If current trends continue Obama will win Texas delegates 98-93

[grantcart]

There are two authoritative sources that are disagreeing but I have given Hillary the higher numbers for the primary

Caucus numbers are provided seperately down thread

The Secretary of State is projecting 65-61 Clinton

Burnt Orange has a more detailed report and gives it 64-62 Obama

[grantcart]

1. here is the state report that splits 65-61 HRC/BO for the primiary

Office of the Secretary of State
2008 Democratic Party Primary Election
Election Night Returns



http://enr.sos.state.tx.us/enr/mar04_136_state.htm?x=0&y=0&id=595

[Laura PourMeADrink]

2. That's ALL they should be talking about !

[Zynx]

3. I think the people's votes count for something.

[theHandpuppet]

7. Not when it's Obama we're talking about

All we've been hearing for weeks now from the Obama camp is that the number of delegates apportioned should reflect the popular vote.

Well... we're waiting for the rationalization behind your about-face, folks.

[anigbrowl]

18. Quit making stuff up

Or I'll start posting all the embarrassing things Clinton and her surrogates have said about the campaign...with sources.

[grantcart]

4. Here is Burnt Orange showing Obama-64-62

Produced by Burnt Orange Report - www.burntorangereport.com

Time Stamp: 11:35pm

Texas Democratic Primary Presidential Returns: Part 1, Primary

What's at Stake Vote Totals Delegates

Senate
District # of
Delegates Region Obama Clinton Other % Reporting Obama Clinton

14 8 Austin 78,389 44,408 818 66.48% 5 3

13 7 Houston/Galveston 47,203 13,925 188 4.67% 5 2

23 6 North Texas 57,287 20,142 447 46.72% 4 2

25 6 Rural Central 54,541 43,164 1,372 39.19% 3 3

17 5 Houston/Galveston 32,061 24,179 460 14.63% 3 2

10 5 North Texas 32,743 20,338 294 59.08% 3 2

11 4 Houston/Galveston 24,524 24,857 563 22.86% 2 2

15 4 Houston/Galveston 24,255 11,146 171 0.00% 3 1

8 4 North Texas 30,655 21,465 248 35.19% 2 2

12 4 North Texas 23,105 22,230 241 48.57% 2 2

16 4 North Texas 24,809 21,708 276 33.50% 2 2

19 4 Border/South 25,203 31,941 3,111 37.66% 2 2

20 4 Border/South 22,896 51,788 1,184 62.13% 1 3

21 4 Border/South 23,197 55,298 2,524 37.61% 1 3

26 4 Border/South 19,502 30,659 1,636 17.29% 2 2



5 4 East-Central 45,894 42,899 2,714 62.28% 2 2

18 4 East-Central 38,768 42,997 2,715 66.33% 2 2

1 4 East 28,653 39,691 3,617 63.10% 2 2

2 4 East 23,531 20,201 459 28.43% 2 2

3 4 East 20,273 32,482 2,919 46.26% 2 2

4 4 East 28,638 35,115 1,967 45.38% 2 2

6 3 Houston/Galveston 8,127 11,746 192 0.00% 1 2

7 3 Houston/Galveston 12,053 8,401 73 0.00% 2 1

9 3 North Texas 22,038 15,096 186 24.06% 2 1

27 3 Border/South 19,717 46,365 1,445 51.47% 1 2

29 3 Border/South 14,254 33,534 972 15.34% 1 2

28 3 West Texas 23,037 35,219 3,033 86.25% 1 2

30 3 West Texas 18,792 31,316 1,544 51.94% 1 2

22 3 Rural Central 22,199 29,703 1,221 60.14% 1 2

24 3 Rural Central 14,903 21,783 1,011 68.54% 1 2

31 2 West Texas 16,277 25,232 1,100 90.21% 1 1

STATEWIDE 877,524 909,028 38,701 47.00% 64 62

[Diane R]

5. So Obama actually wins Texas! Yea. Hillary got zilch for the night.

[grantcart]

6. For the caucuses I used 55%Obama and 45% Clinton or 37 and 30

[madfloridian]

16. only 5% of caucus votes counted.

Caucuses 5% of precincts reporting

Obama 56 %
Clinton 44 %

[anigbrowl]

20. Now 54-46 with 13% reporting

[sanjiadem]

8. Clinton won TX ... get over it and stop trying to manipulate the voter's desires

into something that benefits your candidate. Just makes you look manipulative and pathetic.

[RummyTheDummy]

10. Delegates matter

I know the Clinton campaign would like to forget that, but it is indeed how the nominee is selected. Care to differ?

[sanjiadem]

11. A few weeks ago O supporters were dismissing delegates

for not representing the voters# .... but, then again, what's a few weeks amongst friends, right?

[thewiseguy]

13. They were complaining about the superdelegates!

Got it? Geee some of these Hillary supporters are just ....

[grantcart]

14. fee you have been here exactly 10- days and you are quoting from

before you were here

Were you somebody else before? Were you bad and had to be disciplined.

Obama supporters have always said that delegates mattered - they led in delegates since Iowa, so there is no logic in
your statement.

You may have confused statements made about superdelegates and your right those positions have changed. Obama supporters originally were suspicious and Clinton supporters enthusiastic about them. Recently those positions seemed to have changed. But I am not sure of the reason why.

[anigbrowl]

19. Alerted - you haven't even been here that long

Plus your post is wildly inaccurate.

[grantcart]

15. are you advocating a change in the rules?

[ClayZ]

9. K and R

[cutlassmama]

12. Yay Obama!

[HooptieWagon]

17. So for all the hillbot's crowing

The night ends up roughly even on delegates for all four states. Even though Obama had a bad night, Hillary still has to make up a 150 pledged delegate gap.

[PseudoIntellect]

21. The updated version of that spreadsheet looks like it'll be 65-61 Clinton

http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=pJ0M6W5tNQCPLz7oU3-llfg

[grantcart]

23. The state has already gone down - it could end up tied but the

net result for the night in all primaries is that Sen Clinton will have made up little or no delegates and may have fallen further behind

[TankLV]

22. Dream on - HA!!!

whatever floats your boat...

hate to break it to you - NOT - HILLARY WON TEXAS!!!!!

[MadBadger]

24. Actually, the OP looks to be right on the delegate projection.

[meow mix]

25. yup, the media will have a field day with this.. when it comes time

[grantcart]

26. hmmmm looks like I was right after all

Obama regains ground on Texas caucus results
ALEX BRANDON/THE ASSOCIATED PRESS
Democratic hopeful Barack Obama boards a plane in San Antonio Wednesday, a day after rival Hillary Clinton won three primaries, including Texas. Obama limited her gains in the Texas caucus votes.


Looks like my numbers were right on any comments now?

[Buve]

27. sure.

i mean what is locking out caucus goers between democrats... just that new politics the obama people keep on talking about, I guess.

Nothing says hope like the having to kick down the door.