Gallup Poll: Registered voters Bush 47% - Kerry 46% (Job approval at 53%)

[TheStateChief]

http://www.gallup.com/content/default.aspx?ci=12244&pg=2

Registered voters are Bush 47 - Kerry 46
Adults are Kerry 47 - Bush 46

[King of New Orleans]

1. Nothing like a 3 weeks poll

I guess Gallup still uses the pony express to collect information

[TheStateChief]

5. Huh?

The data I'm looking at says that it was taken between June 9 and June 30.

[King of New Orleans]

I don't understand a polling firm taking 3 weeks

to do a poll. A poll at best is a snapshot in time. A poll done over three weeks seems, well pretty pointless.

[lancdem]

19. This poll would include the Reagan bounce

because it started June 9. That's another reason the numbers are skewed. His approval rating in polls taken after the Reagan bounce ended have him in the low-to-mid 40s.

[Swede Atlanta]

2. What the Cheney?

Are any of these pollsters subject to independent audit? We all know that any organization that is "self-policing" kind of like Shrub's new environmental self-policing leads to disastrous ends. I seriously question these poll results unless the freepers were led to believe that the sleight-of-hand "turnover" of sovereignty was more meaningful than it really was. I would like to see the result of an array of polls before I give these results any credence.

[onehandle]

3. Kerry/Edwards at +10 or more after the convention.

Never looks back.

[PROGRESSIVE1]

4. EVERY OTHER POLL HAS THE TURD BELOW 50%!!!

:wtf:???

:grr:

Even the Fox Poll is more HONEST than this shit!!!

:argh:

[David Dunham]

6. The poll actually has Kerry 47 Bush 46

[TheStateChief]

7. Registered voters vs. adults

Registered voters are Bush 47 - Kerry 46
Adults are Kerry 47 - Bush 46

Should have noted that above to begin with. Thanks for catching it.

[fearnobush]

8. This is very unusual poll... 3 weeks of data and the 53% part

is indeed unusual since the poll also lists 48% would prefer a generic Dem candidate over 43% for a generic Repuke.

This Poll below is a better "feel good poll"

American Research Group Poll. July 1-3, 2004. N=773 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.5.
.............Bush....Kerry...Unsure
7/1-3/04...45......49.......6

[Name removed]

9. Deleted message

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[fujiyama]

10. I'm not worried

Edwards will give the dems a boost.

[LabMonkey]

11. 53% are re-election numbers. Reagan, Clinton had same.

[tritsofme]

12. This poll has many problems

as many have pointed out, it is taken over a three week span.

The reason for this I believe is because they were trying to hone in on black and hispanic opinions, and massively oversampled those two demographics, so that when they published the final poll it took massive saucing to get it back in line.

I don't think that Gallup is actually touting this as one of their valid polls because it is not reflected anywhere in their website except in the notes of this article. We'll find out if they get more specific when their release is put out around midnight.

[Zomby Woof]

13. Gallup is usually the most right-leaning

So oddly, this is reassuring.

[David Dunham]

14. The ARG poll out today has Kerry winning by 3% over Bush.

[Zynx]

15. No other poll shows that.

[DaveSZ]

17. If his approval is truly 53%

he could be reelected.

The CBS and WSJ polls had him in the mid-low 40's though.

[spooky3]

16. Always turn to the comfort of Pollkatz...(see inside)

[GaryL]

18. I've said it 100 times.

Public polls like these mean shit. Internal polling data taken by the campaigns, which costs mightily I might add, are what you want to see. I got mine from an internal source that has dimsun having real trouble even with his nazi base. If things remain as they are with the economy grinding along and Iraq with business as usual, this administration better have their bags packed.

[TexasSissy]

20. ???? This is very different from other recent polls.

This is very disturbing. Something's not right.

[West Coast Democrat]

21. That 53% Approval is from June 9- 48% is the latest poll #

In fact, this entire poll is from June 9th.

The latest poll numbers are here:

http://www.gallup.com/poll/stateNation/

48% approve 49% disapprove

[West Coast Democrat]

22. Oh, Chief! Rasmussen Florida: Kerry 48% Bush 43%

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Florida%20July%207.htm

I'm sure you saw this!