The Biggest Indicators of Long-Term momentum

[scheming daemons]

On February 5th:

Clinton Superdelegates: 260
Obama Superdelegates: 170


On March 30th:

Clinton Superdelegates: 251 (-9)
Obama Superdelegates: 217 (+47)

Obama has averaged just under 1 new superdelegate per day. Hillary has lost a little over one superdelegate per week.



Also this:

Obama's Intrade share price on Feb 5th: 39.0
Obama's Intrade share price on Mar 30th: 80.4

Clinton's Intrade share price on Feb 5th: 63.0
Clinton's Intrade share price on Mar 30th: 16.9




This race has had a singular trajectory since Feb 5th... that is, Obama will be the Democratic Nominee. There is really no doubt about that anymore, among those that actually follow things closely and understand math and trends.

It's just simply a matter of when Hillary realizes what even her staff already knows.

[scheming daemons]

1. kick

[FrenchieCat]

2. It will be soon enough.........

Voters will also realize that they are voting for an automatic loser soon enough as well...in fact, I suspect that they will figure it out before 4/22.

Hillary's Tax returns are due when?

[EmperorHasNoClothes]

3. There you go again with your "math" and "facts"

:crazy:

[Cha]

4. Thank you for the SuperDee

before and after picture, s d!

[grantcart]

5. good tying the intrade numbers in we don't follow that enough here

You should post an update a couple times a week


looks like we could have a big SD week


thanks

[scheming daemons]

7. I have been...... believe me, the election markets capture the "mood" of the electorate...

...and have proven to be a more accurate predictor than polls.


When people put money on a candidate, they are

A) being more honest - because nobody wants to lose money and
B) reflecting what they think everyone ELSE is leaning toward...they are reflecting what they are hearing from friends and family.

[JayFredMuggs]

8. Pardon my stupidity but what is an In Trade number?

Sorry, just not familiar with this.

Could someone explain it to this little chimpanzee?

Thanks

[scheming daemons]

9. Go to intrade.com.... it's like a stock market, but trading on "election futures"....

...and it involves real money.


There's similar ones at rasmussenreports.com and also look up "Iowa Election Markets".

[SunsetDreams]

6. kick