My county by county predictions for tonight

[bluestateguy]

I am predicting Obama to win in:

Philadelphia with about 65% of the vote.

The main 4 Philly suburbs (Bucks, Delaware, Montgomery and Chester counties). I think the Obama margin in Montgomery will be smaller, however, like 52%-48%, due to the large Jewish population there.

I think he will win in Centre County which includes State College (Penn State).

Going out on a limb here, I am also predicting narrow Obama wins in Allegheny County (Pittsburgh and some suburbs) and Dauphin County by a whisker (Harrisburg).

Hillary wins everywhere else. I am predicting an overall Hillary win of 54%-46%.

[MeDeMax]

1. thank for the prediction, it is always good to hear from someone

familiar with an area.

[scheming daemons]

2. I don't disagree with your assessment.....

I think Obama pulls even in Erie county, though.


Final tally... 52.5 for Clinton... 47.5 for Obama.

[MeDeMax]

3. Please vote in my poll (PA delegate split from today)

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=132&topic_id=5621373&mesg_id=5621373