blue in the face |
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They're thinking "Move the goalpost" to PA.. then to WVA, then to umm.. Puerto Rico!
*sigh*
Like you, we need to end the primaries tonight and focus on McCain.
Hawkeye-X
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Seabiscuit
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Tue Mar-04-08 08:33 PM
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23. You can stop chortling into your armpit now: Hillary's ahead 62% - 36%. |
BootinUp
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Tue Mar-04-08 08:44 PM
Response to Reply #23 |
28. It does look like she will win it by a safe margin. nt |
earthlover
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Tue Mar-04-08 08:45 PM
Response to Reply #23 |
30. the rural more conservative areas don't have as many votes to count, they come in first |
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It takes more time to count big cities....
Patience....
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meow mix
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Tue Mar-04-08 08:34 PM
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24. same in TX a loss gets Obama 100 clinton 93 |
FlyingSquirrel
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Tue Mar-04-08 08:44 PM
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29. It doesn't matter. For her, it's about "Winning the state" no matter how narrow |
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Edited on Tue Mar-04-08 08:45 PM by FlyingSquirrel
the margin or how few delegates she gains. It's all a "media perception" game. She wants to be able to show that she's rebounding and has no reason to exit the race.
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