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Rasmussen Electoral College Breakdown , July 7, 2004

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Nicholas_J Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-07-04 11:44 PM
Original message
Rasmussen Electoral College Breakdown , July 7, 2004
Electoral College Projections
Based Upon Most Recent Rasmussen Reports Survey Data and Election 2000 Results

Election 2004

Electoral College

Bush 203
Kerry 237
Toss-Up 98

RasmussenReports.com


July 7, 2004--If the Presidential Election were held today, Senator John Kerry would win 237 Electoral Votes, President George W. Bush would win 203 Electoral Votes, and 98 Electoral Votes would be in the toss-up category. Most of the toss-up Electoral Votes are found in Michigan, Ohio, and Pennsylvania.

These latest results include a shift of Florida from "Toss-Up" to "Lean Kerry." Our latest polling data for Florida shows the Democratic Senator leading 48% to 43%. Additional revisions may be made this week as we release additional state-by-state polling data for 20 states.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Electoral%20College%20Projection.htm

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LimpingLib Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-08-04 12:01 AM
Response to Original message
1. Thanks Nick.
Aside from that Ewing guy that was posting heavily here during the 7-8 months following 9/11 (and did the most to nearly bring Bush down of anybody I ever saw) you are easily the best researcher here.

Of the most important states , it is a tossup in Ohio, Virginia , New Mexico , and Missouri .

Bush leads in West Virgina.

Kerry leads in Florida.
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Nicholas_J Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-08-04 12:09 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. Ther is another page that has links to a bunch of Electoral college
breakdowns:

http://www.ospolitics.org/blog/archives/2004/06/24/electoral_.php

The data on the page itself hasnt been updated, but the links they lead to are updated.
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dusty64 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-08-04 06:34 AM
Response to Original message
3. No way Michigan
goes for chimp and I feel the same way about PA. If Florida gets a fair election they will also vote Kerry with a VERY good shot at Ohio.
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Upfront Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-08-04 08:28 AM
Response to Reply #3
4. Michigan
Will go for kerry, book it.
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